We recently updated our dynasty trade value chart given the many happenings around the world of the NFL. Here are a few players who have seen their values rise and fall through the 2022 NFL Combine and the bevy of offseason transactions we’ve seen in the last week.
And don’t miss the rest of our takeaways from all of the recent news:
- Carson Wentz Trade
- Russell Wilson Trade
- Calvin Ridley Suspension
- Aaron Rodgers Contract Extension
- Mike Williams Contract Extension
- NFL Franchise Tag Reactions
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Risers
Albert Okwuegbunam (TE – DEN)
Dynasty Trade Value: 27 (+15)
Insert rocket ship emoji here. With the Broncos trading for QB Russell Wilson and trading away starting TE Noah Fant, Albert O. is ready for liftoff. A 6-5, 258-pound athletic mutant with a 100th percentile speed score, Okwuegbunam figures to get a steady diet of targets for the first time in his career, and targets for Russell Wilson are considerably more valuable than targets from Drew Lock or Teddy Bridgewater. Maybe he turns out to be another Ladarius Green (hat tip to @DaddysHomeFF for raising that frightening possibility on Twitter), but the 23-year-old Albert O. has the potential to be a difference-maker and should now be regarded as a midrange to low-end TE1 in dynasty.
Buy/Sell/Hold
Buy if you’re looking for a young cornerstone at TE. Sell if you’re in win-now mode and need another proven vet or two. Hold if you’re convinced Okwuegbunam’s stock will only climb higher.
How to Approach Okwuegbunam in Trades
Albert O. is worth an early-second-round pick in superflex.
- Pat Fitzmaurice
Jerry Jeudy (WR – DEN)
Dynasty Trade Value: 38 (+3)
A high-ankle sprain and mediocre quarterbacking prevented a Jeudy breakout in 2021, but there’s a good chance we’lll get the breakout in 2022 now that Russell Wilson will be at the controls of the Denver passing game. Jeudy is a sublime route runner who’s also dangerous after the catch. Those skills should pair well with Wilson’s, giving Jeudy WR2 upside for the coming season. An eventual WR1 season isn’t out of the question.
Buy/Sell/Hold
Buy. He won’t come cheap now, but this is an asset that should pay dividends for years to come.
How to Approach Jeudy in Trades
Jeudy is a top-30 dynasty WR now. He’s worth a mid-first-round draft pick in superflex leagues. His dynasty value is comparable to that of Amon-Ra St. Brown and Brandon Aiyuk.
- Pat Fitzmaurice
Courtland Sutton (WR – DEN)
Dynasty Trade Value: 30 (+3)
Courtland Sutton has a real chance to shine because he showed last season that he could produce when given opportunities. He averaged 13.8 fantasy points per game (17th) and a 27% target share from Weeks 2-7 during the regular season. He also finished 10th in total air yards (1,756) – showcasing his ability as a downfield threat. Equipped with a red-zone heavy and capable big-armed quarterback in Wilson – 6th-highest passer rating on throws of 20-plus air yards – Sutton can take a massive leap in 2022.
Buy/Sell/Hold
Buy. The Jerry Jeudy hive is strong enough to prevent Sutton’s price from being too rich.
How to Approach Sutton in Trades
Would flip some older WRs wide receivers like Keenan Allen or a recent young riser like Amon-Ra St. Brown or Gabriel Davis. A late-first round rookie pick in 2022 would also suffice.
- Andrew Erickson
Aaron Rodgers (QB – GB)
Superflex Dynasty Trade Value: 57 (+5)
Aaron Rodgers concluded his age 38 season without displaying any fall off in his level of play. In 2021 he finished the season as the QB8 in fantasy points per game with the fifth-highest passing touchdown rate and ninth-highest yards per attempt of his career. Rodgers’ new contract has him moving up dynasty rankings despite his advanced age, which creates a perfect window to trade him away.
Buy/Sell/Hold
Sell. Sell. Sell. Mash the accept button on a trade to ship him away now while the iron is hot before the ink dries on his new contract. With a depressed quarterback class and the new security of a rumored four-year deal, even dynasty managers playing in 2-3 year windows can be possibly convinced to trade for the mercurial Rodgers. While he’s likely to hold his value as a low-end QB1 for as long as he remains in Green Bay, now is the time to move him because another lucrative trade window is unlikely to arise.
How to Approach Rodgers in Trades
In Superflex formats, I would be asking for at least a first-round pick and possibly a little bit on top of that, depending on where the pick is. If you can flip him for an early to mid-second-round rookie pick in one quarterback leagues, I would also pull the trigger on that deal.
- Derek Brown
Fallers
Jordan Love (QB – GB)
Superflex Dynasty Trade Value: 8 (-6)
So much for Love being the Packers’ quarterback of the future. The extension of Aaron Rodgers‘ contract means Love will be nothing more than a backup if he stays in Green Bay. More likely, Packers GM Brian Gutekunst will have to tacitly concede that the drafting of Love in 2020 was a blunder and trade him to another team for pennies on the dollar. We’ve only seen Love in the preseason and in a handful of regular-season games, but he has provided no evidence that he can be an effective NFL starter.
Buy/Sell/Hold
Hold and hope he goes to a team that will give him an opportunity to play. It makes no sense to sell him with his value in the tank, nor does it make much sense to give up a useful asset for him.
How to Approach Love in Trades
Don’t buy. If anyone offers you a 2023 second-rounder for him in superflex, jump on it. Otherwise, hold.
- Pat Fitzmaurice
Tyler Lockett (WR – SEA)
Dynasty Trade Value: 20 (-2)
A must-start in fantasy leagues since 2018, Lockett has spent the entirety of his seven-year NFL career with Russell Wilson as the Seahawks’ primary quarterback. In 2022, Seattle will likely roll out either Drew Lock or a rookie at QB, dealing Lockett’s fantasy value a crushing blow. Over the last three seasons, he’s averaged 85 catches, 1,095 yards and 8.7 TDs. If the drop-off in Seattle’s quarterbacking is as steep as we think it’s going to be, Lockett will go from a solid WR2 to, at best, a low-end WR3.
Buy/Sell/Hold
Hold or sell. Lockett turns 30 in September, and his value has taken a nosedive with the Wilson trade. If Lockett still has enough name-brand value that someone offers you a useful asset for him, take the deal.
How to Approach Lockett in Trades
Lockett is worth roughly a late-second-round draft pick in superflex leagues or a mid-second-round pick in 1QB leagues. Some WRs with vaguely comparable dynasty value: Tyler Boyd, Laviska Shenault, Jakobi Meyers.
- Pat Fitzmaurice
D.K. Metcalf (WR – SEA)
Dynasty Trade Value: 66 (-3)
This does not bode well for D.K. Metcalf. Russell Wilson is one of the NFL’s most efficient passers, and fantasy gamers got a glimpse of the Seattle passing attack without him last season for three full games. Spoiler: It was not ideal for fantasy football. Metcalf averaged 14.9 fantasy points per game in half-point scoring (15th). Considering the circumstances it could have been much worse, and it likely will be over the course of the entire 2022 season. With a down season inbound, he gets knocked down in dynasty rankings.
Buy/Sell/Hold
However, there’s a silver lining because Metcalf is a free agent in 2023, meaning he could be easily long gone from Seattle. Hell, he could even be traded mid-season to a contender with a much smaller cap hit than Tyler Lockett.
For that reason, Metcalf remains in my top-10 dynasty WR rankings as a hold/buy.
How to Approach Metcalf in Trades
Anyone willing to sell Metcalf for less than a top-10 dynasty WR you need to be in contact with. His age (24) and impressive career start – 3,000-plus receiving yards, 29 touchdowns – makes him worth targeting aggressively at his lowest point. The only other wide receivers to achieve those numbers through the first three seasons of their career since 1985 include Jerry Rice, Randy Moss, A.J. Green and Odell Beckham Jr.
- Andrew Erickson
Rashaad Penny (RB – SEA)
Dynasty Trade Value: 22 (-2)
With health finally on his side, Rashaad Penny displayed the talent that made him a first-round pick in 2018. In Weeks 14-18, Penny played 54% or higher snaps in four of five games averaging 19.4 touches and 138.4 total yards per game as the RB2 in fantasy points per game. Last season among all rushers with 100 or more carries, he ranked first in yards after contact per attempt (4.52, per PFF). Penny enters his age 26 season as an unrestricted free agent. With the limited production history and uncertain landing spot, he’s seen his value dip, but this could be the time to invest in dynasty.
Buy/Sell/Hold
What to do with Penny will vary widely depending on your league. In his case, acquiring a player or shipping them to another squad will largely depend on price, but that’s not why you’re reading this section. If you’re looking for a hard-line answer on how to approach Penny, I’m buying. Dynasty managers’ tentative and sometimes fickle nature and their fear of being burned by a trade will leave Penny undervalued in many instances.
How to Approach Penny in Trades
If you’re buying, I would be offering a late second for his services. If you find yourself reading this section and are bound and determined to trade him away, I would also ask for at least a late second or attempt to include him in a trade to move up a tier at another position.
- Derek Brown
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