I previously talked about players I wanted to trade for in dynasty now that free agency is over. This time I’m calling out some players I’m lower on than consensus that I want to trade away. Not all of these guys are players I’m out on entirely. I just think their current value is higher than what I think it should be. In some cases, I believe their value is peaking now, and now is the right time to try to make a move. Again, none of them are players you need to trade away, but instead, these are all guys I’d look to shop and see what you can get before it’s too late.
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Quarterback
Without diving into the off-the-field issues, which there are many, now feels like a good time to sell Watson. As soon as the legal issues were resolved (to a point), Watson saw a considerable value bump. He was traded to Cleveland and is expected to start throwing passes to new teammate Amari Cooper (WR – CLE). But there’s still a chance he gets suspended or worse. Not to mention that he’s been collecting rust for over a year. Given all of that, maybe now is the sell window you were waiting for. It’s at least worth checking in your league.
As soon as Tyreek Hill (WR – MIA) was traded from Kansas City to Miami, a sell window opened for his new QB in Tagovailoa. Last year, Tua was good but not great with rookie Jaylen Waddle (WR – MIA) as his prime target. Tua’s dynasty value has gone up now that he has the cheetah himself running routes. As much as I like Tua this year, this could be a solid time to shop Tua in your league if he’s on your roster. The hype around him might be higher than his actual production, and his future becomes very confusing if he fails. I’m not selling just to sell, but he’s someone I’m at least listening to offers on right now.
Running Back
There are a lot of question marks on the Pittsburgh offense heading into the NFL draft. Their big free agent signing for fantasy purposes was Mitch Trubisky (QB – PIT). He’s not exactly someone you want to hitch your wagon to. There’s a good chance they draft a QB, but until they do, Harris is someone that could see a downturn in production value. He’s currently RB2 in dynasty according to FantasyPros ECR (Expert Consensus Ranking), so if you can get a monster haul for him, it’s worth considering. He could be fine, but he doesn’t have a lot of room to go up from here, and there are more than a few question marks in his future.
Cook is one of those players that I think is being undervalued and overvalued simultaneously. In most leagues, he’s being valued as a top-tier RB, but is he? In other leagues, he’s already seen a value drop, but should he? His value fluctuation is related to his age and his team’s uncertainty. Will the Vikings be a running team again? Who knows, but I’m okay moving on from Cook before we see his value fall off a cliff. Running backs like him are hard to find but even harder to move before it’s too late. Now that free agency has settled down, I’d at least hear what you could get for him.
Much like Cook, Harris is someone I just can’t put my finger on in terms of true dynasty value. If he’s given the RB1 role in New England, he is easily worth an RB2 price tag. But with the team re-signing James White (RB – NE), and Rhamondre Stevenson (RB – NE) still taking carries, Harris is far from a sure thing. It’s possible that the team signs someone still available or drafts someone in the NFL draft who eats into Harris’ remaining upside. I’m just out where I have him, pivoting to more secure or rising assets at other positions where I can. Of course, you can always trade for him again in August if things clear up between now and then.
Wide Receiver
Do we know who Moore will be catching passes from yet? Yeah, I didn’t think so. That question alone has me worried about Moore’s value in 2022 and beyond. Moore’s upside is limited if they stick with Sam Darnold (QB – CAR). If they draft a top rookie QB, then Moore’s upside is limited. Either way, it’s likely going to be at least an entire season until we see DJ Moore return WR1 value in dynasty. I don’t hate it if you can pivot off of him for another rising asset or picks. You may kick yourself in a year, but I doubt it.
Few dynasty assets have seen their value go from almost nothing to something solid like St. Brown. His ADP was 148 overall in November of 2021, according to DLF, but he shot up to 50 overall by January 2022. This eight-round ADP increase in two short months is pretty insane to me. The Lions addressed the WR problem by signing DJ Chark (WR – DET) and are likely to address it again in the draft. Last year, St. Brown was a sell for me, so I missed this latest value bump. Don’t miss it again. Get out now before his value corrects itself.
Once the season ended, I was all in on Renfrow. His dynasty value was rising, but I seriously thought he had WR2 upside at a much lower cost. Unfortunately, now that the Raiders have traded for Davante Adams (WR – LV), Renfrow gets relegated to WR2 on his own team. If Darren Waller (TE – LV) returns to his old self, Renfrow may be the odd man out. That being said, there are still some Renfrow truthers out there who might be willing to take on the risk that he still earns enough targets to be fantasy relevant. Seek them out and see if they’ll pay fair value for Renfrow, and don’t look back.
Last but not least, the least valuable receiver I’m actively selling is the new Bucs receiver, Russell Gage. Gage is a name that many fantasy managers are likely familiar with due to his relevancy last year. He went from waivers to lineups on a few of my own teams. But that was with Atlanta and a depleted receiving corps. Now that he’s with Tom Brady (QB – TB) and the Bucs, he should be back to his lower spot on the depth chart. If you can find someone willing to buy him off your bench, do it. I don’t trust him to see my lineups again this year, even if he did go to a better team. His opportunity got worse, in my opinion.
Tight End
Not going to lie, but this one hurts. Knox won me a couple of weeks last year, but overall he wasn’t exactly a stud. Few tight ends are, though. Knox was a target of mine when the season ended, but then the Bills signed OJ Howard (TE – BUF) and Jamison Crowder (WR – BUF). Neither are that much of a threat on their own, but it shows me that they don’t trust Knox in that short-field role he had last year. Knox could be seen as a part-time player, and as a tight end, that’s a death sentence. I’d gladly trade Knox and a second or third-round pick for a better tight end wherever possible. I can’t trust him now that free agency is winding down.
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