Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears

Date/Time: Monday December 20, 8:15pm ET
BettingPros Consensus Spread: Vikings -3.5
BettingPros Consensus Over/Under: 44 points
Implied Vegas point totals: Vikings 23.75, Bears 20.25

Quarterbacks

Kirk Cousins: Cousins had been playing incredible football leading up to Week 14, but he fell a little short in the box score category. Cousins went 14-for-31 for just 216 yards and two touchdowns to two interceptions. However, it’s worth noting that Cousins just missed Jefferson on a couple of deep throws that were inches away from being touchdown grabs and it would’ve been a monstrous performance for the veteran QB. Looking ahead to Week 15, Cousins gets to take on a Bears defense that is bleeding fantasy points to opposing QBs. The Bears are allowing the fourth-most fantasy points per game to the position this year and they’re now down several key players on their defensive front, which is only going to help keep this offense moving. Cousins is a solid low-end QB1 this week with upside.

Justin Fields: Did you know that in Fields’ last three starts, he hasn’t finished worse than the QB10 on the week? He’s averaging 74 rushing yards in those three contests and that’s leading to an incredibly high floor each week. He will still make rookie mistakes, but he’s now starting to move into a high-end streaming option versus a mid-range QB2. Against the Vikings defense that’s allowing the third-most fantasy points to opposing QBs this season, Fields is a solid start this week. He can be viewed as a low-end QB1/high-end QB2.

Running Backs

Dalvin Cook: Goodnight, Dalvin Cook. After being listed as questionable due to his injury recovery, Cook shocked the NFL world this past Thursday night by not only being active but by putting up one of the best performances of the season. He was able to take advantage of wide-open running lanes all game long and rumble for 205 rushing yards and two touchdowns. He put up 35 Half PPR fantasy points and most likely helped carry fantasy managers into the first round of their playoffs – assuming that they took a shot and started him. Against a Bears defense that is going to be without key players like Eddie Goldman and Mario Edwards – plus Khalil Mack – he is a top-5 start yet again.

David Montgomery: Montgomery didn’t receive his usual heavy workload on the ground last week against Green Bay, but he remained a viable fantasy asset due to his involvement in the receiving game. Montgomery saw 7 targets last week and he reeled in six of them for 39 yards. He still dominated the touches out of the backfield and we should see him continue to be a focal point of the offense this week against Minnesota. The Vikings are allowing the 9th most fantasy points to opposing RBs this season and Montgomery should have plenty of room to run. He can be started as a low-end RB1/high-end RB2 in Week 15.

Wide Receivers

Justin Jefferson: It’s not like Jefferson wasn’t producing with Adam Thielen in the lineup, but he has absolutely gone nuclear here over the past two weeks. Jefferson has now seen 29 total targets and he’s totaled 261 receiving yards and two touchdowns in the past two contests and he should be able to keep rolling this week against Chicago. The Bears are allowing the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing WRs this season and they’re not going to be able to contain Jefferson and his connection with Cousins. Fire Jefferson up as a top-3 option again here.

K.J. Osborn: Osborn saw nine targets last week, which is excellent in Thielen’s absence, but he only reeled in three of them. He was able to save his fantasy day with a deep downfield touchdown, but fantasy managers should at least be hesitant with Osborn and his projection for this week. Assuming that Thielen is set to miss another week – which is the expectation at the time of writing – Osborn should be viewed more as a mid-range/low-end WR3 with still plenty of upside due to the matchup against Chicago. We just can’t completely depend on him to step in and completely replicate Thielen’s production in this Vikings offense.

Allen Robinson: At this point, there’s no way Robinson can come anywhere close to starting lineups anymore as long as he’s in Chicago. We’ll hope to see him in a new destination next year that can revitalize his NFL career, but it’s just not happening here in Chicago. He can be dropped to your waiver wire.

Darnell Mooney: Mooney absolutely exploded in Weeks 11 and 12 for 144 combined receiving yards and it seemed as though we were on our way to locking him into our starting lineups as a high-upside WR2. Unfortunately, Mooney’s production has taken a nosedive over the past two weeks. While he’s still seen 12 targets over that time frame, he’s only caught 50% of his targets and has just 46 receiving yards combined. This is a bounce-back spot against the defense that’s allowing the most fantasy points to opposing WRs this season, but we can’t trust Mooney as anything more than a high-end WR3 with a wide range of outcomes.

Tight Ends

Tyler Conklin: Conklin disappointed this past week and he saw the majority of the vacated target volume go KJ Osborn’s way versus his own. However, we shouldn’t completely write Conklin off of the redraft radar just yet. There’s still the potential that the target share balances out a bit between him and Osborn and he’s also a threat to step in as the red zone threat in Thielen’s absence. Conklin has a low floor, we can acknowledge that, but the path for upside is still there here. He can be viewed as a mid-range TE2.

Cole Kmet: Kmet continues to be involved just enough in this offense to justify redraft consideration, but he’s simply not producing with his limited opportunity. At this point, Kmet is nothing more than a mid-range TE2 that should probably be left on your bench in the first round of the fantasy playoffs.

Seattle Seahawks vs. Los Angeles Rams

Date/Time: Sunday December 19, 4:25pm ET
BettingPros Consensus Spread: Rams -4.5
BettingPros Consensus Over/Under: 45.5 points
Implied Vegas point totals: Rams 25, Seahawks 20.5

Quarterbacks

Russell Wilson: It’s been a bumpy road for Wilson so far this season. He’s gone through plenty of ups and downs, but it seems like he’s starting to turn things around here lately after dealing with the finger injury and potentially coming back too soon. Wilson has now put up three performances in a row with 18 or more fantasy points and he would have had more in Week 13 if Gerald Everett had been able to bring in that walk-in touchdown. He took advantage of an easy matchup this past week against Houston and was able to end the week as a top-10 QB, but he has a much tougher matchup in front of him this week against the Rams. Los Angeles is allowing just the 6th fewest fantasy points to opposing QBs this year, so Wilson should be started with some reservation this week. He can be viewed as a high-end QB2 this week.

Matthew Stafford: Stafford had a couple of down weeks in Week 9 and 10 where he put up a combined 27 fantasy points. However, since LA came out of their bye in Week 11, Stafford has been on fire. He’s averaging 295 passing yards over the past three weeks and has a total of nine touchdowns to just one interception. He’s finished as the QB4, the QB5, and the QB7 respectively in those games and he’s cemented himself into must-start territory. In a matchup this week against Seattle, who just allowed 331 passing yards to Davis Mills, Stafford could finish as the overall QB1 on the week. He belongs in your starting lineup this week.

Running Backs

Rashaad Penny: It took us four years, but we finally arrived to Rashaad Penny SZN! After being one of the biggest Dynasty busts in recent history, Penny has had opportunities to step up and take over this backfield in Seattle, but his inability to stay healthy has hurt his chances. Now that he’s fully healthy, Penny stepped forward last week and absolutely shredded the Houston Texans run defense and reminded people of why he was highly regarded coming out of college. On 16 rush attempts, Penny rumbled for 137 yards and two touchdowns, and a top-5 fantasy finish on the week. Fantasy managers are going to be excited to play Penny again in Week 15 after last week’s performance, but we should be extremely cautious with locking him into our starting lineups. He draws a matchup with the Rams defense this week that is allowing just 77.6 rushing yards per game to opposing RBs. Penny should see plenty of work again, but the scoring upside isn’t going to be as prevalent as it was against Houston. He can be viewed as a low-end RB2/high-end RB3.

Darrell Henderson: Henderson has missed the past two weeks due to an injury and landing on the COVID list, but the expectation at the time of writing is that he will be cleared in time to return for this matchup against Seattle. If Henderson is active and ready to roll, he should walk right back into his starting role in this offense. Sony Michel has performed decently in his absence, but we know that LA prefers to lean on one RB in this offense, and Henderson’s been the main guy all year long. In a matchup against the defense that’s allowing the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing RBs this season, Henderson’s a solid high-end RB2 if he suits up.

Sony Michel: Michel absolutely torched the Jaguars defense, but fell flat in Week 14 against the Arizona Cardinals. While he saw an impressive 20 carries, he was only able to cross over 79 yards with them and no receptions or touchdowns. Michel’s fantasy outlook is completely dependent upon Henderson’s availability in Week 15. If Henderson is active, Michel is going to move back to his complementary role and he won’t see enough work to be a viable option for fantasy. However, if Henderson is still out due to landing on the COVID list or recovering from his quad injury, Michel would move back up into top-15 territory at the RB position due to the matchup against Seattle. We’ll need to monitor this situation as the week progresses, but Michel could still have value this week.

Wide Receivers

D.K. Metcalf: Did you know that Metcalf had scored eight receiving touchdowns through the first eight weeks of the 2021 NFL season? Do you know how many receiving touchdowns Metcalf now has through 14 weeks? He still has just eight receiving touchdowns due to the fact that his production has taken an absolute nosedive since Seattle came off of their bye in Week 9. Over the past five weeks, Metcalf has yet to top 10 Half PPR points in any contest and he has not cracked the top-30 WRs in those games. Metcalf and Wilson seemingly have lost their chemistry and Metcalf’s struggling to bring in the contested catches that we’ve seen him make in the past. He’s remained a key focal point of the offense – seeing eight targets exactly in four of his past five games – but the upside is non-existent. In a matchup against the Rams, who should have Jalen Ramsey back and active for this contest, Metcalf can be viewed as a low-end WR2. Update: Lockett is now on the COVID list and is likely out for this matchup, which moves Metcalf back up rankings due to volume. He can be viewed as a high-end/mid-range WR2.

Tyler Lockett: In the words of Michael Scott, “How the turn tables.” Over the past few weeks, Lockett has actually become the more consistent receiving option in this Seahawks offense and Metcalf has taken a tumble down the rankings. Over the past four weeks, Lockett has not finished worse than the WR27 and he’s still providing his patented upside throughout that same time. With fantasy finishes of the WR12 and the WR3 each of the past two games, Lockett is now moving into must-start territory. While the matchup against the Rams isn’t ideal from a fantasy perspective, Lockett deserves to be started as a mid-range WR2 due to his newfound high floor. Update: Lockett has been placed on the COVID list and is likely out for this matchup.

Cooper Kupp: What is there to say about Kupp that hasn’t already been said? He’s far and away the most productive fantasy WR this season and he’s seeing a truly ridiculous workload this year. Through 14 games, Kupp has now seen 151 targets on the year and that is good enough for first place by 20 targets. He’s going to come close to breaking the 2,000-yard barrier this year and he could easily cross over 15 touchdowns. You were already starting Kupp regardless, but he has the potential to go nuclear again here against the Seahawks secondary.

Odell Beckham Jr: People that were taking victory laps over OBJ being washed after he was released from Cleveland are quickly searching Google for how to delete their tweets. He’s been stellar over the past few weeks and he’s reminding people that situation matters immensely when discussing players’ fantasy outlooks. Since coming out of the bye week, OBJ now has two top-12 fantasy performances and he’s caught a touchdown in three straight games. He’s landed on the COVID list so far this week, so we don’t know exactly if he’s going to be able to return for this game against Seattle. If he does, you’re starting him as a low-end WR2 with upside. We’ll continue to keep everyone updated as we receive more information.

Van Jefferson: Did you know that all three Rams WRs are top-10 fantasy options over the past three weeks? With Stafford playing phenomenal football, all three receivers have been able to feast and fantasy managers should be feeling very confident about playing all of them in their lineups at this point. Jefferson was completely dependent on a big play for a touchdown last week, but we know that he has the capability to get open deep downfield and turn his fantasy outing into a big performance. Due to the fact that he’s scored a touchdown in three straight games, plus the matchup against Seattle’s secondary, Jefferson can be started as a high-end WR3.

Tight Ends

Gerald Everett: Everett has now finished as a top-10 TE in three of his past five games, but he’s done that mostly on the back of finding the end zone on limited volume. He’s a completely touchdown-dependent option at the TE position and there are most likely other options you can turn to in your fantasy playoffs.

Tyler Higbee: Higbee missed last week’s game due to a false positive COVID-19 test, but now he’s landed on the COVID-19 list again. With Higbee out, here are no other Rams tight ends worth considering this week.

Washington Football Team vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Date/Time: Sunday December 19, 1:00pm ET
BettingPros Consensus Spread: Eagles -7
BettingPros Consensus Over/Under: 44 points
Implied Vegas point totals: Eagles 25.5, Washington 18.5

Quarterbacks

Garrett Gilbert: Washington’s top two quarterbacks, Taylor Heinicke and Kyle Allen, have landed on the COVID-19 list, leaving third-stringer Gilbert as the starter against Philadelphia. A fourth-year veteran, Gilbert made his only career start last year for the Cowboys, completing 21 of 38 passes for 243 yards with one touchdown and one interception vs. the Steelers. He also ran three times for 28 yards.

Jalen Hurts: Tom Pelissero of the NFL Network has reported that Hurts is dealing with a high-ankle sprain. He’s been practicing this week coming out of the Eagles’ Week 14 bye, but the injury makes Hurts a riskier play than usual, particularly in light of how well backup Gardner Minshew played when he started in place of Hurts against the Jets in Week 13. Hurts has been superb as a runner this season, with 122-695-8 rushing. But he’s been shaky as a passer at times, completing 60.1% of his throws on the year and averaging 6.7 yards per attempt. Hurts’ matchup against Washington this week is a good one, although the Football Team’s pass defense has been less flammable in recent weeks than it was earlier in the season. Hurts lands at QB9 in this week’s rankings, with a high ceiling but a much shakier floor than usual. At $6,600 on DraftKings, he’s a better play in GPPs than in cash games.

Running Backs

Antonio Gibson: Gibson lost his fourth fumble of the season late in the third quarter of Washington’s 27-20 loss to Dallas last Sunday and didn’t get another touch after that. It’s probably safe to expect Gibson to get a full complement of touches against the Eagles this week if he doesn’t cough up another fumble, but the risk of an in-game benching is certainly uncomfortable if you’re a Gibson investor. Gibson averaged 17.0 fantasy points per game from Week 10 to Week 13, with 95-358-2 rushing and 14-72-1 receiving over that span. He’s a mid-range RB2 against the Eagles this week, and he comes with a wide range of potential outcomes.

J.D. McKissic: McKissic is still recovering from a concussion and wasn’t practicing as of Wednesday. Even if he’s able to play against the Eagles this week, he’d be nothing more than a high-end RB4, since Gibson has dominated Washington’s early-down work in recent weeks.

Miles Sanders: We might need a flow chart to figure out how the Eagles are going to deploy their running backs this week. Sanders ran for a season-high 120 yards against the Jets in Week 13 but injured his ankle late in that game. Coming out of the Eagles’ Week 14 bye, Sanders has been limited in practices. That probably bodes well for him playing this week. But Jordan Howard, who missed Weeks 12 and 13 with a sprained knee, has also been practicing on a limited basis. Eagles coach Nick Sirianni declared a few weeks ago that Sanders would be his starter, but it’s unclear how work will be divided between Sanders, Howard, Boston Scott, and rookie Kenneth Gainwell. The Eagles have a tricky running-game matchup this week against a Washington run defense that ranks seventh in DVOA and has given up the 10th fewest fantasy points to running backs. Consider Sanders a mid-range RB3.

Jordan Howard: Howard missed Weeks 12 and 13 with a sprained knee but has been getting in limited practice sessions this week. Howard had 51-274-3 rushing from Week 8 to Week 11, but Miles Sanders only played in the last of those four games. Sanders is expected to play this week after sustaining an ankle injury in Week 13, and Boston Scott and Kenneth Gainwell are around, too. Howard might still have value as Philly’s likely goal-line back, but he hasn’t caught a pass all season, so he probably won’t deliver much value if he doesn’t find the end zone. He lands at RB50 in this week’s rankings.

Boston Scott: With Miles Sanders and Jordan Howard both practicing on a limited basis, Scott is in danger of becoming a third wheel in the Eagles’ backfield. Unless one or both of Sanders and Howard miss this Sunday’s game against Washington, Scott will be a fantasy afterthought.

Kenneth Gainwell: With Miles Sanders, Jordan Howard, and Boston Scott all on track to play this week, Gainwell is at risk of being a healthy scratch. He’s not usable this week even if he’s active.

Wide Receivers

Terry McLaurin: McLaurin sustained a concussion in Week 14 and wasn’t practicing as of Wednesday. He hurt himself while going high in the air in an attempt to wrest a Taylor Heinicke deep ball away from two Dallas defenders. It was a valiant effort, but McLaurin left that game with a 0-0-0 stat line. Over his last three games McLaurin has had 7-73-0 on 16 targets. It’s been a disappointing season for McLaurin, but with 61-808-5 receiving, he still has a chance to get to 1,000 yards. If he’s able to play this week, he’ll be no more than a low-end WR3 against the Eagles since he’ll be catching passes from third-string QB Garrett Gilbert.

DeVonta Smith: Smith has turned in a few “wow” games during his rookie season, but with the Eagles shifting to a run-heavy approach over the last six weeks, Smith’s target volume has dried up, making him a dicey fantasy option. The Eagles started to go run-heavy in Week 8. In the six games since their shift in offensive philosophy, Smith has had 18-295-3 on 29 targets, and he hasn’t drawn more than six targets in any game during that stretch. He could get a slight target boost this week with WR Quez Watkins on the COVID-19 list, and Smith gets a favorable matchup against a Washington defense that’s allowing 26.3 fantasy points per game to wide receivers, the second-highest total in the league. Smith is a low-end WR3.

Tight Ends

Ricky Seals-Jones: With Logan Thomas on IR with a knee injury, Seals-Jones goes back to being Washington’s top pass-catching tight end. RSJ had just 1-8-0 on four targets last week, but he could benefit from a favorable matchup against an Eagles defense that’s giving up 11.2 fantasy points per game to tight ends. However, RSJ’s ceiling may be limited with Washington forced to start third-stringer Garrett Gilbert at QB. Seals-Jones is a low-end TE2 this week.

Dallas Goedert: Goedert is coming off his best game of the season, a 6-105-2 performance against the Jets that was worth 25.5 fantasy points. But that was with Gardner Minshew as the Eagles’ quarterback. Coming out of a Week 14 bye, Jalen Hurts is back under center for Philly, and Goedert hasn’t caught a TD pass from Hurts since Week 4. Goedert is a low-end TE1 this week against Washington, and he’s not a great value at $5,300 on DraftKings.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Date/Time: Thursday December 16, 8:20pm ET
BettingPros Consensus Spread: Chiefs -3
BettingPros Consensus Over/Under: 52 points
Implied Vegas point totals: Chiefs 27.5, Chargers 24.5

Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes: We haven’t seen many ceiling games from Mahomes lately. In fact, there’s only been one since Week 7. Here are Mahomes’ last seven weekly fantasy finishes: QB22, QB17, QB22, QB1, QB26, QB19, QB11. Mahomes could have had a bigger day last week, but the Chiefs blew out the Raiders 48-9, and Mahomes threw his last pass with 12:48 left in the game. He completed 20 of 24 passes for 258 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions, resulting in his highest single-game passer rating (139.2) of the season. The Chiefs visit the Chargers this week. Could we get a shootout between Mahomes and Justin Herbert? When these two teams last met in Week 3, Mahomes threw for 260 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions, and he ran for 45 yards. Herbert threw four TD passes and no interceptions to fuel a 30-24 Chargers win in Kansas City. Mahomes is the QB5 this week.

Justin Herbert: Herbert turned in another masterful performance last week, throwing for 275 yards and three touchdowns in a 37-21 win over the Giants despite being without his best receiver, Keenan Allen, who was on the COVID-19 list. (Allen is tentatively expected back this week.) Herbert ranks fourth in the league in passing yards (3,822) and third in TD passes (30). When Herbert last faced the Chiefs back in Week 3, he threw for 281 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions. But the Kansas City defense hit the “on” switch once November arrived. Over their first seven games of 2021, the Chiefs gave up an average of 29.0 points. Over their last six games, the Chiefs have given up an average of 10.8 points. Their last three opponents have each scored exactly nine points. During this terrific six-game run for the K.C. defense, it’s held opposing QBs to 234.8 passing yards per game, with seven TD passes and eight interceptions. You’re still using Herbert, of course. He’s the QB3 in fantasy scoring this season, and he lands at QB3 in this week’s rankings.

Running Backs

Clyde Edwards-Helaire: Edwards-Helaire ran 10 times for 37 yards and two touchdowns last week in the Chiefs’ blowout win over the Raiders. CEH has scored three touchdowns in three games since coming back from a sprained MCL, averaging 66.7 yards from scrimmage over that span. This week, he’ll be facing a run-funnel Chargers defense that has given up 1,829 rushing yards this season, more than any other team except the Texans. Edwards-Helaire ran 17 times for 100 yards when the Chiefs faced the Chargers in Week 3. Edwards-Helaire is sharing some of the workload with Darrel Williams, but CEH has averaged a healthy 14.7 touches per game since his return. He’s a mid-range RB2 in a juicy matchup.

Darrel Williams: While Clyde Edwards-Helaire was out with a knee injury in Weeks 6-10, Williams averaged 13.8 carries a game and had at least 11 carries in four of those five contests. In the three games since Edwards-Helaire returned, Williams has had 12 carries and seven catches. The lighter workload makes him a back-end RB3 for this week, though there are two reasons why he’s a reasonable flyer if you’re in a pinch at running back: (1) The Chiefs have a potent offense, even if it’s struggled at times this season, and (2) Williams has a soft matchup against a Chargers defense that’s giving up 23.9 fantasy points per game (0.5 PPR) to running backs.

Austin Ekeler: It would have been painful if Ekeler’s investors lost him just before the start of the fantasy playoffs when he’s having such a sublime season. Ekeler hurt his ankle in Week 14 – apparently, it was an aggravation of an earlier injury – but he’s been practicing on a limited basis. Chargers head coach Brandon Staley has indicated that Ekeler will be a game-time decision on Thursday night. The RB2 in fantasy scoring this season, Ekeler has piled up 1,265 yards from scrimmage and 16 touchdowns. This week, the Chargers face the Chiefs, against whom Ekeler had 11-55-0 rushing and 6-52-1 receiving in Week 3. The Chiefs have given up the sixth-highest target total to running backs this season, so Ekeler will probably be busy as a pass-catcher in this one if he’s able to play. If Ekeler is out, we’ll probably see the RB workload divided between Justin Jackson and Joshua Kelley, but neither would be a viable fantasy option.

Wide Receivers

Tyreek Hill: Hill has gone three games without a touchdown – his longest TD drought of the season. He’s had only two 100-yard receiving games this season, none since Week 4. Yet Hill is still the WR5 in fantasy scoring, and he passed the 1,000-yard mark last week. The Chiefs face the Chargers this week, and Hill had 5-56-0 on seven targets when he last faced the Chargers in Week 3. Hill checks in at WR4.

Keenan Allen: After sitting out Week 14, Allen has been activated from the COVID-19 list and appears on track to play against the Chiefs on Thursday night. Even after missing a game, Allen still ranks sixth in the league in targets (124) and is tied for fifth in receptions (86). He’s had at least four catches in all 12 games he’s played this year. When Allen faced the Chiefs in Week 3, he caught 8 of 12 targets for 50 yards and a touchdown. Allen is a back-end WR1 this week.

Mike Williams: With Keenan Allen on the COVID-19 list in Week 14, Williams investors were hoping to get a smash game, but the results were just “meh”: 6-61-0 on six targets. In a game that Allen missed, you’d think Williams would account for more than a 19.3% target share. (Rookie WR Josh Palmer led the Chargers in targets Sunday with seven.) After being mired in a bad slump from Week 6 to Week 10, Williams has had 20-307-1 over his last four games. He had 7-122-2 against the Chiefs in Week 3, but the Kansas City defense appears to be a much tougher unit now than it was then. It should be noted, however, that the last time Williams faced the Chiefs on a Thursday night in the month of December, he had 7-76-2 receiving and 1-19-1 rushing in a 29-28 Chargers win in 2018. Williams is the WR24 this week.

Tight Ends

Travis Kelce: Strangely, Kelce has produced back-to-back stat lines of 3-27-0. That qualifies as a rare drought for the all-world tight end. He has a good chance to snap out of it this week. The Chargers have allowed 737 receiving yards to TEs, and Kelce had 7-104-0 against them in Week 3. Kelce is the TE2 this week behind only the red-hot George Kittle.

Jared Cook: Cook has scored a touchdown in two of his last three games, but he hasn’t topped 29 receiving yards in a game since Week 9. He’s also dealing with a minor quad injury, although he’s been practicing on a limited basis. Cook is the TE20 this week.

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