Greetings from week 15 of DFS Stacking. This weekly series aims to identify some of the more favorable stacks for DraftKings and FanDuel, both cash and tournament contests. Need more help setting some lineups? Make sure to check out our DFS Lineup Optimizer for quick and easy assistance to build some winning lineups.
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Week 15 Team Totals
ARI CARDINALS AT DETROIT LIONS |
IMPLIED POINT TOTAL: 47.5 |
ATL FALCONS AT SF 49ERS |
IMPLIED POINT TOTAL:46.0 |
SEA SEAHAWKS AT LA RAMS |
IMPLIED POINT TOTAL:45.0 |
DAL COWBOYS AT NY GIANTS |
IMPLIED POINT TOTAL:44.5 |
WAS FOOTBALL TEAM AT PHI EAGLES |
IMPLIED POINT TOTAL:44.5 |
CIN BENGALS AT DEN BRONCOS |
IMPLIED POINT TOTAL:44.5 |
CAR PANTHERS AT BUF BILLS |
IMPLIED POINT TOTAL:44.5 |
GB PACKERS AT BAL RAVENS |
IMPLIED POINT TOTAL:43.5 |
NY JETS AT MIA DOLPHIN |
IMPLIED POINT TOTAL:42.5 |
TEN TITANS AT PIT STEELERS |
IMPLIED POINT TOTAL:41.5 |
JAX JAGUARS AT HOU TEXANS |
IMPLIED POINT TOTAL: 39.5 |
Stacks to Target
DraftKings
Kyler Murray (QB – ARI) $7900 / James Conner (RB – ARI) $6400 / Christian Kirk (WR – ARI) $5300
Want a recipe for a bounce-back game after a loss? Play the Detroit Lions. It is that simple, folks. After tossing two picks last week, something he has not done since week two, Kyler Murray finds himself in a plus matchup and what should be an easy notch in the win column. Does losing DeAndre Hopkins for the remainder of the regular season hinder him? Sure, having a future hall of fame wide receiver on the field is always beneficial. However, Murray has learned to spread the ball around and has the weapons to do so. With the Lions being heavily susceptible to the run and James Conner popping up on the injury report with an ankle issue, his touchdown upside spikes considerably. Murray can be rolled out in cash games by himself or stacked. Either way, he is among my favorites at the position for this slate.
Conner’s health status must be monitored this week. If he is healthy enough to play, he should be in lineups, and stacking him with Murray only improves his value on a cash roster.
With Hopkins sidelined, the ancillary pieces become more valuable without the immediate inflation due to the news. Christian Kirk averages 2.8 DK points less on a per-game average than Hopkins but comes in at a $1600 discount. I liked this status before the Hopkins news, and it becomes even more critical this week as Kirk, A.J. Green, and Rondale Moore are all likely to see a salary increase next week. Take the discount this week and profit. Zach Ertz is not a bad pivot but is $100 more than Kirk. For cash games, Kirk is the preferred target, with Green or Moore as tournament options.
Matthew Stafford (QB – LAR) $7000 / Van Jefferson (WR – LAR) $5600 / Cooper Kupp (WR – LAR) $9000
Over the last five weeks, the Seahawks have allowed 294.6 passing yards and 1.2 passing touchdowns per game. Matthew Stafford has thrown multiple touchdown passes in 10 of 13 games. The cash game, high-floor/high-ceiling play is Cooper Kupp, but he comes with the ridiculous salary that matches his continued ridiculous production. Van Jefferson becomes the tournament play option at a very reasonable salary. With his 4.39 speed, I like this play for high-reward production with relatively low risk. In the last seven games, Jefferson has seen six or more targets five times. As the vertical threat he represents, he only needs one or two connections to make a solid fantasy day.
Literally, the only knock on Kupp is the 9K salary. He has produced at an otherworldly rate with Stafford under center. Even in Stafford’s “bad games,” Kupp emerges like Andy Dufrense in The Shawshank Redemption.
Tua Tagovailoa (QB – MIA) $5700 / Mike Gesicki (TE – MIA) $5000 / Albert Wilson (WR – MIA) $3400
Fresh off their bye week, Tua Tagovailoa and the Dolphins host the always entertaining New York Jets. The Jets are allowing the seventh-most fantasy points to quarterbacks this season while Tua is averaging a respectable 16.6 DK points per game. This sets up to be a decent tournament option that improves by stacking a couple of different options here. Initially, Jaylen Waddle would have been the more popular option, but alas, he was placed on the Covid Reserve list on Thursday morning.
Gesicki has cooled off considerably after a hot start and being the beneficiary of missing receivers. Calling my shot, this is Gesicki’s redemption game. The Jets have allowed five touchdowns to the position since their bye, including two to a backup quarterback and Dallas Goedert just two weeks ago. With Waddle unlikely to suit up, there are some targets that just became available.
Albert Wilson slots in as an interesting tournament option at the free-square realm for this game. Previously, this had been written up as a plug for Jaylen Waddle, who was sadly added to the Covid list on Thursday. Wilson has 14 targets over his last two games, both of which Waddle was active in and one of which DeVante Parker had returned. At this point, it is a little difficult to trust Parker to remain uninjured, despite the target volume he has had at various points of the season. At his $4300 salary, he is in play here as well, but Wilson could be the key outlier piece to a big finish.
For the more adventurous types, slot in the Dolphins DST to make this game even more watchable.
Honorable Mentions: Look for the healthy ones: Jimmy Garoppolo (QB, SF) $5800 / George Kittle (TE, SF) $7500 / Deebo Samuel (WR, SF) $8200 – Aaron Rodgers (QB, GB) $7500 / Devante Adams (WR, GB) $8900
FanDuel
Josh Allen (QB – BUF) $8700 / Dawson Knox (TE – BUF) $6500 / Cole Beasley (WR – BUF) $5800
Immediate reminder to always check the health status of players before sliding them into the unforgiving nature of DFS lineups. Josh Allen has been practicing in a limited fashion, making it appear as if he will indeed suit up. Allen actually leads all quarterbacks on this slate in FD points-per-game. The matchup is not great but not as scary as it seems. Over the last three games, the Panthers are allowing an average of 27.6 points per game. Meanwhile, Allen has thrown multiple touchdowns in five of the last seven games.
Dawson Knox has been a true breakout tight end this season and strolls into week 15 with eight touchdowns under his belt including three over the last three games. He is fifth among tight ends in targets within the 10-yard line and leads the position in touchdowns. Expect Knox to continue his red zone operational status, and he is as good a bet as any other tight end on this slate to come down with another score.
Cole Beasley continues to operate with a decent volume floor. In this matchup, he would be facing A.J. Bouye, who logged multiple DNP’s throughout the practice week. If Bouye does not suit up, Beasley is a low-cost, decent-floor, potential ceiling play that could pay off big. While everyone else is grabbing Stefon Diggs, get Beasley in some lineups.
Aaron Rodgers (QB – GB) $7600 / Davante Adams (WR – GB) $8500
While continuing to be expertly effective, Aaron Rodgers has been consistent without putting up gaudy fantasy numbers. He is averaging 21.5 FD points and only has two games under 16 FD points this season. He is a fantastic foundational piece that offers the security of his effective play while only taking a minimal ceiling hit. The Ravens are allowing the 12th-most fantasy points to quarterbacks this season, but are far more production through the air than on the ground. Expect Rodgers to continue to play solid football while leaving salary room to operate.
We cannot really talk up Rodgers and not mention Davante Adams. He has the third-highest FD points-per-game average among the position and the salary to match. He will be spending some time battling Anthony Averett, who is allowing 15.7 yards-per-reception in coverage. If there is a matchup and a week to pay up at the position, this one is it. He already has seven touchdowns this season and could easily add at least one more this week.
Baltimore is tougher against the run, and both Aaron Jones ($7500) and A.J. Dillon ($7500) are priced high enough to incur some unnecessary risk in dollars to points ratio. Add in the questionable tag for Jones, and it further accentuates the risk factor.
Jimmy Garoppolo (QB – SF) $6700 / George Kittle (TE – SF) $7800 / Deebo Samuel (WR – SF) $8200
Look for the plus matchups when putting together some tournament plays. Does Jimmy Garoppolo put up crazy point totals? No. Does he get extra points for being poster-boy handsome? Also no. Does he represent a decent floor? Yes. He is averaging 16.3 FD points per game on the season but has six multiple touchdown games, including five of the last six. The Falcons defense is nothing to be scared of and could allow a myriad of scoring opportunities.
All hail the return of George Kittle, who has been straight beastly since returning from injury. He is averaging 31.35 FD points in the last two games and the Falcons are allowing the eighth-most fantasy points to the position. Might be the fifth-most by the time Kittle is done carving them up this weekend. Pay up for Kittle, who can succeed both with volume and his ridiculous yards-after-the-catch ability.
Filling a hybrid role, Deebo Samuel has proven that he can succeed from anywhere on the field. He played well last week after missing one game with a groin injury and has been practicing. If he is healthy enough to start, he will find a way to produce.
Both Kittle and Samuel will have higher roster percentages, so treat this stack as more of a cash game play this week.
Honorable Mentions: Kyler Murray (QB, ARI) $8800 / Zach Ertz (TE, ARI) $5300 / A.J. Green (WR, ARI) $5700 – Jalen Hurts (if healthy) (QB, PHI) $7800 / DeVonta Smith (WR, PHI) $5900 / Dallas Goedert (TE, PHI) $6000 – Look for the healthy ones.
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John Hesterman is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from John, check out his archive and follow him @John_Hesterman.