Week 10 NFL DFS Digest (2021 Fantasy Football)

We’re entering the back nine of the 2021 NFL regular season. Thus, we have half a season’s worth of data to consider when making lineup decisions. This week, there are 12 games on the main slate. Below, I analyze each contest.

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Week 10 Matchups

Game: Buffalo Bills at New York Jets

Spread: BUF -12.0 Points

Over/Under: 47.5 Points

Bills Analysis: The Bills were upset last week on the road as massive favorites against the lowly Jaguars. Did they overlook the Jaguars, or was the poor showing a sign of things to come? Many pundits smarter than I am from a film-studying perspective noted Jacksonville's concerted effort to take away explosive passing plays. We've seen this formula utilized to frustrate and stymie the Chiefs.

Fortunately, Josh Allen showed the ability to excel in the short and intermediate areas of the field last year. He also adjusted for the second half against the Dolphins in Week 8, so I'm optimistic he bounces back this week. Also, obviously, his rushing upside always enhances his ceiling as well.

I expect the Bills to adjust to how teams defend them by peppering their short-area and intermediate-area options. Thus, excluding vertical threat Emmanuel Sanders from the table above is intentional. Instead, I prefer Stefon Diggs, Dawson Knox (if he returns from hand surgery), and Cole Beasley. They're listed in descending order of average depth of target. According to Pro Football Focus, Diggs' average depth of target in 2021 is 11.4 yards, Knox's is 9.2 yards, and Beasley's is 5.2 yards.

Zack Moss exited last week's game with a concussion. Devin Singletary is an attractive value play at running back if Moss cannot clear the concussion protocol. He's attached to a double-digit favorite. Thus, the game script should be favorable if the Bills turn it around this week. He's averaging 44.4 rushing yards, 2.6 receptions, and 10.3 receiving yards per game. Even a modest uptick in playing time and usage if Moss is out would make him a good bet to return value at his small salary.

Jets Analysis: Listen, the Jets have a pair of rookies, Michael Carter and Elijah Moore, playing well lately. Unfortunately, the matchup is disastrous for them this week. Further, Carter's offensive snap percentage dipped back under 60% last week. However, my more significant concern, according to Pro Football Focus, Mike White's average depth of target surged from 4.2 yards in Week 8 to 10.1 yards in Week 9 before exiting with an injury. If he's not going to dink-and-dunk to his running backs at an excessive rate, that dramatically hinders Carter's daily fantasy outlook this week. I've often bypassed touting Jets in this space this year. However, that might change in future weeks with Carter and Moore flashing lately.

Game: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Washington Football Team

Spread: TB -9.5 Points

Over/Under: 51.5 Points

Buccaneers Analysis: The Buccaneers come out of their Week 9 bye still banged up. The health of Chris Godwin, Antonio Brown, and Rob Gronkowski all warrants monitoring. Godwin's injury seems the least serious. Meanwhile, Gronk appears truly questionable, and Brown seems unlikely to play this week.

Thus, the passing-game hierarchy could once again be thinned out and headlined by Mike Evans and Godwin. Both are lineup picks, excelling when Brown misses time.

However, don't sleep on second-year receiver Tyler Johnson. According to Pro Football Focus, in three games without Brown, Johnson ranks third on the team in routes (82), hauling in 10 receptions for 144 yards on 14 targets. He's one of my favorite bargains if Brown is a spectator again in Week 10.

Meanwhile, Tom Brady is one of the top options, projecting as QB2 at DraftKings and FanDuel in our lineup optimizer. According to Sharp Football Stats, when the offensive scoring margin ranges from trailing by seven points to leading by seven points (which I'll refer to as a neutral scoring margin or game script going forward), the Bucs are passing at the second-highest rate (67%). Predictably, Brady is thriving in a pass-happy offense, leading the NFL with 331.3 passing yards per game and 25 passing touchdowns, per Pro-Football-Reference. Opposing Brady, the Football Team is unlikely to dissuade the Bucs from airing it out, ranking 31st in pass defense Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA), according to Football Outsiders.

Leonard Fournette has climbed to the top of Tampa Bay's running back pecking order, comfortably distancing himself from his peers. According to our snap count leaders, he's played 53% or more of Tampa Bay's offensive snaps in five straight games and six of eight contests. Fournette is averaging over 80 yards from scrimmage and 3.8 receptions per game, scoring four touchdowns. The game script should be favorable for him.

Additionally, the game script should be favorable for the Bucs' defense to pin their ears back and rack up fantasy points via sacks and turnovers. Taylor Heinicke hasn't been shy about putting the ball in harm's way. According to Pro Football Focus, among quarterbacks with at least 25 dropbacks, Heinicke owns the sixth-highest turnover-worthy-play percentage (3.9 TWP%).

Football Team Analysis: This isn't a fantasy-friendly layout for Washington. However, the projected game script and the matchup with Tampa Bay's stout run defense paves the way for a J.D. McKissic to dominate the backfield duties. Teams are passing at a 64.7% rate against the Buccaneers, and McKissic is Washington's pass-catching back. In addition, he's one of the top receiving backs in the NFL. According to Pro Football Focus, out of 41 running backs targeted at least 20 times in 2021, McKissic is fourth with 1.93 yards per route run (Y/RR). The pass-catching specialist is averaging 4.1 receptions and 58.0 yards from scrimmage per game. I'm chiefly interested in McKissic at DraftKings, where the scoring format is a better fit for McKissic's specialized receiving usage.

Game: Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys

Spread: DAL -9.0 Points

Over/Under: 54.5 Points

Falcons Analysis: The Falcons are more than a touchdown underdog. Yet, I'm intrigued by a few of their players in a game that should be played at a tantalizing pace. According to Football Outsiders, the Cowboys are playing at the third-fastest situation neutral pace, while the Falcons are at the ninth-fastest situation neutral pace.

Additionally, they are passing at the ninth-highest rate (60%) in neutral game scripts. The pace and offensive philosophy of the Falcons support using Matt Ryan. His top pass-catcher is stud rookie Kyle Pitts.

As is noted above, Pitts has huge spike week potential. So understandably, we project him as TE1 at both daily fantasy providers in Week 10.

Finally, I love Cordarrelle Patterson. He has dreamy usage as a converted receiver. Head coach Arthur Smith is wisely lining him up as a wide receiver in addition to his backfield work. In Atlanta's last three games, Patterson ranks third on the team in routes (63), hauling in 13 receptions for 164 yards on 15 targets. Unlike McKissic above, Patterson adds value as a runner. Patterson has rushed for 159 yards in his last four games. I'm targeting Patterson in GPPs.

Cowboys Analysis: Every team has an off game, and that's what I'm chalking up last week's dud as for the Cowboys. The fantasy-friendly pace I cited above applies to the Cowboys as well. Further, they're commanding favorites with a juicy implied total. Dallas has an excellent matchup on the ground and through the air, as the Falcons rank 27th in rush defense DVOA and 28th in pass defense DVOA.

All of the Cowboys' integral offensive players have a case for usage. Obviously, the large spread and Dallas' run-blocking prowess are great for Ezekiel Elliott's potential. According to Football Outsiders, the Cowboys are first in Adjusted Line Yards. Further, Pro Football Focus grades the Cowboys as the top run-blocking team.

Meanwhile, Dak Prescott leads a vaunted passing attack, ranking fifth in passing yards per game (292.1) and fourth in Adjusted Net Yards per Pass Attempt (7.91). So, Dallas's passing game is equipped to carve up the Dirty Birds. As a result, we project Prescott to finish as QB3 this week.

Among Prescott's pass-catchers, CeeDee Lamb is my favorite. However, Amari Cooper and Dalton Schultz are rock-solid options as well. We project Lamb as a top-10 receiver and Cooper as a top-15 receiver at both sites. We also project Schultz as a top-five tight end.

Game: New Orleans Saints at Tennessee Titans

Spread: TEN -3.0 Points

Over/Under: 44.5 Points

Saints Analysis: Alvin Kamara is nursing a knee injury. So, you need to monitor his status on Sunday. Further, his knee issue increases the risk of using him even if he is active. Nonetheless, Kamara's upside as a workhorse back is undeniable. The Saints made a sharp move, trading for Mark Ingram to avoid running Kamara into the ground. Still, in the last two games with Ingram back in the fold, Kamara has reached at least 20 carries plus targets and piled up 111 rushing yards, seven receptions, 69 receiving yards, and two touchdowns.

Gamers rooting around the bargain bin could do worse than considering Deonte Harris. Harris trails numerous players in the pecking order for routes. However, the Saints have clearly prioritized feeding him touches when he is on the field. Harris has 15 targets, nine receptions, 87 receiving yards, one rush, and 22 rushing yards in the previous two games. The shifty, diminutive receiver has the best matchup for receivers this week. The Titans have allowed the most DraftKings and FanDuel points per game to wideouts.

Titans Analysis: A.J. Brown's early-season struggles are a distant memory. He is back to doing stud things. He's been targeted at least nine times in four straight games, amassing 30 receptions, 421 receiving yards, and two touchdowns. With Derrick Henry out, Brown is a good bet for continued massive target totals and elite production.

Brown's running mate, Julio Jones, isn't having a banner year. When I started looking at this game, I didn't expect to come away touting Jones. However, here were are. The Saints rank first in rush defense DVOA and 13th in pass defense DVOA. Tennessee's path for success will be easier through the air than using their dreadful running backs against New Orleans' top-ranked rush defense. As for Jones, despite his modest box-score numbers this year, he remains efficient. Jones is 12th in yards per target (10.8 Y/Tgt) and 16th in yards per route run (2.18 Y/RR) among receivers targeted at least 25 times this season.

Finally, Brown and Jones have a favorable matchup, as the Saints have yielded the fifth-most DraftKings points per game and the fourth-most FanDuel points per game to receivers this season. As a result, Brown pops in our projections, ranking as WR3 at both sites and owning the third-highest value score among receivers on FanDuel.

Game: Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts

Spread: IND -10.5 Points

Over/Under: 47.5 Points

Jaguars Analysis: The Jaguars are riding high. Still, they scored only nine points in last week's win. They're a fantasy football wasteland, save for emerging tight end Dan Arnold. Arnold has reached at least four catches and 60 receiving yards three times in his last four games. He's been targeted five times in his previous four games as well. Arnold's an excellent punt at tight end.

Colts Analysis: The Colts are double-digit favorites, and Jonathan Taylor is going ham. He's averaging 128.8 yards from scrimmage per game, adding nine touchdowns and 2.6 receptions per game for good measure. So understandably, we project him to finish as RB1 this week.

The other Colt who merits consideration is No. 1 receiver Michael Pittman Jr. According to Sports Info Solutions, he has the 14th-highest target share (24.1%). The second-year receiver is breaking out, averaging 5.6 receptions and 73.1 receiving yards per game with five touchdowns. He should keep his sophomore surge going this week against a bottom-10 defense defending receivers that also rank in the basement in pass defense DVOA. However, don't just believe me. Our optimizer projects Pittman as the WR6 with the second-highest value score among receivers at both daily fantasy outlets.

Game: Detroit Lions at Pittsburgh Steelers

Spread: PIT -8.5 Points

Over/Under: 42.5 Points

Lions Analysis: There aren't many bright spots on the winless Lions. However, T.J. Hockenson is a top tight end. According to Stat Head, among tight ends this year, Hockenson is tied for 14th in receiving touchdowns (two), seventh in receiving yards per game (56.0), tied for second in targets (64), and second in receptions (48). Further, he's third at the position in routes (289), despite the Lions' bye last week. As a result, we project him as TE2 this week, making him a stellar daily fantasy pivot off Pitts.

Steelers Analysis: Pittsburgh's offense features a pair of top-shelf options and a bargain tight end. Najee Harris leads all running backs in offensive snap percentage (85%). The rookie back is turning his playing time into elite production, averaging 103.7 yards from scrimmage per game, with 5.0 receptions per game and six touchdowns. The sledding will be easy for him this week against the Lions. Detroit is ranked 25th in rush defense DVOA, and they're coughing up the second-most DraftKings and FanDuel points per game to running backs. He's a top-five back this week in a smash spot.

Diontae Johnson is projected as a top-10 receiver in a smash spot as well. The Lions are 29th in pass defense DVOA, cough up a whopping 15.32 receiving yards per game to receivers, and yield the highest average explosive pass rate (14%), per Sharp Football Stats. So it's a mouthwatering matchup for a receiver averaging 6.4 receptions and 75.7 receiving yards per game.

Finally, Pat Freiermuth has been making his mark in Pittsburgh's offense lately. The second-round pick has 20 targets, 16 receptions, 135 receiving yards, and three touchdown receptions in the last three weeks. Thanks to the Steelers playing in last week's Monday Night Football game, Freiermuth's salary remains a value, despite a 5-43-2 line in that game. As a result, he stands out like a sore thumb as a value in our projections, earning the fourth-highest value score at DraftKings and the highest value score at FanDuel among tight ends. He's my second-favorite value tight end behind only Arnold.

Game: Cleveland Browns at New England Patriots

Spread: NE -2.5 Points

Over/Under: 45.0 Points

Browns Analysis: After a positive test earlier this week, Nick Chubb is on the Reserve/COVID-19 list. However, he's reportedly positive and would be able to play if he's symptom-free and has two negative tests 24 hours apart. Chubb is nothing short of a stud as a runner. According to Pro Football Focus, he's tied for first in missed tackles forced rushing (35) and 10-plus yard runs (22), and first in yards after contact per attempt (4.58 YCO/A) among backs with at least 50 carries. In addition, he's rushed for 100 yards or more in three of his last four games, reaching at least 83 rushing yards in six of seven contests. If he's activated from the Reserve/COVID-19 list to face the Patriots, he's a high-ceiling GPP option.

If he's out, D'Ernest Johnson inherits a bell-cow role. Johnson doesn't turn heads with measurables, but he showcased the ability to thrive in Cleveland's elite run-blocking offense when entrusted to spearhead the backfield attack. Cleveland is second in Adjusted Line Yards and third in Pro Football Focus's run-blocking grade. Starting in Week, Johnson rumbled for 146 rushing yards and a score behind his road-grader offensive line. The Patriots are mid-pack rush defense, setting the table for him smashing value at a bargain price if he starts, making him a desirable option in cash games.

Patriots Analysis: Remarkably, Cleveland's backfield is arguably not the most cluttered in this game. Both Damien Harris and Rhamondre Stevenson suffered a concussion in Week 9 and are in the league's concussion protocol. Concussions are fickle, so any combination of them clearing or not clearing the league's concussion protocol by Sunday is possible. Nevertheless, I'm disinterested in any backfield members after Stevenson erupted for 106 yards from scrimmage, outperforming the team's top runner, Harris. Brandon Bolden is also a contributor in the backfield, soaking up passing-game work.

Unfortunately, Mac Jones isn't leading a high-flying, fantasy-friendly passing game, either. So, New England's favored defense is the only fantasy option I'm interested in. If the Patriots lead like the betting line suggests they might, they'll have a chance to pile up sacks against Baker Mayfield. According to Pro-Football-Reference, Mayfield is taking sacks at the second-highest rate (9.6%) this year.

Game: Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Chargers

Spread: LAC -3.0 Points

Over/Under: 53.0 Points

Vikings Analysis: This isn't entirely under the same pace umbrella as the Falcons at Cowboys. However, the Chargers are playing at the fourth-fastest pace, and the Chargers are a pinch below average at 18th. So, if the favored Chargers take the lead and impose their will for pace, this game might shoot out. The possibility of a back-and-forth, high-scoring affair puts Kirk Cousins, Justin Jefferson, and Adam Thielen on my radar as stacking options in a game-stack in GPPs. They'll have the added benefit of offering possible leverage off of Dalvin Cook in an apparent smash spot.

Cook is projected to be the RB2 at both sites with the fourth-highest value score at DraftKings and highest value score at FanDuel among running backs. The bell-cow runner is third in rushing yards per game (92.3) and taking aim at a run-funnel defense. The Chargers rank dead last in rush defense DVOA. Further, the Chargers have coughed up the second-most rushing yards (1,040) at an eye-popping 4.86 yards per rush attempt to running backs this year, despite playing only eight games.

Finally, Tyler Conklin is a defensible bargain tight end. He has five or more targets in three straight games and five of his last six. He's also amassed at least 45 receiving yards in three consecutive games. Unfortunately, Conklin's ceiling doesn't elicit excitement. Still, he's a nifty value option on DraftKings, where he has the third-highest value score among tight ends.

Chargers Analysis: The Chargers are the favorites in this game. In addition, again, they play at the fourth-fastest situation neutral pace. Add in a relatively consolidated offense featuring do-it-all back Austin Ekeler, Keenan Allen, and Mike Williams with Justin Herbert rebounding after hiccups in Week 6 and Week 8, and you have a fantasy-friendly situation.

Ekeler is averaging 100.5 yards from scrimmage and 4.5 receptions per game with eight touchdowns. He's a game-script-proof star.

Allen and Williams are two ships passing in the night. Nonetheless, I'm interested in both receivers this week. Allen has 24 targets in the last two games combined, producing a 6-77-1 and 12-104-0 line in those games. He is averaging 7.1 receptions and 75.0 receiving yards per game.

Unfortunately, Williams has hit the skids lately after a great start to the season. The fifth-year pro's average depth of target had ballooned after sitting at 10.0 yards or shallower in the first three games of the year when he shined his brightest. However, he's also dealt with a knee injury. The confluence of his injury and reversion to field-stretcher usage has crippled his production.

Still, he's only three games removed from pantsing the Browns for an 8-165-2 line in Week 5. Additionally, according to Pro Football Focus, his 13.4-yard average depth of target last week was his lowest since Week 3. Williams' route participation and playing time are dreamy, so maybe the Chargers can find a happy medium between his sub-10.0-yard average depth of target usage in Week 1 through Week 3 and his otherwise career-long usage as a vertical-only weapon. This week, Williams is in a plus matchup for a bounce-back as the Vikings allow the sixth-most DraftKings points per game and FanDuel points per game to receivers. Also, he might be under rostered in GPPs if salty gamers fade him after his recent struggles.

Finally, Herbert is leading the charge. The sophomore quarterback is fourth in passing yards per game (293.8) and tied for fifth in passing touchdowns (18). He is projected as the QB5 this week, making him a rock-solid GPP pick.

Game: Carolina Panthers at Arizona Cardinals

Spread: ARI -10.5 Points

Over/Under: 44.5 Points

Panthers Analysis: Christian McCaffrey returned from the injured reserve last week. He was sharp, amassing 106 yards. However, it wasn't vintage workhorse CMC. He played only 49% of the team's offensive snaps, and his 12 routes were eighth on the team. Further, Ameer Abdullah ran 17 routes, so CMC didn't even lead the backfield in routes. Thankfully, when he was on the field, the Panthers fed him the rock. CMC touched the ball 18 times.

The all-world back is worthy of GPP consideration, hoping that Carolina loosens the reigns more this week against the Cardinals. Arizona is a top-10 run defense in DVOA. However, they struggle with explosive plays, yielding the highest average explosive run rate (16%) and 4.69 yards per rush attempt to running backs. CMC is the caliber of dynamic back to exploit Arizona's susceptibility to allowing home-run carries. Finally, CMC also adds to his bottom line with his elite receiving ability. Thus, his ceiling is through the roof even in just his second game back from the injured reserve.

Cardinals Analysis: Kyler Murray hasn't practiced this week, despite feeling "way better." DeAndre Hopkins hasn't practiced this week, either. I'm fading them even if they play this week since they're clearly less than 100%.

Meanwhile, Chase Edmonds is battling a high-ankle sprain, so James Conner should claim a workhorse or near-workhorse role this week. Conner played 77% of the offensive snaps last week, the fifth-highest mark among running backs in Week 9. He also looked spry, rumbling for 96 yards and a pair of scores on 21 carries while reeling in all five of his targets for 77 yards and a touchdown. As a result, the veteran running back is a darling in our optimizer, earning the second-highest value score at DraftKings and the third-highest value score at FanDuel among running backs.

If you want to pivot away from Conner and get different exposure to the Cardinals, Christian Kirk is an intriguing option if Nuk is out, even with A.J. Green returning this week. Kirk showcased excellent chemistry with backup quarterback Colt McCoy, hauling in all six of his targets for 91 yards. Perhaps most importantly, he continued to excel in a breakout season even while playing wide more often than he typically does. In other words, Kirk is winning from the slot and the perimeter. Among receivers targeted at least 25 times this year, Kirk is 12th with 2.27 Y/RR. He's a nifty GPP leverage play if you expect Conner to be chalky at running back, something I think might come to fruition.

Finally, the defense is facing backup quarterback Phillip Walker (aka P.J. Walker). The former XFL star has taken a sack at a 9.0% rate in the seven games he's appeared in. He also sports a 3.7 TWP% on 79 dropbacks in his career, a mark that would tie for the 10th-highest among quarterbacks that have dropped back at least 50 times this year. As a result, Walker is likely to provide Arizona's defense plenty of scoring chances via sacks and turnovers.

Game: Philadelphia Eagles at Denver Broncos

Spread: DEN -2.5 Points

Over/Under: 45.5 Points

Eagles Analysis: The Eagles are a run-heavy team when the game script allows them to be. In neutral game scripts this year, the Eagles are passing at the fifth-lowest rate (52%). Further, they've gotten even more run-heavy over the last three weeks in neutral games, passing at an NFL-low 34% rate. So even with Jalen Hurts' ability to score points on the ground, I'm unwilling to invest in him and most of his pass-catchers in Philadelphia's current run-heavy offense.

The one exception I'll make is Dallas Goedert. In three games since the Eagles traded Zach Ertz, he has 18 targets, 12 receptions, 185 receiving yards, and a two-point conversion. We project Goedert to finish as the TE3 this week. Further, he's even more attractive at FanDuel, where he has the second-highest value score among tight ends.

Philadelphia's defense is a viable value pick. Teddy Bridgewater is a gift to opposing fantasy defenses. Teddy Two Gloves is taking sacks at the seventh-highest rate, and he's tied for the 12th-highest turnover-worthy-play rate (3.3 TWP%).

Broncos Analysis: The Broncos are favored at home against a bad run defense. Thus, the one-two punch of Melvin Gordon III and Javonte Williams might both be able to provide value while sharing snaps. The Eagles are 20th in rush defense DVOA, and they have coughed up the fifth-most FanDuel points per game and the fourth-most DraftKings points per game to running backs this season.

The veteran Gordon has a modest edge in playing time. However, Williams is the more efficient runner. In addition, the hard-charging runner is tied for the most missed tackles forced (35) rushing this year. Gordon is a usable option in GPPs. However, I prefer taking the discount for the more efficient Williams. So, while I might use both backs, I'll have more exposure to Williams.

Jerry Jeudy is the other piece of the offense I'm intrigued by. The second-year receiver returned from the injured reserve in Week 8. Since returning, Jeudy ranks third on the team in routes (48). However, he leads the way in targets (12) and receptions (10). Also, Jeudy is primarily playing the slot, soaking up short targets with an average depth of target of 6.8 yards downfield in his return. Finally, his short-area usage makes him a better matchup fit against the Eagles than field-stretchers Tim Patrick and Courtland Sutton. The Eagles have allowed the fourth-lowest average explosive pass rate (six percent).

Game: Seattle Seahawks at Green Bay Packers

Spread: GB -3.5 Points

Over/Under: 49.0 Points

Seahawks Analysis: Russell Wilson is expected back this week. Aaron Rodgers is also projected to return for this game. Therefore, we might be treated to a matinee shootout between marquee quarterbacks, and the small spread and over/under that's just under 50 points showcase the potential for a back-and-forth offensive affair taking place. Wilson played incredibly efficient football before his injury, leading the league in Adjusted Net Yards per Pass Attempt (9.12), completing 72.0% of his passes, and throwing 10 interceptions versus only one interception. If the Seahawks are dragged into a shootout, Wilson can score fantasy points in bunches. Because he's coming off a lengthy stay on injured reserve, there is a risk he'll be rusty. Still, he's worthy of GPP consideration.

D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett are the primary beneficiaries of Wilson's return. Both have produced spiked weeks with Wilson hooking up with them on his patented "moon balls." As a result, our projections rank them both as top-15 receivers this week.

The sneaky option from this game might be Gerald Everett. It hasn't been a banner first year with the Seahawks for the athletic tight end. However, his best game of the year was his last one playing with Wilson. In Week 3, Everett secured all five of his targets for 54 scoreless yards. Unfortunately, Geno Smith and a stint on the Reserve/COVID-19 list derailed his season since that modest showing. If he can pick up where he left off with Wilson, then he can deliver as a punt.

Packers Analysis: Rodgers is expected to return from the Reserve/COVID-19 list this week. He is greeted by a friendly matchup, facing a Seattle defense that's ranked 24th in pass defense DVOA. Rodgers is looking to add to his seven-game streak of throwing multiple touchdowns. In addition, he has four spiked weeks this year, demonstrating the requisite ceiling for GPP consideration.

Meanwhile, Davante Adams is the WR1 in our projections this week with the second-highest value score at DraftKings and highest value score at FanDuel among receivers. Arguably the top receiver in the NFL, Adams ranks fourth in Intended Air Yards (1,016), target share (30.1%), and yards per route run (2.93 Y/RR). In addition, he ranks third in receptions per game (7.3) and receiving yards per game (98.3). As a result, he's an elite option in all game types.

Finally, Aaron Jones is projected as the RB7 this week. He's ceded some work on the ground to second-year bruiser AJ Dillon. Nevertheless, he's a force in the passing attack. He seamlessly blends stellar rushing and receiving production for 83.6 yards per game from scrimmage and 3.7 receptions per game. Jones also has a nose for the endzone, scoring seven touchdowns this year. Revisiting Jones' receiving prowess, he isn't just used on swing passes and traditional passing concepts for a running back. Instead, among running backs this year, he's run the 12th-most routes from the slot (20), third-most routes aligned wide (36), and most routes aligned inline (17).

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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.