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Now, let’s get into some players whose stocks I’m buying on Sunday, November 28, Week 12.
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Michael Pittman ($3.20 Projected Finish: 50)
Pittman’s performance last week (4.3 points) will hopefully drive his price down for this juicy matchup against the Bucs. Don’t let a down game fool you. He still leads the Colts in targets by nearly 30, receiving yards by more than 400, and receiving touchdowns. The Bucs have surrendered 18 touchdowns to opposing receivers this season, and if the Colts want to stay in this game, they’ll surely have to prove they can pass successfully, considering Tampa Bay has one of the more stout run defenses in the league.
Russell Gage ($1.20 Projected Finish: 77)
If Russell Gage shares are severely discounted here, I am buying in. The discount would be warranted, too. In four games without Calvin Ridley this season, Gage has tallied just 12 catches and 113 yards. This Sunday, however, the Jacksonville Jaguars will be without their best cornerback Shaquill Griffin. Even with Griffin, the Jacksonville defense has been mediocre at best. The Falcons proved to have some serious issues blocking, and Josh Allen is a beast, which makes me think Matt Ryan will prioritize getting the ball out quickly. Assuming Gage can get open, which isn’t a given, he could be in line for a heavy target share with a capped ceiling as he’s not a traditional deep threat.
Dalvin Cook ($5.17 Projected Finish: 33)
Dalvin Cook is my smash play Sunday. His share price will be high, but I’m paying for it. The San Francisco 49ers have allowed the fifth-fewest completions and third-fewest passing yards so far this season. Conversely, they’ve surrendered the third-most rushing touchdowns in the league. Over the last two weeks, the Niners have outscored opponents 61-20. In those two games, their opponents handed the ball to their running backs just 22 times. Before those games, the Cardinals beat San Francisco, and Arizona ran the ball 39 times for 163 yards and three touchdowns. The Vikings have to involve Dalvin Cook early and often. Cook is also looking as though he’s in peak form. In his last four games, Cook is averaging 4.5 yards per carry and has tacked on 14 targets in that time.
Lamar Jackson ($6.50 Projected Finish: 25)
Despite his undeniable explosiveness and fantasy value, Jackson’s shares may be discounted more than usual, albeit still high because he is Lamar Jackson, after all. Jackson missed last weekend’s contest with a non-COVID illness. All signs point to him starting at home against the Browns. Saying Jackson is due for a big rushing week is an understatement. He’s gone seven games in a row without a rushing touchdown. Now, he’ll face the Browns. In their last four games, the Browns have surrendered 552 rushing yards and six touchdowns in their previous four games.
Evan Engram ($1.72 Projected Finish: 69)
Death, taxes, and the Philadelphia Eagles getting burned by opposing tight ends. Even in big wins, they allow TEs beautiful stat lines (see: T.J. Hockenson). Even after they phased out linebacker Alex Singleton, who was having a dreadful season in coverage, they’ve allowed solid performances (see: Albert O, Noah Fant, and Adam Trautman). Engram has the best matchup in football, now factor in that he played 90% of offensive snaps last week. Now, factor in Kyle Rudolph and Kadarius Toney are doubtful, and Sterling Shepard is out. Evan Engram can’t have a better set-up than this week. Now it’s on him to finish the alley-oop.
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