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You can wager on up to four props per game, and your payouts increase the more player props you choose. You have two options: over/under and matchup. For over/unders, simply pick whether a player will go over or under a stat, and for matchups, choose which player will finish with more of a certain stat. Pretty simple, right? In the latest article of a recurring series, I’ll be naming my favorite props of the day.
Today’s picks focus on the only two games on the slate – the Eastern Conference play-in games! Am I excited to get into these props? You betcha!
For a list of game over/unders and point spreads, visit BettingPros.
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Wizards at Celtics
Bradley Beal (SG – WAS) OVER 31.5 points
Beal just missed out on this season’s scoring title (finishing behind only Stephen Curry), thanks to a career-best 31.3 points per game. He’s scored at least 42 points in two of his last four games played, and as long as he’s healthy for tonight’s contest, he’s got a great shot to eclipse this prop. The over/under on this one is 232.5, so there’s plenty of room for production from Beal and Russell Westbrook… more on him later.
Russell Westbrook (PG – WAS) OVER 24.5 points
Westbrook’s tremendous finish to the season cannot be understated, as he seemingly willed his team to the playoffs and broke Oscar Robertson’s career triple-doubles record. In the month of May, Westbrook has averaged an insane 26.3 points, 16.1 assists, 13.8 boards, and 1.7 steals. His point totals are a little more erratic than Beal’s, but this is a must-win game for the Wizards, and Westbrook should show up to play. I like the over.
Jayson Tatum (PF – BOS) UNDER 32.5 points
This one is really tough to bet, but I’ll have to take the under. The point total is rather lofty, and though Tatum has a 60-point game to his credit within the last three weeks, he’s only scored at least 33 points in 13 of 64 games this season and Washington is no more than a middle-of-the-pack matchup to opposing PF’s. Washington’s duo of Beal and Westbrook are the entire Wizards’ offense, but Tatum has some help in Boston in the forms of Kemba Walker and Evan Fournier among others.
Kemba Walker (PG – BOS) OVER 20.5 points
Walker has been out for the Celtics’ last three games due to a neck injury, but with Boston locked into the 7th-seed, there was no reason to get him back into the lineup. Across his last four games of the season, he averaged 29.8 points, including three 30-point showings. Washington allowed the most points to opposing PG’s this season, so the over seems like a no-brainer.
Evan Fournier (SG/SF – BOS) OVER 18.5 points
With Jaylen Brown out of commission, Fournier came into his own to close out the season. Across his final six games of the campaign (all without Brown), Fournier averaged a healthy 19.7 points. This is a good over to bet.
Marcus Smart (SG – BOS) OVER 14.5 points
Smart has always made his bones on defense and the ability to contribute across multiple categories. His 13.1 points per game this season are the highest of his career, which speaks to his limited offense. Over his last six games, Smart averaged just 9.0 points, and despite a favorable matchup, I’m not comfortable betting the over on a Smart point total here.
Hornets at Pacers
PJ Washington (PF – CHA) OVER 6.5 rebounds
I love the over on this prop! Washington averaged 8.9 boards over his last seven games, and the Pacers have surrendered the seventh-most rebounds to opposing PF’s this season. Indiana is still thin in the frontcourt behind Domantas Sabonis, so this is an easy over for Washington.
Terry Rozier (SG – CHA) UNDER 21.5 points
Rozier is always liable to erupt for 40, but tonight doesn’t feel like a favorable spot in which to do it. Across his last four games, Rozier has averaged just 16.5 points. Despite heavy minutes, he scored at least 22 points only once in that span. On the season, Indiana has allowed the ninth-fewest points to opposing SG’s, and I’ll have to take the under.
Caris LeVert (SG – IND) OVER 22.5 points
This is a close one, but I’ll take the over by a hair. On the year, LeVert has averaged 23.4 points in the 30 games in which he’s played at least 30 minutes. With the over/under for this one set at 227.5 and Indiana just three-point favorites, I expect LeVert to be in action all game and hit those minutes and points thresholds. He ended the season on a high note, averaging 25.9 points across his final 10 games.
Domantas Sabonis (PF – IND) OVER 20.5 points
Sabonis has absolutely annihilated opposing defenses across his last nine games, averaging 23.0 points in that span to go with a triple-double average! Tonight, he’ll face a Charlotte frontcourt that has surrendered the most points to opposing PF’s this season. Lock in the over in this very favorable spot.
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Zachary Hanshew is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Zachary, check out his archive and follow him @zakthemonster.