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FanDuel DFS NBA Strategy Advice: Saturday (4/3)

FanDuel DFS NBA Strategy Advice: Saturday (4/3)

It’s Saturday, and we got you covered with some of the best values, studs, and fades for the evening’s DFS festivities. With eight total matchups rounding out FanDuel’s main slate, there will certainly be plenty of unique ways to build your lineup.

Let’s get right to it!

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Most Value Per Dollar 

Below is a list of the top-10 players of the day expected to generate the most value relative to their salary. These are ranked in order.

When first looking at Saturday’s slate, you notice a wide range of projected totals. For example, both of the MIA/CLE and DET/NYK matchups currently sport an over-under less than 210, while matchups such as MIN/PHI and MIL/SAC have an over-under set above 231.

For a full list of odds and point spreads, visit BettingPros.

As for the positional breakdown, there doesn’t appear to be any home-runs as far as value goes, but that could change at any moment when the NBA’s Official Injury Report releases at 5:00 PM ET. It will be imperative to monitor Bradley Beal’s status ahead of the Wizards’ 7:00 PM ET tip against the Mavericks as he’s missed the last three games with a hip injury. If he’s forced to sit again, guys like Rui Hachimura ($6,000) and Russell Westbrook ($11,000) become much more appealing plays.

Below is a list of the top-10 players of the day expected to generate the most value relative to their salary. These are ranked in order.

Victor Oladipo (MIA): $7,600
Oladipo’s debut with the Heat was a bit underwhelming in terms of offensive production, but the guard made his presence felt nonetheless, both as a playmaker and on defense. If there was ever a matchup to kick start his offense, this would be it, as the Cavaliers are surrendering the third-most FanDuel points to opposing guards this season.

Hamidou Diallo (DET): $6,100
Diallo is starting to find his groove in Detroit after being acquired earlier this month. He’s averaged just under 40 FanDuel points over his last two games and should be good to go after being rested during Thursday’s game against the Wizards.

Mason Plumlee (DET): $6,100
Staying in Detroit for this one, Plumlee is coming off a near triple-double performance in Thursday’s win over the Wizards, where he finished with 41.7 FanDuel points. While the Knicks have played inspiring defense this season, they have been awful against opposing big men, surrendering the fourth-most FanDuel points to centers.

Rui Hachimura (WAS): $6,000
Hachimura has been amazing outside of Thursday’s 10-point dud, and he’s been one of the biggest beneficiaries in Bradley Beal’s absence. If Beal is forced to sit once more on Saturday, Hachimura could be the focal point of the Wizards attack alongside Russell Westbrook against a Mavericks team playing on the road in the second night of a back-to-back set. Dallas also just so happens to allow the fifth-most FanDuel points per game to opposing small forwards this season.

Buddy Hield (SAC): $5,800
Hield is nearly $700 lower than his season average, and Saturday’s game against the Bucks is currently set at the highest over-under on the slate. He had a rough outing in Friday’s loss to the Lakers, so he’ll be looking to rebound in a big way on Saturday.

T.J. McConnell (IND): $4,900
This call is solely tied to the status of Malcolm Brogdon, who was forced to miss Friday’s loss to the Hornets. McConnell becomes a lock priced less than $5,000 if Brogdon is forced to sit again, as he’s averaging 1.04 FanDuel points per minute in 628 minutes without Brogdon on the floor this season. Not to mention the Spurs are giving up the third-most FanDuel points per game to opposing point guards throughout the season.

Jaden McDaniels (MIN): $4,900
McDaniels has been impressive over the last week, averaging 13.2 points, 4.0 rebounds, and 1.4 blocks over his last five games. While Philadelphia has been a tough matchup for opposing power forwards this season, McDaniels is a fantastic upside play priced below $5,000.

Dean Wade (CLE): $4,600
Wade has quietly been productive over the last two weeks, scoring at least 22 FanDuel points in six of his last seven games. He’s coming off of a 31.6 point outing on Thursday and should continue to see more time with Larry Nance Jr. ruled out Saturday.

Robin Lopez (WAS): $4,500
While Alex Len has been getting the starting nod, Lopez has been the better fantasy player over the last week. He’s averaging just under 30 FanDuel points over his last two games and gets a Mavericks squad on the road in the second leg of a back-to-back set.

Jordan McLaughlin (MIN): $3,600
McLaughlin was given the starting nod for the injured Ricky Rubio on Friday and played 33 minutes in the loss. If Rubio is forced to miss Saturday’s game as well, McLaughlin should be a lock for 5x value priced at only $3,600. This call does come with some risk, but he presents a solid floor with room for upside.

Studs Worth Their Salary

  • Russell Westbrook (WAS) $11,000: Westbrook should be a fixture in lineups if Bradley Beal is forced to miss his fourth straight game with a hip injury. Brodie is seeing a 38 percent usage rate and averaging over 1.5 FanDuel points without Beal in the lineup this season.
  • Julius Randle (NYK) $9,000: Randle had a quiet performance in Friday’s loss to the Mavericks but gets a fantastic matchup against the sorry Pistons. He’s averaging 26 points, 12 rebounds, 6.5 assists, one block, and one steal on nearly 57 percent shooting in their two previous meetings earlier this season.

Notable Players to Fade

  • Joel Embiid (PHI) $10,700: While Embiid has been dominant for most of the season, Saturday will mark his first bit of action since March 12th, making him a risky play in his first game back. It’s also entirely possible that he is put on some sort of minutes limit due to the long layoff, which would drastically reduce his upside. He should get back to his dominant ways soon, but I want to wait a game or two before building my lineups around him.
  • De’Aaron Fox (SAC) $9,500: Fox has been struggling over his last two games, averaging less than 28 FanDuel points in both contests. He gets a tough matchup against the Bucks on Saturday, who have been a solid defensive team and allow the 10th-fewest FanDuel points to opposing point guards this season. I’d rather pay up for Russell Westbrook ($11,000) or Luka Doncic ($10,400).

Create FanDuel lineups using our DFS Lineup Optimizer tool partner-arrow

Beyond our daily fantasy basketball content, be sure to check out our Daily Fantasy Basketball Tools. From our Lineup Optimizer – which allows you to build winning DFS lineups in seconds for Cash and GPP contests – to our DFS Cheat Sheets – that helps you get a quick read on the day’s players – we’ve got you covered this fantasy basketball season.

Alex Burns a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Alex, check out his archive and follow him @aburnshoops.

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