This week has been my best week of the season, and I hope you guys are benefiting from these articles. Kenyon Martin Jr was our top value on Sunday, and we followed it up with a gem from Richaun Holmes on Monday. Those guys both flirted with 10X value, and I’m hoping to keep that momentum rolling here. So, without further ado, let’s get into the values for this Wednesday slate!
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Most Value Per Dollar
The more I write these articles, the more I realize where the NBA is at. It’s become a point guard and center league, which is pretty much where most of the value lies on DraftKings. The center position always seems to be the most mispriced, with tons of value there every day. That’s certainly the case again here, and it’s hard to understand why these guys are always about $1,000 too cheap. In terms of betting, Denver is the only sizable favorite on this slate. That should lead to some close games, so let’s talk about some of our favorite values from those games!
If you’d like to see more information on how the betting landscape will be for this slate, check out BettingPros.
Below is a list of the top-10 players of the day expected to generate the most value relative to their salary. These are ranked in order.
Myles Turner (IND) $5,900
Turner might hold the record for most appearances in my articles, and it’s mind-boggling why DK keeps his price below $6K. We’re talking about a guy who’s averaging 32 fantasy points per game for the season, which is well below his 37-point average over his last four fixtures. What we really love here is the matchup, though, with Brooklyn surrendering the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing centers.
Kyle Lowry (TOR) $8,600
Lowry should continue his beast mode ways with Pascal Siakam, OG Anunoby, and Fred VanVleet all out of the lineup. The Raptors guard has at least 38 DK points in eight-straight outings, averaging 44 fantasy points per game since returning from injury two weeks ago. We love the matchup, too, with Detriot sitting 19th in defensive efficiency.
Richaun Holmes (SAC) $6,700:
Holmes was the star of our Monday article, and we’re going right back to the well. He provided 58 fantasy points in that absolute gem, bringing his average up to 41 DK points over his last seven outings. That alone makes him hard to fade, but Washington ranks 27th in total defense while playing at the fastest pace in the NBA as well.
Tomas Satoransky (CHI) $3,800
With Coby White headed to the bench and Satoransky taking over starting point guard duties, we love him at this price. He provided 34 DK points in his first start on Sunday and averaged 25 fantasy points per game as a starter last year. That’s all you can ask for from such a cheap player.
Tony Bradley (PHI) $4,000
Bradley is going to remain in this article until he gets closer to $5K. He’s now the starting center in Philly with Joel Embiid sidelined, and he’s proven to be valuable when given the minutes. In fact, TB is averaging 28 DK points per game in the seven outings he’s played at least 20 minutes, and that seems like a strong possibility here in this expanded role.
Delon Wright (DET) $5,800
Wright was flirting with $7K early on in the season, and it’s hard to understand why his price has dropped so much. Delon averaged 32.3 DK points per game in his 21 games before getting injured, which is right on par with his 30-point floor over his last two outings. It’s not like Toronto is a scary matchup either, with the Raptors ranked 17th in defensive efficiency.
Brook Lopez (MIL) $4,900
Lopez is becoming a regular in my articles, and we’re going to keep riding him until this price rises. Despite struggling in the first two months, Bro-Lo has at least 30 fantasy points in three of his last four games, averaging 34.2 DK points per game in that span. Those are the numbers we used to see when Lopez was a $7K player in years past, and maybe he’s returning to that guy!
Derrick White (SAS) $5,400
White has too much upside to remain below $6K. We say that because he has at least 40 fantasy points in two of his last five games, which is unseen from a player this cheap. With DeMar DeRozan and LaMarcus Aldridge out again, White’s role should increase as well. The icing on the cake is the matchup, though, with Chicago ranked 24th in defensive efficiency while playing at the fifth-fastest pace in the NBA.
Mason Plumlee (DET) $6,100
Plumlee has been a pleasant surprise for the Pistons all year, and his role has skyrocketed with Blake Griffin out of the picture. Plumdog Millionaire has at least 25 fantasy points in 14 of his last 15 games, averaging 35 DK points per game in that span. One of those gems came against these Raptors, with Mason collecting 14 points, 11 rebounds, and 10 assists in one of the most shocking triple-doubles of all-time.
Will Barton (DEN) $5,400
Barton is another guy who’s been in this article a lot recently, and recent results indicate what sort of heater we’re on right now! He’s now scored at least 26 DK points in seven-straight games, averaging over 32 fantasy points per game in that span. We expect that to continue against a subpar Charlotte defense, and we’ll discuss that more in the next section.
Check out our NBA Prop Bet Cheat Sheet for the top bets of the day
Studs Worth Their Salary
- Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL) $11,000: Giannis is in this section pretty much every article I write and it’s easy to see why when you look at his recent form. The two-time MVP has at least 59 DraftKings points in 13 of his last 15 games, averaging an absurd 64 fantasy points per game in that span. He killed Philly last season too, averaging over 60 DK points per game in three meetings against them.
- Nikola Jokic (DEN) $10,800: Jokic is the league leader with 60 DK points per game and he’s hard to fade on every slate he’s in. He’s been particularly good recently, averaging 62 DK points per game across his last seven outings. We obviously don’t mind that he faces a 21st-ranked defense here either.
- Russell Westbrook (WAS) $10,400: People aren’t talking enough about how good Russ has been over the last month. He’s now scored at least 42 fantasy points in 18-straight outings while averaging 53 fantasy points per game over his previous 14 fixtures. The best part might be the matchup, though, with Sacramento owning the NBA’s worst defensive rating.
- De’Aaron Fox (SAC) $9,200: Fox is another guy not getting enough attention. The speedy Sacramento guard has scored at least 33 fantasy points in 25-straight games, averaging 45 fantasy points per game in that span. We love that in the best matchup in fantasy basketball.
Notable Players to Fade
- Kemba Walker (BOS) $6,900: Kemba’s shot was busted before Marcus Smart came back and now that he, Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown are all fighting for touches, it’s hard to imagine Walker having many more big games. That’s certainly evident recently, with Kemba averaging just 26.6 DK points per game over his last three outings. That’s unacceptable from a $7K player.
- Caris LeVert (BKN) $6,800: LeVert has struggled in his return to action and it’s clear he’s going to have a tough time producing at a $7K level with Domantas Sabonis and Malcolm Brogdon handling the ball so much in Indiana. He’s failed to crack 30 fantasy points in each of his first two games and there’s some serious blowout potential with Indiana and Brooklyn going in separate directions.
- Wendell Carter Jr. (CHI) $5,300: WCJ has been trending down for weeks and a move to the bench is really concerning. He played fewer than 20 minutes on Sunday, and we can’t trust that against a Top-10 Spurs defense.
- Kyle Anderson (MEM) $5,200: Anderson was amazing in the first two months but he’s hit a wall recently. He’s scored 24 or fewer fantasy points in six-straight games, averaging just 19.9 DK points per game in that span.
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Joel Bartilotta is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Joel, check out his archive and follow him @Bartilottajoel.