Here’s a look at fantasy football rankings from our most accurate experts of the 2020 season. These rankings are for half-PPR scoring fantasy football formats.
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RK | PLAYER NAME | TEAM | OPP | MATCHUP RATING | START/SIT | PROJ. FPTS | AVG. POINTS | % GAMES | OPPORTUNITY | EFFICIENCY |
1 | Kyler Murray | ARI | vs. BUF | 7.6 | A+ | 24.2 | 5.6 | 73% (11/15) | 14% | Great |
2 | Josh Allen | BUF | at ARI | 7 | A | 23.1 | 3.3 | 64% (11/17) | 10% | Great |
3 | Aaron Rodgers | GB | vs. JAC | 8 | A | 22.7 | 0.3 | 46% (7/15) | 0% | Great |
4 | Russell Wilson | SEA | at LAR | 5.8 | A | 22.2 | 1.6 | 46% (7/15) | 2% | Great |
5 | Deshaun Watson | HOU | at CLE | 7.8 | A | 21.8 | 1.2 | 57% (8/14) | 6% | Great |
6 | Justin Herbert | LAC | at MIA | 3.6 | B+ | 21.4 | 9.3 | 85% (6/7) | 3% | Great |
7 | Lamar Jackson | BAL | at NE | 4.4 | B+ | 21.1 | 1.6 | 53% (8/15) | 7% | Great |
8 | Tom Brady | TB | at CAR | 3.2 | B | 20.5 | -0.2 | 37% (6/16) | 3% | Great |
9 | Jared Goff | LAR | vs. SEA | 7.2 | B | 20 | 0.8 | 56% (9/16) | 5% | Great |
10 | Carson Wentz | PHI | at NYG | 8.4 | B | 19.5 | 2.6 | 60% (9/15) | 6% | Great |
11 | Drew Brees | NO | vs. SF | 7.6 | B- | 19.1 | 2.9 | 68% (11/16) | 3% | Great |
12 | Ben Roethlisberger | PIT | vs. CIN | 9.4 | B- | 18.5 | 0.9 | 62% (5/8) | 4% | Great |
13 | Ryan Tannehill | TEN | vs. IND | 4 | C+ | 18.1 | 5.1 | 66% (10/15) | 1% | Great |
14 | Derek Carr | LV | vs. DEN | 5 | C+ | 17.8 | 1.3 | 56% (9/16) | 4% | Great |
15 | Tua Tagovailoa | MIA | vs. LAC | 7 | C | 17.6 | -0.7 | 14% (1/7) | 0% | Poor |
16 | Baker Mayfield | CLE | vs. HOU | 7.8 | C | 17.3 | 1.2 | 50% (8/16) | 1% | Great |
17 | Joe Burrow | CIN | at PIT | 6.8 | C- | 17.1 | 3 | 75% (6/8) | 7% | Good |
18 | Drew Lock | DEN | at LV | 6 | D+ | 17 | 0.3 | 41% (5/12) | 5% | Good |
19 | Matthew Stafford | DET | vs. WAS | 8.4 | D | 16.8 | -0.3 | 50% (4/8) | 1% | Great |
20 | Teddy Bridgewater | CAR | vs. TB | 3.2 | D | 16.6 | 0.9 | 37% (6/16) | 4% | Great |
Tua Tagovailoa (MIA)
His second start looked much better than the first, as he completed 20-of-28 passes for 248 yards and two touchdowns, though the lack of volume is a problem. That’s just 50 pass attempts in his first two NFL starts, so unless he’s a hyper-efficient passer (like he was against the Cardinals), he’s not going to provide a very high floor for streamers. The Chargers have faced an average of 37.0 pass attempts per game, as teams have chosen to pass the ball 61.9 percent of the time against them, which is the sixth-highest mark in football. Volume has been necessary, as there have been just two quarterbacks who’ve averaged more than 7.17 yards per attempt against the Chargers. There have been four quarterbacks who’ve finished as top-12 options against the Chargers, but every one of them threw the ball 41-plus times. What has to make you feel good about Tagovailoa this week is that the Chargers have allowed five straight teams to score 29 or more points, while the Dolphins have a 25.3-point implied team total. The lack of pass attempts are a concern though, and unless the Chargers jump out to a big lead, it’s hard to see that changing, which is what keeps Tagovailoa in the middling QB2 range.
Drew Lock (DEN)
It was good to see him take advantage of a great matchup last week, as he racked up a career-high 313 yards, while throwing for two touchdowns and rushing for another. He’s now thrown for 561 yards and five touchdowns over the last two weeks, giving fantasy managers confidence to consider him as a streamer. He’s averaging a league-high 10.0 air yards per target. No other quarterback is averaging above 9.4 intended air yards. The Raiders have struggled to get pressure on the opposing quarterback this year, as they’ve generated a sack on just 3.0 percent of dropbacks, which could mean extra time for Lock to unload deep. The Raiders have allowed 27 pass plays of 20-plus yards, which ranks as the 10th-most in the league. They’ve held opposing quarterbacks to a mediocre 7.57 yards per attempt, but volume (36.1 pass attempts per game) has carried them through. It should also be noted that consistency has been there, as the only two quarterbacks that have finished with less than 7.76 yards per attempt were Cam Newton (duh) and Baker Mayfield (50 MPH wind game). Lock should feel the ability to take chances, too, as the Raiders have intercepted just three passes all year. The high total doesn’t help, but we still can’t forget that Lock has thrown for 254 yards or less in 10-of-11 starts in his career, so you’re going to need touchdown luck on your side. He’s a fine mid-to-low-end QB2 but don’t expect a repeat of the Falcons game.
RK | PLAYER NAME | TEAM | OPP | MATCHUP RATING | START/SIT | PROJ. FPTS | AVG. POINTS | % GAMES | OPPORTUNITY | EFFICIENCY |
1 | Dalvin Cook | MIN | at CHI | 6.2 | A+ | 19.2 | 4.2 | 58% (7/12) | 25% | Great |
2 | Aaron Jones | GB | vs. JAC | 5.8 | A+ | 18.2 | 2.8 | 53% (7/13) | 22% | Great |
3 | Alvin Kamara | NO | vs. SF | 5.2 | A+ | 18 | -0.1 | 37% (6/16) | 22% | Great |
4 | James Robinson | JAC | at GB | 9.6 | A | 15.9 | 3.4 | 50% (4/8) | 17% | Great |
5 | Derrick Henry | TEN | vs. IND | 3.8 | A | 15.4 | 3.7 | 57% (8/14) | 26% | Great |
6 | Josh Jacobs | LV | vs. DEN | 4.4 | A | 15.3 | -2.7 | 23% (3/13) | 23% | Great |
7 | Nick Chubb | CLE | vs. HOU | 9.4 | A | 14.8 | -1.7 | 33% (4/12) | 20% | Great |
8 | James Conner | PIT | vs. CIN | 7 | A | 14.5 | -3.2 | 45% (5/11) | 24% | Great |
9 | Chase Edmonds | ARI | vs. BUF | 5.2 | A | 14.2 | 0.9 | 33% (4/12) | 12% | Great |
10 | Miles Sanders | PHI | at NYG | 5.4 | A | 14.2 | 0 | 41% (5/12) | 12% | Great |
11 | Mike Davis | CAR | vs. TB | 5.4 | A- | 13.8 | -0.1 | 30% (4/13) | 18% | Great |
12 | Kareem Hunt | CLE | vs. HOU | 9.4 | A- | 12.8 | 0.8 | 68% (11/16) | 20% | Great |
13 | Antonio Gibson | WAS | at DET | 6.8 | B+ | 12.5 | 0.6 | 50% (4/8) | 16% | Great |
14 | D’Andre Swift | DET | vs. WAS | 4.8 | B+ | 12.5 | 2.8 | 75% (6/8) | 14% | Great |
15 | Leonard Fournette | TB | at CAR | 9.6 | B | 11.7 | -1 | 23% (3/13) | 8% | Great |
16 | Duke Johnson Jr. | HOU | at CLE | 7.2 | B | 11 | -0.5 | 38% (5/13) | 9% | Average |
17 | Melvin Gordon III | DEN | at LV | 6.8 | B | 10.7 | -0.5 | 50% (7/14) | 15% | Great |
18 | Darrell Henderson | LAR | vs. SEA | 4 | B | 10.3 | 0.3 | 33% (5/15) | 26% | Good |
19 | Jerick McKinnon | SF | at NO | 5 | B | 10.2 | 0.5 | 66% (6/9) | 8% | Great |
20 | David Montgomery | CHI | vs. MIN | 5 | B | 10 | -1.8 | 23% (4/17) | 17% | Average |
21 | Jonathan Taylor | IND | at TEN | 5 | B- | 9.9 | -2 | 37% (3/8) | 19% | Great |
22 | Zack Moss | BUF | at ARI | 6.6 | B- | 9.3 | 2.6 | 66% (4/6) | 13% | Great |
23 | J.K. Dobbins | BAL | at NE | 9.6 | C+ | 9.2 | 0.5 | 50% (4/8) | 6% | Great |
24 | Ronald Jones II | TB | at CAR | 9.4 | C+ | 8.9 | -0.4 | 47% (8/17) | 12% | Great |
25 | Giovani Bernard | CIN | at PIT | 6.8 | C+ | 8.9 | 0.2 | 62% (10/16) | 9% | Great |
26 | J.D. McKissic | WAS | at DET | 8.2 | C+ | 8.8 | -0.4 | 43% (7/16) | 5% | Awful |
27 | Phillip Lindsay | DEN | at LV | 6.4 | C | 8.7 | -2 | 33% (4/12) | 9% | Average |
28 | Wayne Gallman | NYG | vs. PHI | 6 | C | 8.4 | 1.3 | 41% (5/12) | 11% | Great |
29 | Devin Singletary | BUF | at ARI | 6 | C | 8.2 | -2.7 | 37% (6/16) | 9% | Poor |
30 | Jordan Wilkins | IND | at TEN | 4.6 | C | 7.9 | 1.6 | 50% (7/14) | 6% | Average |
31 | Jamaal Williams | GB | vs. JAC | 5.6 | C | 7.5 | -0.2 | 38% (5/13) | 11% | Poor |
32 | Damien Harris | NE | vs. BAL | 3.2 | C | 7.4 | 0.6 | 28% (2/7) | 5% | Great |
33 | Gus Edwards | BAL | at NE | 9.4 | C | 7.4 | 1.7 | 43% (7/16) | 14% | Great |
34 | Chris Carson | SEA | at LAR | 6.4 | C+ | 7.3 | 1.1 | 63% (7/11) | 18% | Great |
35 | Malcolm Brown | LAR | vs. SEA | 4 | C- | 7.3 | 1.2 | 50% (8/16) | 15% | Great |
36 | Nyheim Hines | IND | at TEN | 6 | C- | 7.2 | 1.8 | 56% (9/16) | 10% | Great |
37 | Joshua Kelley | LAC | at MIA | 7.8 | C- | 7.2 | -0.4 | 50% (4/8) | 8% | Average |
38 | James White | NE | vs. BAL | 4.6 | C- | 7.1 | -0.5 | 38% (5/13) | 4% | Awful |
39 | Latavius Murray | NO | vs. SF | 3.8 | C- | 6.8 | -0.5 | 31% (5/16) | 8% | Good |
40 | Rex Burkhead | NE | vs. BAL | 3.8 | D+ | 6.7 | 2 | 53% (8/15) | 12% | Great |
41 | Kalen Ballage | LAC | at MIA | 7.2 | D+ | 6.7 | 0.8 | 36% (4/11) | 15% | Great |
42 | DeeJay Dallas | SEA | at LAR | 6.2 | D+ | 6.7 | 3.2 | 66% (4/6) | 18% | Average |
43 | JaMycal Hasty | SF | at NO | 3.6 | D | 6.6 | -1 | 42% (3/7) | 6% | Average |
44 | Adrian Peterson | DET | vs. WAS | 4.6 | D | 6.6 | 0.6 | 46% (7/15) | 11% | Good |
45 | Troymaine Pope | LAC | at MIA | 7 | D | 6.6 | – | – | 3% | Awful |
46 | Jordan Howard | MIA | vs. LAC | 5.4 | D- | 6.2 | -0.7 | 57% (4/7) | 24% | Average |
47 | Salvon Ahmed | MIA | vs. LAC | 5 | D- | 6 | 0.2 | 100% (1/1) | 1% | Awful |
48 | Alexander Mattison | MIN | at CHI | 6.2 | F | 5.6 | 0.1 | 50% (6/12) | 8% | Average |
49 | Chris Thompson | JAC | at GB | 9.9 | F | 5.2 | -1.2 | 50% (6/12) | 5% | Great |
50 | Devontae Booker | LV | vs. DEN | 4.2 | F | 5 | 1.3 | 42% (6/14) | 2% | Great |
Chase Edmonds (ARI)
It was a big disappointment for Edmonds last week, as he got all the work we could’ve asked for but finished with just 88 total yards on a massive 28 touches against the Dolphins. When some have compared his explosiveness to Kenyan Drake‘s and said he was the clear-cut better back, it’s a lot different when coming off the bench fresh while everyone else is tired, so maybe the scheme and offensive line just isn’t allowing for much production in the offense. It’s odd because you’d think Kyler Murray’s presence and threat to run would open more lanes for them but that hasn’t been the case. The Bills have already allowed three running backs to hit 100 yards on the ground against them, including Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Darrell Henderson, and Damien Harris. Those aren’t running backs in the Dalvin Cook/Aaron Jones territory or anything. There have also been six running backs who’ve totaled at least 25 yards through the air, allowing for multiple avenues for production. In terms of fantasy points per weighted opportunity, the Bills allow the 12th-most fantasy points per opportunity, though it’s also worth noting the Dolphins allowed the eighth-most. They have already allowed nine rushing touchdowns on the year (fourth-most) but have yet to allow a receiving touchdown. Prior to the game against the Seahawks, who had to start their third-string running back, the Bills had allowed at least 97 rushing yards and a touchdown to each of the last four backfields they faced (Titans, Chiefs, Jets, and Patriots). Edmonds may have let you down last week, but you cannot pass up his opportunity as long as Drake is out. He should be treated as a low-end RB1.
Mike Davis (CAR)
With Christian McCaffrey back out of the lineup for this game with a different injury, the Panthers will turn right back to Mike Davis. This is a very tough matchup for opposing RBs though, so Davis does receive a bit of a downgrade. He’s a high-end RB2 this week in my rankings due to the matchup, but he should see enough involvement out of the backfield as a receiver to be viewed as a safe option.
D’Andre Swift (DET)
This Lions backfield remains a mess to try and sort through week in and week out. The snap counts are all pretty even between these three players, but Swift remains the most involved. There’s very little upside, due to the offense and the distribution of snaps, but Swift should see enough work to return low-end RB2 value. He’ll need a touchdown to finish much higher than that though. He can be viewed as a low-end RB2 in this tough matchup against the Washington defensive front. Otherwise, it’s probably best to avoid this backfield.
Week 10 Wide Receiver Rankings
RK | PLAYER NAME | TEAM | OPP | MATCHUP RATING | START/SIT | PROJ. FPTS | AVG. POINTS | % GAMES | OPPORTUNITY | EFFICIENCY |
1 | Davante Adams | GB | vs. JAC | 7 | A+ | 20.6 | 2.7 | 69% (9/13) | 20% | Great |
2 | DeAndre Hopkins | ARI | vs. BUF | 7 | A+ | 16.7 | -1 | 57% (8/14) | 12% | Great |
3 | Stefon Diggs | BUF | at ARI | 8.2 | A+ | 16.4 | -1.8 | 31% (5/16) | 9% | Great |
4 | D.K. Metcalf | SEA | at LAR | 6.2 | A+ | 15.9 | 1.3 | 46% (7/15) | 12% | Great |
5 | Keenan Allen | LAC | at MIA | 3.8 | A+ | 15.9 | 0.7 | 60% (9/15) | 11% | Great |
6 | Terry McLaurin | WAS | at DET | 5.4 | A | 15.6 | 0.2 | 42% (6/14) | 12% | Great |
7 | Allen Robinson II | CHI | vs. MIN | 7.8 | A | 15.6 | 0 | 47% (8/17) | 16% | Good |
8 | Tyler Lockett | SEA | at LAR | 6.2 | A | 15 | -2.3 | 26% (4/15) | 14% | Great |
9 | Michael Thomas | NO | vs. SF | 5.6 | A | 14.1 | -3.2 | 60% (6/10) | 10% | Awful |
10 | A.J. Brown | TEN | vs. IND | 4.2 | A | 14.1 | 4.1 | 69% (9/13) | 9% | Great |
11 | Will Fuller V | HOU | at CLE | 7.8 | A | 14.1 | 0 | 58% (7/12) | 13% | Great |
12 | Robert Woods | LAR | vs. SEA | 7.6 | A | 13.9 | 1.7 | 66% (10/15) | 13% | Great |
13 | Cooper Kupp | LAR | vs. SEA | 6.2 | A | 13.5 | -2.7 | 43% (7/16) | 8% | Great |
14 | Robby Anderson | CAR | vs. TB | 5.6 | A | 13.4 | 1.2 | 58% (10/17) | 12% | Poor |
15 | Adam Thielen | MIN | at CHI | 3.8 | A | 13.3 | -2.4 | 27% (3/11) | 17% | Great |
16 | Brandin Cooks | HOU | at CLE | 8 | A- | 13.3 | -0.1 | 42% (6/14) | 12% | Great |
17 | D.J. Chark Jr. | JAC | at GB | 2.6 | A- | 12.7 | -0.6 | 23% (3/13) | 13% | Great |
18 | Chase Claypool | PIT | vs. CIN | 8.2 | A- | 12.1 | 5 | 75% (6/8) | 15% | Great |
19 | Tyler Boyd | CIN | at PIT | 7.6 | A- | 12.1 | 0.8 | 50% (8/16) | 13% | Good |
20 | Chris Godwin | TB | at CAR | 4 | A- | 11.9 | -1.1 | 27% (3/11) | 9% | Good |
21 | Justin Jefferson | MIN | at CHI | 4.8 | B+ | 11.9 | 2.7 | 37% (3/8) | 8% | Great |
22 | JuJu Smith-Schuster | PIT | vs. CIN | 8.6 | B+ | 11.9 | -2.3 | 41% (5/12) | 11% | Great |
23 | Mike Evans | TB | at CAR | 4.2 | B+ | 11.8 | -3.4 | 38% (5/13) | 12% | Great |
24 | Diontae Johnson | PIT | vs. CIN | 8.8 | B | 11.8 | 0.1 | 40% (6/15) | 9% | Great |
25 | Travis Fulgham | PHI | at NYG | 6.4 | B | 11.6 | 4.4 | 44% (4/9) | 18% | Good |
26 | DeVante Parker | MIA | vs. LAC | 4.8 | B | 11.6 | 0.8 | 43% (7/16) | 6% | Great |
27 | Jerry Jeudy | DEN | at LV | 5.8 | B | 11.5 | 0.6 | 50% (4/8) | 10% | Good |
28 | D.J. Moore | CAR | vs. TB | 5.6 | B | 11.4 | -0.8 | 50% (8/16) | 9% | Great |
29 | Tee Higgins | CIN | at PIT | 6.8 | B- | 11.3 | 3.1 | 62% (5/8) | 11% | Good |
30 | Jarvis Landry | CLE | vs. HOU | 7.6 | B | 11.1 | -0.2 | 31% (5/16) | 8% | Average |
31 | Christian Kirk | ARI | vs. BUF | 4.2 | B- | 11.1 | 1.5 | 57% (8/14) | 13% | Great |
32 | Mike Williams | LAC | at MIA | 4 | C+ | 10.8 | 0.1 | 42% (6/14) | 13% | Good |
33 | Brandon Aiyuk | SF | at NO | 9 | C+ | 10.7 | 3.6 | 71% (5/7) | 11% | Good |
34 | Curtis Samuel | CAR | vs. TB | 5.8 | C+ | 10.7 | 0.3 | 50% (8/16) | 8% | Great |
35 | Sterling Shepard | NYG | vs. PHI | 7.2 | C+ | 10.6 | -1 | 33% (4/12) | 12% | Average |
36 | Marquise Brown | BAL | at NE | 7.2 | C+ | 10.6 | -2.7 | 33% (5/15) | 18% | Average |
37 | John Brown | BUF | at ARI | 8.4 | C+ | 10.2 | -0.5 | 42% (6/14) | 10% | Good |
38 | Marvin Jones Jr. | DET | vs. WAS | 5.8 | C+ | 9.4 | -0.6 | 50% (6/12) | 16% | Great |
39 | Antonio Brown | TB | at CAR | 4.4 | C+ | 9.4 | -4.5 | 0% (0/1) | 5% | Awful |
40 | Jakobi Meyers | NE | vs. BAL | 4 | C+ | 9.3 | 0.9 | 45% (5/11) | 5% | Awful |
41 | Corey Davis | TEN | vs. IND | 5.4 | C | 9.2 | -0.3 | 38% (5/13) | 9% | Great |
42 | Darius Slayton | NYG | vs. PHI | 5.8 | C | 9.2 | 0.6 | 37% (6/16) | 16% | Good |
43 | Tim Patrick | DEN | at LV | 6.2 | C | 8.9 | 1.4 | 64% (9/14) | 11% | Great |
44 | Cole Beasley | BUF | at ARI | 8.8 | C | 8.7 | 2.2 | 75% (12/16) | 7% | Good |
45 | Darnell Mooney | CHI | vs. MIN | 7.4 | C | 8.4 | 1.7 | 44% (4/9) | 11% | Good |
46 | Jalen Reagor | PHI | at NYG | 6.8 | C | 8.2 | 1.8 | 100% (3/3) | 9% | Poor |
47 | Emmanuel Sanders | NO | vs. SF | 5.4 | C | 8.1 | -0.7 | 42% (6/14) | 13% | Good |
48 | Randall Cobb | HOU | at CLE | 8.2 | C | 8.1 | 2.4 | 62% (10/16) | 7% | Great |
49 | A.J. Green | CIN | at PIT | 6.8 | C | 8 | -3.7 | 25% (2/8) | 11% | Awful |
50 | Anthony Miller | CHI | vs. MIN | 8.2 | C- | 8 | 0.4 | 47% (8/17) | 10% | Good |
Adam Thielen (MIN)
The worst part about Thielen’s struggles is that he’s seeing 42.6 percent of the Vikings’ air yards, which ranks as the second-highest percentage in the NFL. It’s extremely hard for a receiver to be consistent in fantasy when his team is on pace for 418 pass attempts. We already know the Bears allow the third-fewest fantasy points per game as a whole, but to know that wide receivers have accounted for just 43.6 percent of the production by skill-position players against them (third-lowest number in the NFL) highlights just how bad this matchup is. It doesn’t help that wide receivers have caught a touchdown once every 57.0 targets against them, which is less often than any team in the NFL. By comparison, the Vikings have allowed one every 10.3 targets. Thielen doesn’t play on one side more than the other but rather flips back and forth, so he’ll see a mixture of both Kyle Fuller and Jaylon Johnson, who’ve combined to allow just 50-of-102 passing for 637 yards and three touchdowns in their coverage. That’s just 6.25 yards per target and a touchdown every 34.0 targets. When these two teams met last year, Thielen finished with just two catches for six yards on six targets, and that was before he suffered his injury that derailed his season. It’s extremely tough to bench Thielen, but lower expectations into the mid-to-low-end WR2 territory. A.J. Brown was the first wide receiver to finish top-20 against them this year.
Robby Anderson (CAR)
He’s seen 39.4 percent of the Panthers’ air yards this year, so his production isn’t by accident. The unfortunate part is that he hasn’t scored a touchdown since Week 1, and if you recall, that was just a blunder by the cornerback that left Anderson wide open for a long touchdown. Still, despite the lack of scoring, Anderson has finished as a top-46 wide receiver every single week, which is tough to do. Unfortunately, he hasn’t finished better than WR19 in half PPR formats since Week 1. It may not get much easier against the Bucs this week, as they’ve allowed just one top-12 performance this year. It needs to be noted that two of the top-three performances they allowed to wide receivers were to the Panthers, though. Both Anderson (9/109/0) and Moore (8/120/0) had phenomenal games without finding the end zone. They were two of just four wide receivers who’ve totaled more than 74 yards against the Bucs this year (others were Nelson Agholor and Allen Robinson). The one thing we know is that you need volume against them, as no receiver has finished with more than 72 yards without seeing at least nine targets against them. The Bucs did not use Carlton Davis in a shadow role in their first meeting, so we shouldn’t expect it here, either. Anderson should be considered a solid WR2 whose floor has been ridiculously good.
Tee Higgins (CIN)
Even though he wasn’t a full-time starter until Week 3, Higgins ranked as the No. 23 receiver in fantasy heading into his bye week. Since the time he joined the starting lineup in Week 3, through Week 8, he’d posted the ninth-most PPR points among receivers. He’s finished at least 62 yards and/or a touchdown in six straight games. The average reception against the Steelers goes for 14.59 yards, which is the third-highest mark in the NFL and bodes well for Higgins’ decent 13.2 air yards per target. It’s worth noting that he has the toughest matchup of the Bengals receivers, lining up at RWR the most, which is where Joe Haden plays. He’s a veteran cornerback who’s allowed just 22-of-43 passing for 300 yards and two touchdowns in his coverage this year. Higgins will some of Steven Nelson as well, who’s been just a step behind Haden but still solid. But when you look at the team as a whole, there are holes in the secondary, as they’ve allowed the sixth-most fantasy points per target to wide receivers. Higgins deserves the benefit of the doubt to be in your starting lineup as a WR3.
RK | PLAYER NAME | TEAM | OPP | MATCHUP RATING | START/SIT | PROJ. FPTS | AVG. POINTS | % GAMES | OPPORTUNITY | EFFICIENCY |
1 | Darren Waller | LV | vs. DEN | 5.8 | A+ | 13.5 | -1.8 | 31% (5/16) | 20% | Great |
2 | T.J. Hockenson | DET | vs. WAS | 8.4 | A | 10.5 | 0.5 | 63% (7/11) | 20% | Great |
3 | Noah Fant | DEN | at LV | 5.6 | A- | 10 | -0.6 | 35% (5/14) | 8% | Great |
4 | Dallas Goedert | PHI | at NYG | 6.4 | B+ | 9.8 | -0.3 | 36% (4/11) | 4% | Great |
5 | Mark Andrews | BAL | at NE | 3.8 | B+ | 9.5 | -0.3 | 53% (8/15) | 17% | Great |
6 | Evan Engram | NYG | vs. PHI | 8.2 | B | 8.7 | -1 | 44% (4/9) | 10% | Great |
7 | Rob Gronkowski | TB | at CAR | 5.6 | B | 8.6 | -0.4 | 44% (4/9) | 12% | Great |
8 | Hunter Henry | LAC | at MIA | 3.2 | B- | 8.1 | -2.8 | 26% (4/15) | 7% | Average |
9 | Eric Ebron | PIT | vs. CIN | 7 | B- | 8 | 0.1 | 60% (6/10) | 12% | Great |
10 | Austin Hooper | CLE | vs. HOU | 8.6 | C+ | 7.9 | -2.3 | 36% (4/11) | 8% | Average |
11 | Jared Cook | NO | vs. SF | 5.8 | C+ | 7.8 | 1.8 | 60% (9/15) | 11% | Great |
12 | Jonnu Smith | TEN | vs. IND | 5.6 | C | 7.4 | 0.3 | 46% (7/15) | 15% | Great |
13 | Robert Tonyan | GB | vs. JAC | 6.2 | C | 7.4 | 1.7 | 42% (6/14) | 6% | Great |
14 | Jimmy Graham | CHI | vs. MIN | 5.2 | C- | 7.3 | 1.1 | 43% (7/16) | 15% | Great |
15 | Mike Gesicki | MIA | vs. LAC | 5.8 | C- | 7.1 | 0 | 31% (5/16) | 11% | Good |
16 | Trey Burton | IND | at TEN | 8 | D+ | 6.9 | 2.3 | 80% (4/5) | 12% | Great |
17 | Logan Thomas | WAS | at DET | 5.4 | D+ | 6.3 | 0.5 | 40% (6/15) | 8% | Great |
18 | Jordan Reed | SF | at NO | 5.8 | D | 6.2 | 0.4 | 25% (1/4) | 8% | Good |
19 | Gerald Everett | LAR | vs. SEA | 6.2 | D | 6.1 | 0.8 | 53% (7/13) | 4% | Great |
20 | Tyler Higbee | LAR | vs. SEA | 6.4 | D- | 5.3 | 2.1 | 60% (9/15) | 8% | Great |
Eric Ebron (PIT)
Despite the Steelers’ wide receivers seeing tons of targets, Ebron has managed to see 5.9 targets per game since the start of Week 2. He’s totaled at least 43 yards and/or a touchdown in 6-of-7 games, which is rare for tight ends in today’s game. Vance McDonald tested positive for COVID, and not that he was taking much appeal from Ebron, it does free up another 1.4 targets per game. It surely helps to know that the Bengals opponents have targeted their tight end on 25.1 percent of passes, which ranks as the third-highest number in football. That’s been a major factor in them allowing 17.6 PPR points per game to tight ends, which ranks as the second-highest number in football. Prior to Jonnu Smith not running routes and not seeing targets (caught 2-of-2 targets for 29 yards), the Bengals had allowed three straight top-three tight end performances to Hunter Bryant, Trey Burton, and Mark Andrews. If he gets targets, he’ll produce in this game. Ebron should be squarely in the middle of the TE1 conversation.
Austin Hooper (CLE)
He was forced to miss their last two games due to an appendectomy, so the bye week seemed to come at the right time. Prior to his injury, Hooper’s target share was rising almost every week. His target share percentage has gone 5, 17, 17, 23, 27, 21. Keep in mind that was with Odell Beckham in the lineup. Now going into a matchup with the Texans, who’ve allowed a robust 73.6 percent catch-rate (8th-highest) and 7.92 yards per target (9th-highest) to tight ends, Hooper should offer a stable floor in his return to the lineup. The only tight end who saw five-plus targets against the Texans and didn’t finish as a top-15 tight end was Tyler Eifert. When you know that teams average a massive 68.0 plays per game against the Texans, we’re expecting at least 30-35 pass attempts out of Mayfield, which should net more than a handful for Hooper. He’s in the high-end TE2 conversation with some upside should he return to the target share he had pre-injury.
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