Top 10 NFL Player Prop Bets On FanDuel (Week 9)

We compiled several projection sources to come up with consensus projections. We then compared these projections to the prop bet odds from FanDuel Sportsbook to give you the best prop bet picks. Here are our top 10 picks for Week 9.

View the best NFL prop bets for Week 9 with our Prop Bet Cheat Sheet

Justin Herbert (QB – LAC): OVER 264.5 Passing Yards
Chargers rookie quarterback Justin Herbert has thrown for more than 250 yards in all six of his starts thus far. He has put up these gaudy numbers despite facing three of the best defenses in terms of fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks (Chiefs-27th, Panthers-26th, Buccaneers-30th) in that span. Now he faces a Raiders defense who is allowing the ninth-most points to the position, so Herbert is in a great position to have a field day in what should turn into a shootout. Herbert has completed 61% of his passes when under pressure (third-best), which shows you his unquestioned poise despite being a rookie.

Darren Waller (TE – LV): OVER 47.5 Receiving Yards
If the Raiders-Chargers game is going to turn into a shootout, Raiders tight end Darren Waller is likely to get his share of targets and yards. Bettors may look at last week’s 28 yard total and wonder if Waller is due for a second-straight poor game. However, the weather conditions were awful in Cleveland last week which made for a game plan that leaned much more on the running game. The Chargers have allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends, and Waller will not have to deal with Pro Bowler Derwin James in coverage in the secondary. Waller has been targeted a league-high 8.9 times per game among all tight ends, and his 6.4 receptions per game also lead the league at his position.

Ben Roethlisberger (QB – PIT): OVER 261.5 Passing Yards
The fear of taking the over on Ben Roethlisberger’s passing yards is the fact that this game against the Cowboys can turn into a blowout so quickly that there may not be a need for much passing in the second half. Pittsburgh’s -14.5 point spread is by far the highest in Week 9 as the Steelers get set to face either Garrett Gilbert or Cooper Rush on the other side. However, the Steelers have a 29-point projected team total so they will have to score their points somehow. Roethlisberger has thrown for over 262 yards just twice in seven starts this year but has a great chance to do so against a Dallas defense that has been on the field for an average of 32:43 this year, the highest mark in the league.

Mike Williams  (WR – LAC): OVER 43.5 Receiving Yards
Chargers receiver Mike Williams has been a boom-or-bust fantasy receiver this year. However, in two of the last three weeks, he has “boomed” with receiving totals of 109 and 99 yards. The way to attack the Las Vegas secondary is on the perimeter, as the combination of Trayvon Mullen and Nevin Lawson allows an average QBR of 120 when being targeted. Williams has averaged 19.6 YPC since the 2019 season, which is the best mark among 68 qualified receivers. Thus, it may not take many targets or catches for Williams to surpass this total this week.

Amari Cooper (WR – DAL): OVER 43.5 Receiving Yards
The fantasy world has been down on all Dallas Cowboys skill position players since the season-ending injury to Dak Prescott. Amari Cooper will now have his fourth quarterback in as many games throwing him the ball as Andy Dalton has been ruled out and the team quickly moved on from Ben DiNucci. Just five wide receivers have totaled more than 66 yards against the Steelers secondary this year, so they are clearly a tough matchup. However, Dallas is 14.5 point home underdogs in this game, which means they are likely to abandon the running game and throw early and often in a negative game script. No one says how Cooper gets his yards need to be pretty, but he can easily surpass this total in garbage time alone.

Russell Wilson (QB – SEA): UNDER 295.5 Passing Yards
We like the under for Russell Wilson’s total as a ball-control game is in order for the Bills, who have found more success on the ground lately. DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett are the first receiving duo with 500 yards and seven touchdowns each through their team’s first seven games in NFL history. However, one of them is going to have to contend with one of the game’s best cornerbacks in Tre’Davious White all game.

Though he is on pace to throw for nearly 4,900 yards this year, Russell Wilson has gone under the 299.5-yard mark in three of Seattle’s seven games this year. With a chance for the number of possessions to be at a premium, we like the chances for the under to hit yet again.

D.J. Moore (WR – CAR): OVER 60.5 Receiving Yards
D.J. Moore is coming off a disappointing game against the Atlanta Falcons — he failed to record his first catch until the three-minute mark of the fourth quarter. Still, he finished with two catches on six targets for 55 yards, which should remind everyone about his big-play capabilities. Moore should be helped by the fact that running back Christian McCaffrey appears on track to suit up, as Kansas City’s defense is going to have to commit more defenders to the running game than they would have if just facing Mike Davis.

With a negative game script also likely in his favor, Moore should see plenty of opportunities with his team chasing points

Christian McCaffrey (RB – CAR): OVER 51.5 Rushing Yards
Carolina All-Pro running back Christian McCaffrey has been activated off the IR and will see his first game action since suffering a high-ankle sprain in Week 2. Whether or not McCaffrey hits the over on this total depends solely on how cautious head coach Matt Rhule is with him, as he would surely surpass this total if given a full workload. Rhule has stated that Mike Davis would still be given work once McCaffrey came back, but his production waned massively in the last couple of weeks. After Davis topped 60 yards rushing just once in the team’s last three games, McCaffrey will be seen as a breath of fresh air and someone that will be counted on to rejuvenate an offense that has topped 17 points once in the last three weeks. McCaffrey will likely not be given north of 20 touches, but should still make good on what he is given and hit this over.

Alvin Kamara (RB – NO): OVER 43.5 Receiving Yards
Saints running back Alvin Kamara has been fantasy football’s highest-scoring non-quarterback, and seventh-highest scoring player overall this season. A lot of that has to do with Kamara’s receiving prowess, as he has topped this 43.5 projected receiving total in six of seven games so far this year. The lowered projection is a result of teammate Michael Thomas looking like he will be active for the first time since Week 1 and eat into Kamara’s targets. However, Kamara has been targeted 55 times since Week 16 of last year and has 7.9 receptions per game this season, which are both most among running backs.

The Saints would be foolish to go away from Kamara now in a game against the Buccaneers that may go a long way in deciding who wins the division. A banged-up Drew Brees is not as likely to push the ball downfield, so there should be many dump-offs to Kamara in a game where they should be chasing points.

John Brown (WR – BUF): OVER 36.5 Receiving Yards
John Brown may be the forgotten man in this Bills offense after injuries have limited him severely since Week 5. Since 2019, Brown has been targeted at an average depth of 14.1 yards, which is fifth-highest among 68 qualified receivers. When Brown exceeds his average for receiving yards, the Bills are 9-2, so it would be wise for them to once again exploit his speed and unique route-running abilities.

For those worried about Brown’s health with this prop, he played 47-of-58 snaps last week, so his availability against Seattle’s worst-ranked pass defense should not be in question.

Check out our Prop Bet Cheat Sheet for the top bets of the week

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Mike Spector is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeSpector01.