Every round of a fantasy football draft brings with it decisions to be made, pitfalls to avoid and potential league-winning upside if you make the right picks. And our analysts are here to make sure you’re well prepared for every round of your draft; here are their thoughts on what to do – and what not to do – with your sixth-round pick (rounds based on consensus ADP in 1/2 PPR scoring formats as of Aug. 3):
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Q1. Who has the greatest sleeper potential in Round 6?
If I didn’t say A.J. Green here, I wouldn’t be true to who I am and what I believe in. Since 2000, here’s the list of wide receivers who’ve posted WR2 or better type numbers at a higher percentage than Green: Michael Thomas, Julio Jones, Antonio Brown, and Odell Beckham. That’s the end of the list. He’s played his entire career with Andy Dalton. If he stays on the field, he’s going to be a steal at this price.
– Mike Tagliere (@MikeTagliereNFL)
David Montgomery burned a lot of people last year as his hype got out of control around draft season. Because of that, his ADP is super low this offseason at RB25 and he’s absolutely a value at this spot. Montgomery has very little competition for carries in this Bears backfield and he should easily see over 250 touches on the ground this season. Even if he doesn’t put up great Yards Per Carry numbers or anything, that volume is going to equate to a higher fantasy finish then where he’s being drafted right now. I love securing Montgomery as my RB3 in drafts right now.
– Kyle Yates (@KyleYNFL)
David Montgomery had a rough 2019 season, but there are plenty of reasons to expect him to be much better in 2020. He has no real competition for carries, he was used heavily within the 10-yard line last year, and the entire Chicago offense should be better with the expected switch to Nick Foles. His volume is as locked in as any back, which is half the battle with the position. If the Chicago offense improves just a bit, he should easily outproduce his RB23 ADP, and perhaps significantly.
– Dan Harris (@danharris80)
Q1. Who has the greatest bust potential in Round 6?
You need to stay away from players who have foot surgery in the same calendar year. Not only did Deebo Samuel have surgery on his broken foot this year, but he didn’t have the surgery until mid-June. That has led to Kyle Shanahan saying he’ll likely miss games at the start of the season. This is the range of the draft where you get some upside players, not ones who’ll be sitting on your bench for potentially a month.
– Mike Tagliere (@MikeTagliereNFL)
As of right now, the easy answer is Deebo Samuel. Samuel’s currently being drafted in this range and he might not even be ready to start the NFL season. While he certainly has the talent to finish much higher than WR29, there are simply too many factors working against him now. Brandon Aiyuk figures to be an integral part of the offense and Trent Taylor and Jalen Hurd should both be involved this season. If Samuel falls a couple of rounds, he’d be a great pickup…however, that’s unlikely to happen.
– Kyle Yates (@KyleYNFL)
This one is not rocket science. The best-case scenario, which you should never assume for fantasy football, is that Samuel could have returned just before the start of the season. But with John Lynch now coming out and saying that Samuel is likely to miss a few games at the start of the season, there’s almost no chance Samuel can earn his Round-6 price tag. If he has any setback whatsoever, he’ll likely go on the PUP list and be a waiver-wire candidate. So, if you’re wondering about who has the most bust potential here, it’s not close.
– Dan Harris (@danharris80)
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