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Robinson reminded fantasy owners that he was still a viable option in 2019 with his first 1,000-yard season since his breakout 2015 campaign, finishing as the WR11 in half-PPR scoring. Chicago did very little to address the team need at receiver in the offseason, and Robinson looks ready to go for another thousand in 2020. There’s plenty of uncertainty at the quarterback position between the incumbent Mitchell Trubisky and newly-signed Nick Foles, but what’s clear is Robinson’s lofty spot atop the depth chart. There’s room for regression, but a WR1 finish is absolutely attainable. Let’s go game-by-game to see how his production could shake out in 2020.
You can find our entire 2020 Player Game-By-Game Projection series here.
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Week 1: @ Lions
Robinson finds himself in a solid spot to open the season when he gets a crack at the Lions’ fantasy-friendly secondary at Ford Field. This should be a tightly-contested game with Robinson crossing the end zone in his first taste of 2020 action. He went for 86 yards in both matchups with Detroit last season, and the strong play carries over here.
Predicted stat line: 4 receptions, 68 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD (14.8 fantasy points)
Week 2: Giants
The Giants’ pass defense has yielded favorable results to opposing wideouts in recent years, and that shouldn’t change much in 2020. The Bears’ home-opener could be a lucrative endeavor for A-Rob, as he goes for over 70 yards and crosses the end zone for the second week in a row. For what it’s worth, he torched the G-Men for a 6/131/1 line in Week 12 of 2019.
Predicted stat line: 6 receptions, 71 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD (16.1 fantasy points)
Week 3: @ Falcons
It’s no surprise that receivers facing the Falcons often come away with big games, so look for Robinson to have a solid outing when the Bears travel to Atlanta in Week 3. The Falcons offense is loaded from top to bottom, and Chicago will likely need to air it out here to keep up. It’s a strong matchup for Chi-Town’s numero uno, and I think he’ll extend the touchdown streak to three.
Predicted stat line: 8 receptions, 97 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD (19.7 fantasy points)
Week 4: vs. Colts
The matchup isn’t terrible on paper for Chicago going up against Indy’s defense, but this looks like a game the Colts could dominate. Though Chicago could be playing catch-up and throwing the ball a little extra, I think Robinson falls back to earth in Week 4 and fails to score for the first time in 2020.
Predicted stat line: 4 receptions, 63 receiving yards, 0 receiving TDs (8.3 fantasy points)
Week 5: vs. Buccaneers
After failing to score against Indy in Week 4, look for Robinson to post his first 100-yard game of the 2020 campaign in a savory home matchup with Tampa Bay. The Bucs’ defense hemorrhaged 270.1 passing yards per game to opponents in 2019, and Robinson should feast, no matter who’s under center. Fire him up without hesitation in Week 5, as No. 12 snags his fourth tuddie of the year.
Predicted stat line: 5 receptions, 114 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD (19.9 fantasy points)
Week 6: @ Panthers
Carolina’s defensive strength last season was against the pass rather than the rush, but the Panthers addressed that concern in the draft by selecting two defensive linemen with the team’s first two picks. The unit as a whole should be improved in 2020, and the matchup isn’t ideal for Robinson. Chicago will struggle at Carolina, leaving A-Rob without a score.
Predicted stat line: 5 receptions, 72 receiving yards, 0 receiving TDs (9.7 fantasy points)
Week 7: @ Rams
Chicago plays on the road for the second week in a row, and this has the making of a blowout. Travelling coast-to-coast won’t be beneficial for Robinson, especially against a solid Rams squad. Look for A-Rob to come up small in the receiving column with a receiving score to salvage the final stat line.
Predicted stat line: 6 receptions, 47 receiving yards, 1 receiving TDs (13.7 fantasy points)
Week 8: Saints
Robinson is due for another big game when Chicago returns home to face the Saints. Due to the Saints’ lackluster secondary and the fact that Chicago could be chasing points, A-Rob is set up nicely for a monster performance in Week 8 when he teases 100 yards.
Predicted stat line: 7 receptions, 90 receiving yards, 1 receiving TDs (18.5 fantasy points)
Week 9: @ Titans
Battling on the road against a solid Titans isn’t exactly a recipe for success in Week 9. Last year’s AFC runners-up are likely to shut down Chicago and Robinson, and I think he comes up with his worst performance of the season. Consider other options when setting lineups here.
Predicted stat line: 4 receptions, 38 receiving yards, 0 receiving TDs (5.8 fantasy points)
Week 10: Vikings
Another tough matchup against a physical defense leaves Robinson vulnerable for back-to-back clunkers. He failed to score against the Vikings in both 2019 meetings, and I expect that trend to continue. Chicago may be limping into the bye week, with Robinson failing to get much going here.
Predicted stat line: 4 receptions, 42 receiving yards, 0 receiving TDs (6.2 fantasy points)
Week 11: BYE
Week 12: @ Packers
With the bye week off to recover, Chicago should return refreshed for the heated divisional matchup at Lambeau Field. Two of his three 100-yard games came against Green Bay in 2019, and though I’m not expecting him to clear the century mark in Week 12, he’s due for a quality receiving line.
Predicted stat line: 5 receptions, 76 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD (16.1 fantasy points)
Week 13: vs. Lions
The Bears return home for another favorable matchup with Detroit. After a strong game against the Lions earlier in the season, A-Rob goes for a respectable 80 yards but fails to catch a touchdown. Regardless, he’s due for double-digit fantasy points in this one.
Predicted stat line: 4 receptions, 80 receiving yards, 0 receiving TDs (10.0 fantasy points)
Week 14: vs. Texans
Houston ranked in the bottom-five in both passing yards allowed (269.2) and passing touchdowns allowed (2.2) per game in 2019. Though the Texans have attempted to address the needs in the secondary this offseason, there’s no reason to believe we’ll see a world of difference this season. Robinson should have a strong game in a quality Week 14 matchup.
Predicted stat line: 6 receptions, 98 receiving yards, 1 receiving TD (18.8 fantasy points)
Week 15: @ Vikings
Chicago struggled against Minnesota in the team’s first meeting at Soldier Field, and the outlook isn’t too rosy when the Bears travel to Minneapolis in Week 15. Expect a bland fantasy outing in this late-season divisional showdown.
Predicted stat line: 5 receptions, 55 receiving yards, 0 receiving TDs (8.0 fantasy points)
Week 16: @ Jaguars
Jacksonville’s roster has been gutted, and this matchup should certainly be winnable for the Bears. Chicago should be the easy favorite here, and Robinson’s services may not be needed much. Don’t expect him to provide more than a middling stat line in the comfortable victory.
Predicted stat line: 5 receptions, 53 receiving yards, 0 receiving TDs (7.8 fantasy points)
Week 17: vs. Packers
After a solid performance at Green Bay in Week 12, A-Rob should be even better at home in Week 17. Robinson tees off against Green Bay in the final week of the season, and I think he goes out with a bang. I’m not predicting a score, but I think Robinson puts up his second 100-yard effort of 2020.
Predicted stat line: 6 receptions, 103 receiving yards, 0 receiving TDs (13.3 fantasy points)
Week-by-Week Recap
| WEEK |
OPP |
RECS |
REC YDS |
REC TDS |
PTS |
| 1 |
DET |
4 |
68 |
1 |
14.8 |
| 2 |
NYG |
6 |
71 |
1 |
16.1 |
| 3 |
ATL |
8 |
97 |
1 |
19.7 |
| 4 |
IND |
4 |
63 |
0 |
8.3 |
| 5 |
TB |
5 |
114 |
1 |
19.9 |
| 6 |
CAR |
5 |
72 |
0 |
9.7 |
| 7 |
LAR |
6 |
47 |
1 |
13.7 |
| 8 |
NO |
7 |
90 |
1 |
18.5 |
| 9 |
TEN |
4 |
38 |
0 |
5.8 |
| 10 |
MIN |
4 |
42 |
0 |
6.2 |
| 12 |
GB |
5 |
76 |
1 |
16.1 |
| 13 |
DET |
4 |
80 |
0 |
10.0 |
| 14 |
HOU |
6 |
98 |
1 |
18.8 |
| 15 |
MIN |
5 |
55 |
0 |
8.0 |
| 16 |
JAX |
5 |
53 |
0 |
7.8 |
| 17 |
GB |
6 |
103 |
0 |
13.3 |
|
TOTAL |
81 |
1,167 |
8 |
206.7 |
Chicago’s receiving corps is one of the weakest in the NFL, and the additions of Jimmy Graham and Ted Ginn don’t pose much of a threat to Robinson’s huge target share. He owned 26.5 percent of Chicago’s targets in 2019, and even with Graham poised to soak up some of those, Robinson should still see about a quarter of the team’s pass attempts thrown his way. With the quarterback situation up in the air, it’s tough to predict how often the team will throw the ball, though it’s reasonable to expect a focus on David Montgomery and the run game. I think Robinson’s receptions creep down in 2020, but his yards per reception get a big boost, allowing him to top 1,100 yards for a second straight season. He’ll notch a healthy eight touchdowns as one of the only reliable scorers the team has to offer and actually improve on last season’s production.
2019 stats: 98 receptions, 1,147 receiving yards, 7 TDs
2020 projected stats: 81 receptions, 1,167 receiving yards, 8 TDs
Zachary Hanshew is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Zachary, check out his archive and follow him @zakthemonster.
