Dynasty League Risers/Fallers Post-NFL Draft (2020 Fantasy Football)

We kind of knew what teams needs were going into the NFL Draft, but that doesn’t mean they all addressed them. The same can be said for teams who didn’t have clear needs at a certain position yet snagged the best player available on their board.

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This has a butterfly effect throughout the dynasty landscape, as player values are shifting all over the place. Some have moved up because of the players their team didn’t pick, while others are moving down due to new competition. Here, we’ll discuss which players were most impacted by the NFL Draft.

RISERS

Drew Lock (QB – DEN)
The Broncos have made it clear. If Lock can’t get it done with the guys we’ve put in front of him, he never will. The skill-position group of Jerry Jeudy, Courtland Sutton, KJ Hamler, Melvin Gordon, and Noah Fant is suddenly one of the best in the league, and they have a few competent backups as well.

Dak Prescott (QB – DAL)
He might have the best starting trio in the NFL after the Cowboys snagged CeeDee Lamb at No. 17 overall. We all knew they needed a third wide receiver to play in three-wide sets, but no one thought Lamb would fall to them. The Cowboys are going to find a way to lock him into a long-term contract, and it’d be wise to do it before he explodes statistically.

Austin Ekeler (RB – LAC)
After seeing Ekeler’s contract extension this offseason, it seemed a little light for a workhorse, leading many to believe they’d draft a running back early on. They waited until the fourth round to select UCLA’s Joshua Kelley, who’s a bigger complementary back. The Chargers offense isn’t likely going to be as high-scoring as it was with Philip Rivers under center, but Ekeler remains the top dog in the backfield.

Miles Sanders (RB – PHI)
We all know Doug Pederson has loved his timeshares since coming to the Eagles, and after they moved on from Jordan Howard, many expected them to add a running back in the draft. Things can change, as there are a few free agent running backs out there, but for now, Sanders has the looks of a 15-plus touch running back.

Allen Lazard (WR – GB)
In a draft class littered with wide receiver talent, I’m fairly certain that everyone had the Packers taking a wide receiver in the first three rounds. Not only did they not do that, but they didn’t draft one at all. Lazard looks to be the No. 2 in the offense, provided he can beat out Devin Funchess, who also gained value in the aftermath of the draft.

Evan Engram (TE – NYG)
We heard rumors that the Giants were looking to trade Engram, though I wasn’t ever certain that would be the case. As it turns out, he’s their guy. The Giants don’t have a prototypical No. 1 wide receiver who’ll steal 140-plus targets, so Engram should be right back in the middling TE1 conversation this year.

Jace Sternberger (TE – GB)
There were many (myself included) who considered Sternberger a major buy-low target in dynasty leagues, though we can’t pretend there wasn’t a possibility the Packers added another option. They drafted a tight end, and in the third round, but it was Josiah Deguara, a player the Packers themselves described as a fullback. Sternberger should get plenty of opportunity.

FALLERS

Aaron Rodgers (QB – GB)
It was a foregone conclusion that the Packers would add some wide receiver help for Rodgers in the draft. Not only did they not draft a wide receiver, but they also traded up and drafted a quarterback in the first round. The way the Packers drafted suggest that they don’t realize they have an all-time great as their quarterback. Here’s a fun stat: Rodgers has thrown 364 touchdowns in his career. Just one of them has gone to a player drafted in the first round.

Marlon Mack (RB – IND)
We never reached the expected performance out of Mack behind the Colts top-tier offensive line, so why shouldn’t we have expected them to draft a running back? Drafting Jonathan Taylor in the second round was a straight dagger to Mack’s value in any format. He’ll be lucky to get eight touches per game in that offense this year.

Damien Williams (RB – KC)
There are some who aren’t convinced Williams’ value is completely gone, but rest assured, it is. There have been just two running backs drafted in the early rounds under Andy Reid: LeSean McCoy and Clyde Edwards-Helaire. Reid said that Edwards-Helaire is better than Brian Westbrook on film, and Patrick Mahomes pulled for them to draft Edwards-Helaire. They’re going to use him as much as they can, which means Williams is going to be there to offer a breather from time-to-time. He’s an elite handcuff, but that’s about it.

Darrell Henderson (RB – LAR)
Some Henderson truthers are dead-set on him being “the guy” in this offense, but the Rams selecting Cam Akers with their first pick in the draft is extremely worrisome. They used a second-round pick on Akers, while Henderson himself was taken with a third-round pick. I’m not willing to say that Henderson is completely out of contention, but his value took a blow in the draft. This is likely to be a timeshare backfield.

Devin Singletary (RB – BUF)
There were many celebrating the end of the Frank Gore era in Buffalo, but they went out and added one of my favorite backs in the draft, Zack Moss, to use in that Gore role. GM Brandon Beane said, “I think more of the goal line and things like that as we did with Frank last year, you’ll see Zack do. I think Devin will do a similar role that he had.” This is your reminder that Singletary had just two carries inside the five-yard-line all year, while Josh Allen had five, and Frank Gore had 11. That’s a crushing blow to Singletary’s value.

Kerryon Johnson (RB – DET)
We all know Johnson’s struggled to stay on the field over his first two seasons, and it led the Lions to draft D’Andre Swift at the top of the second round. You don’t draft a running back at the top of the second round to not use him. Johnson’s skillset clashes with that of Swift, so it’s unlikely he sees more than 10-12 touches per game.

Justice Hill (RB – BAL)
It was a shame we didn’t get to see Hill in a bigger role last year, but we all felt that Mark Ingram was a year closer to the end, and Gus Edwards was going to be a free agent. Well… Ingram is still closer to retirement, but Edwards was retained by the team, and then they went and drafted JK Dobbins in the second round, eliminating the shot of Hill getting a bigger role. He’s going to be stuck in the 4-6 touches per game role unless there are multiple injuries.

Ronald Jones (RB – TB)
We heard the Bucs say all offseason that Jones was their guy. We didn’t even hear about them meeting with any of the free agent running backs. Then we heard the name Keshawn Vaughn in the third round, creating a problem for Jones. When teams select a running back on Day 2, it’s typically to play them right out of the gate, even if it’s not a clear-cut loss of the job for Jones. No matter which way you slice it, he has some new and improved competition.

Michael Gallup (WR – DAL)
I think there were a lot of people shocked by the Cowboys selecting CeeDee Lamb at No. 17 overall considering how well Gallup has played to this point. Sure, the Cowboys needed a third wide receiver, but Lamb was the worst-case scenario for Gallup, who’s likely moving down to third on the totem pole, capping his potential.

Courtland Sutton (WR – DEN)
Let me be clear about this: The Jerry Jeudy draft pick was a great one for the Broncos, as was the KJ Hamler one. However, from a fantasy standpoint, they were terrible for Sutton. He saw 125 targets last year with absolutely no competition on the roster. Now, with Jeudy, Hamler, Melvin Gordon, and year two Noah Fant in the mix, Sutton should be considered unlikely to match that number in 2020 and beyond.

Tyrell Williams (WR – LVR)
He went from someone dynasty owners gravitated towards as a top-30 wide receiver last year, to one they want no part of in just one year. I was never aboard the Williams bandwagon, but I didn’t envision a scenario where he’d be completely removed from the starting lineup. After they drafted Henry Ruggs, Bryan Edwards, and Lynn Bowden, it’s tough to see a spot for him on the field, and maybe the roster.

Auden Tate (WR – CIN)
I’m not going to pretend that Tate had a ton of value pre-draft, but he definitely had some considering A.J. Green was likely gone after 2020. Well, the Bengals snagged his replacement in Tee Higgins with the first pick in the second round. Tate is once again multiple injuries away from fantasy relevance.

David Njoku (TE – CLE)
Not only did the Browns add Austin Hooper in free agency, but they decided to throw down a fourth-round pick on Harrison Bryant, another tight end to add to the mix. The Browns further hurt Njoku’s value when they picked up the fifth-year option on his contract. He’s in a bad place right now. All dynasty owners can hope is that he’s traded.


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Mike Tagliere is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeTagliereNFL.