To those currently in the playoffs, good luck. For the rest of us, winning time is almost upon us. There have been some injuries over the past week, which has opened up playing time for new players. Also, an influx of players could be returning back to action from injuries, so the waiver wire should be stocked for all your fantasy needs. Happy shopping!
Ownership percentages are from the Yahoo database, and only those players owned in less than half of leagues will be highlighted.
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Below is how the NBA schedule maps out for Week 21:
MON | TUES | WED | THURS | FRI | SAT | SUN |
3 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 6 |
Here are the schedules for each team (shout out to Hashtag Basketball for the grid):
MON | TUES | WED | THURS | FRI | SAT | SUN | |
ATL | CHA | NYK | CLE | ||||
BOS | @IND | @MIL | WAS | @CHI | |||
BKN | @LAL | @GSW | @LAC | @SAC | |||
CHA | @ATL | @MIA | CLE | @ORL | |||
CHI | CLE | @ORL | @MIA | BOS | |||
CLE | @CHI | @CHA | @ATL | ||||
DAL | @SAS | DEN | PHO | ||||
DEN | MIL | @DAL | @SAS | @LAL | |||
DET | @PHI | @TOR | |||||
GS | LAC | BKN | @MIL | ||||
HOU | MIN | @LAL | @POR | ||||
IND | BOS | @PHI | |||||
LAC | @GSW | BKN | NOP | ||||
LAL | BKN | HOU | DEN | ||||
MEM | ORL | @POR | @UTA | ||||
MIA | CHA | NYK | CHI | ||||
MIL | @DEN | BOS | GSW | ||||
MIN | @HOU | @OKC | @SAS | ||||
NO | @SAC | @UTA | @LAC | ||||
NY | @WAS | @ATL | @MIA | ||||
OKC | UTA | MIN | @WAS | ||||
ORL | @MEM | CHI | CHA | ||||
PHI | DET | IND | |||||
PHX | @POR | @DAL | |||||
POR | PHO | MEM | HOU | ||||
SAC | NOP | BKN | |||||
SA | DAL | DEN | MIN | ||||
TOR | @UTA | DET | |||||
UTA | TOR | @OKC | NOP | MEM | |||
WAS | NYK | @BOS | OKC |
Below are candidates for each category. Turnovers and free throw percentages are excluded. The players who put up enough volume to affect your free throw percentage are all owned.
FG%
Seth Curry (PG/SG – DAL): 41% owned
At least he’s caught on with some, as his ownership percentage jumped from 27% last week. Over the past three games, Curry has been a top-30 player, shooting 65% from the field on 13.3 attempts! Ha! Regression alert. He’s obviously not going to continue being this hot, but on the season, Curry is a 49% shooter from the field.
James Johnson (SF/PF – MIN): 25% owned
Over the past three games, Johnson has averaged 24.5 minutes and shot 60% from the field on 8.3 attempts. As with Curry, regression will come, but he’s a 47% shooter from the field on the season. As long as Karl-Anthony Towns remains out of action, Johnson should see playing time in the mid-20s.
Dorian Finney-Smith (SF/PF – DAL): 15% owned
Finney-Smith is starting and playing over 31 minutes per game. His usage is super low at 12%, but he averages around seven shots per game. Over the past four games, he’s converted 59% of his attempts. That’s obviously not going to continue, but he’s a 46% shooter from the field on the season.
Harry Giles III (PF/C – SAC): 32% owned
Giles has been getting around 25 minutes of playing time per game due to the injuries to Marvin Bagley and Richaun Holmes. Bagley is likely out for the remainder of the season. Holmes could be back sooner, but there’s a chance he’s done as well. If both are shut down, then Giles will play a consistent 24-25 minutes per game. With his injury history, it’s highly unlikely the Kings give him any more. If Holmes does return, then Giles’ value gets nuked. With all that said, when he’s on the court, Giles is an efficient scorer. Over the past four games, he’s converted 58% of his 10.8 attempts.
Eric Paschall (SF/PF – GSW): 38% owned
There are times when Paschall starts and receives over 32 minutes of playing time, and that’s usually when Draymond Green sits. Even when he comes off the bench, though, Paschall still receives 26-28 minutes. He’s a 49% from the field on 10.6 attempts for the season. Over the past four games, he’s converted 55% of 13 attempts, so he has some upside.
3PTM
Brandon Knight (PG/SG – DET): 10% owned
With Derrick Rose sidelined for a few weeks, Knight should see an increase in playing time. Prior to the Rose injury, Knight was playing around 22 minutes per game, and 28-30 minutes aren’t out of the question. Over the past six games, Knight has averaged three three-pointers per game. Over his past three games, he’s gone 5-for-10, 5-for-11, and 4-for-9 from the beyond the arc.
Seth Curry (PG/SG – DAL): 41% owned
Over the past 11 games, Curry is averaging a solid 3.8 three-pointers per game in 30.7 minutes.
Patty Mills (PG – SAS): 6% owned
Mills is frustrating to own because he receives inconsistent playing time. He can play 28 minutes one night, only to get 15 minutes in the next. Also, he can just as easily score from two to 24 points. The variance is wide. With that said, he will usually attempt at least eight three-pointers per game, regardless of the playing time, with upside for double-digit attempts.
Svi Mykhailiuk (SG – DET): 3% owned
The shooting efficiency is always a concern for Svi, but he contributes the threes! On the season, he’s averaging two three-pointers per game, and over the past three games, he’s been playing over 28 minutes per.
Damion Lee (SG – GSW): 32% owned
Over the past six 12 games, Lee is averaging 31.1 minutes and 2.8 three-pointers per game. He’s the starting shooting guard, and the return of Stephen Curry shouldn’t affect him too much.
PTS
Seth Curry (PG/SG – DAL): 41% owned
He’s averaging 23.7 points over the past three games in 33.6 minutes. This level of production is unsustainable, but 14-15 points is a reasonable expectation.
Jerami Grant (SF/PF – DEN): 43% owned
With Paul Millsap banged-up, Grant has played 31.1 minutes per over the past three games. He’s averaged 21.7 points on 13.3 shot attempts.
Eric Paschall (SF/PF – GSW): 38% owned
He’s averaging 31.9 minutes and 17 points on 11.5 shot attempts over the past six games.
Brandon Knight (PG/SG – DET): 10% owned
Knight is going to see an increase in playing time and usage with the Derrick Rose injury. Even when Rose was healthy, Knight was averaging around nine shots and 13 points per game.
Harry Giles III (PF/C – SAC): 32% owned
He’s averaging 13 points on nine shot attempts over the past six games.
REB
Alex Len (PF/C – SAC): 29% owned
Len is splitting the center minutes with Giles. He played 28 minutes the other game, but I wouldn’t make too much of it. I would need to see that distribution on a consistent basis over a few games. The four games prior, he played 16, 21, 15, and 16 minutes. With that said, he has averaged over eight rebounds per game. As long as Richaun Holmes is out of action, Len should see consistent playing time.
Trey Lyles (PF/C – SAS): 21% owned
Lyles has seen an uptick in playing time recently, as both LaMarcus Aldridge and Jakob Poeltl have been out due to injury. Aldridge should be back soon, but Poeltl is out for a few weeks. As a result, Lyles should continue to see minutes in the upper-20s. An expectation of six to seven rebounds per game is reasonable.
Bismack Biyombo (PF/C – CHA): 9% owned
Biyombo is starting….for now, as Cody Zeller has received multiple DNP-CDs. Yeah, me neither. Anyways, he’s playing around 24 minutes per game, and 7-8 boards should be expected. UPDATE: Biyombo was a DNP-CD on Tuesday, with Cody Zeller now getting the start. I have no idea what’s going on in Charlotte. If Biyombo plays, he’s streamable.
Harry Giles III (PF/C – SAC): 32% owned
Giles has been averaging around seven rebounds in 24 minutes per game. As long as Holmes is out, Giles should continue providing value.
Maxi Kleber (PF/C – DAL): 44% owned
Kleber will start from time to time when Kristaps Porzingis sits, so there’s a chance for upside. Normally, though, he plays around 25 minutes off the bench. On the season, he’s averaging five rebounds per game, but there are stretches when he grabs more than seven per game.
AST
Brandon Knight (PG/SG – DET): 10% owned
He’s averaging 5.7 assists in 25.1 minutes over the past three games. His minutes and usage will increase with the Rose injury, so an uptick in assists is possible.
D.J. Augustin (PG – ORL): 20% owned
Augustin missed over a month due to injury, but he’s back and has played five games since returning. The minutes and production haven’t been anything to write home about (18 minutes and 3.8 assists), but both should uptick as he gets back into the groove. On the season, he was averaging 4.6 assists per game in 25 minutes. He’s not going to overtake Markelle Fultz, but 20 minutes with four assists is a realistic outcome.
Kevin Porter Jr. (SG – CLE): 26% owned
Over the past four games, Porter has averaged 33.1 minutes and 4.5 assists. The rookie is a bonafide player, and the Cavaliers are going to give him as much usage and playing time as he can handle. Around three assists per game can be expected.
Ish Smith (PG – WAS): 20% owned
Smith is no longer the starter in Washington, D.C., which is a bummer, but it’s not a death sentence for his fantasy value. Sure, the minutes have decreased to 22 from 27, but he’s still averaging four assists per game. The offensive pace is fast in D.C., and he garners more usage leading the second unit, as he is not playing alongside Bradley Beal.
Monte Morris (PG/SG – DEN): 10% owned
Morris has carved out a nice role for himself after the Nuggets dealt Malik Beasley to the Timberwolves. He’s been averaging around 25 minutes and 3.6 assists over the past five games.
STL
Justin Holiday (SG/SF – IND): 14% owned
Over the past four games, Holiday has averaged 20.6 minutes and 2.3 steals per game! On the season, he’s at 1.1 per. His role is secure, and playing time in the mid-20s is doable.
Monte Morris (PG/SG – DEN): 10% owned
Morris has averaged two steals over the past five games. On the season, he’s at 0.8, so this level of thievery seems high. With that said, his role is more secure now.
Shabazz Napier (PG/SG – WAS): 17% owned
Over the past six games, Napier has averaged 24.2 minutes and 2.2 steals per game. On the season, that number is at 1.2. He’s starting, has a secure role, and plays in a fantastic fantasy-friendly environment.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (PG/SG – LAL): 9% owned
On the season, KCP is averaging 0.9 steals per game, but over the past six games, he’s stolen 1.7 per. He’s also been averaging around 28 minutes as well. Now, there’s a chance that the Lakers sign either Dion Waiters or J.R. Smith to the team, which could take away a few minutes from KCP if either is signed.
Trevor Ariza (SG/SF – POR): 27% owned
Ariza is starting and playing a whopping 37 minutes per contest! He’s averaging 1.8 steals!
BLK
Alex Len (PF/C – SAC): 29% owned
Since being acquired by the Kings, Len has blocked at least one shot in each of his five games, and he tallied five in the most recent game against the Pistons. He will split time with Giles for the time being. If Holmes returns, then it will be interesting to see how the Kings play it.
Bismack Biyombo (PF/C – CHA): 9% owned
He’s averaging two blocks in 23 minutes over the past four games. He has been starting over Cody Zeller. As long as that continues, Biyombo is an excellent source for rebounds and blocks. UPDATE: Biyombo was a DNP-CD on Tuesday, with Cody Zeller now getting the start. I have no idea what’s going on in Charlotte. If Biyombo plays, he’s streamable.
Maxi Kleber (PF/C – DAL): 44% owned
He’s averaging two blocks in 25 minutes over the past seven games. On the season, he’s at 1.2 blocks per game.
JaVale McGee (C – LAL): 36% owned
McGee only averages around 17 minutes per game, but he blocks 1.5 shots per game.
James Johnson (SF/PF – MIN): 25% owned
Johnson is playing 24 minutes a game and contributes in every category. For blocks, he’s at 1.7 over the past six games.
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