Week 16 Fantasy Football Rankings From the Most Accurate Experts

Here’s a look at Week 16 fantasy football rankings from our most accurate experts so far this season. These rankings are for standard scoring fantasy football formats.

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Week 16 Quarterback Rankings

Rank Quarterbacks Team Opp Best Worst Avg Std Dev Proj. Pts
1 Lamar Jackson BAL at CLE 1 2 1 0 24.2
2 Russell Wilson SEA vs. ARI 1 4 2.4 0.5 21.2
3 Deshaun Watson HOU at TB 2 4 2.6 0.5 20.8
4 Patrick Mahomes KC at CHI 4 5 4.3 0.5 19.7
5 Jameis Winston TB vs. HOU 3 9 5.7 1.3 19.5
6 Drew Brees NO at TEN 3 8 6.2 0.9 18.7
7 Matt Ryan ATL vs. JAC 5 15 7.6 1.3 18.3
8 Dak Prescott DAL at PHI 4 11 8.2 1 18.3
9 Ryan Tannehill TEN vs. NO 6 17 8.6 1.7 17.8
10 Kyler Murray ARI at SEA 7 15 9.9 0.8 17.8
11 Ryan Fitzpatrick MIA vs. CIN 10 16 11.7 0.8 17.2
12 Aaron Rodgers GB at MIN 9 19 11.8 1.5 17.1
13 Kirk Cousins MIN vs. GB 7 14 12.5 1.1 16.7
14 Carson Wentz PHI vs. DAL 7 16 13.9 1 16.6
15 Philip Rivers LAC vs. OAK 9 18 14.4 1.1 16.5
16 Jimmy Garoppolo SF vs. LAR 14 19 15.9 0.7 16.4
17 Gardner Minshew JAC at ATL 13 23 18.4 1.9 16.3
18 Mitch Trubisky CHI vs. KC 15 22 18.6 2 16
19 Andy Dalton CIN at MIA 17 23 19 1.4 15.8
20 Josh Allen BUF at NE 17 27 20.8 2.6 15

 
Ryan Tannehill (TEN)
Since taking over as the starter in Week 7, Tannehill has been fantasy football’s fourth-highest scoring quarterback on a points per game basis, behind only Lamar Jackson, Jameis Winston, and Drew Brees. There’s been just one game he’s scored less than 18.9 fantasy points, though he still threw for two touchdowns in that game. The Saints are coming off a game where they looked dominant on defense, though it was more of a poor showing by Jacoby Brissett than anything, as the Saints generated pressure on just 27.8 percent of dropbacks. The prior week it was just 23.1 percent. Why is that significant? Because the Saints had generated pressure on at least 31 percent of dropbacks in each of their first 12 games, but after losing Sheldon Rankins and Marcus Davenport on the defensive line in Week 14, their numbers have fallen. Brissett was just the sixth quarterback who failed to finish top-15 against the Saints, joining Matt Ryan, Kyler Murray, Dak Prescott, Gardner Minshew, and Jameis Winston on that list. That’s a pretty solid guest list, which just goes to show how inconsistent/unpredictable the Saints have been on defense, as they’ve allowed six other quarterbacks 18-plus fantasy points and top-12 finishes, including Jimmy Garoppolo‘s 349-yard, four-touchdown outburst. We also need to factor in that they’ve allowed 5.79 yards per carry to quarterbacks (second-highest mark in the league), as Tannehill is running the ball quite a bit. You likely wouldn’t be where you are without Tannehill, so keep the party rolling with him as a middling QB1.

Ryan Fitzpatrick (MIA)
He’s now finished with at least 20.4 fantasy points in five of his last nine games, including three of his last four. The lack of run-game has propped-up Fitzpatrick’s pass attempts, which is huge for his fantasy floor, as is the fact that he’s rushed for at least 33 yards in three of the last four games, another avenue for fantasy success. The Bengals have allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to quarterbacks this year, though they’re worse than that number suggests, as quarterbacks have averaged just 29.7 pass attempts per game against them with all the rushing success. We know by now that the Dolphins running backs aren’t going to succeed on the ground (3.03 yards per carry and four rushing touchdowns as a team), and it’s why Fitzpatrick has totaled at least 37 pass attempts in each of the last five games. The 8.12 yards per attempt the Bengals have allowed is tied for the third-highest mark in the league. The 4.33 percent touchdown-rate is low for a team allowing this type of yardage, though I’d attribute that to the fact that they can’t stop the run on the goal-line. It’s really odd, though. There have been just four quarterbacks who’ve finished outside the top-16 against them, and all four of them have come over the last four games. It’s highly unlikely they’ve changed that much as a team that’s won just one game all year. Fitzpatrick is on the high-end QB2 radar and can be considered a solid streaming option with a stable floor.

Carson Wentz (PHI)
Despite all the wide receiver issues Wentz and the Eagles have had over the last three weeks, he’s scored at least 19.9 fantasy points in each game, resulting in three top-10 finishes. Now on to play a Cowboys team he’s very familiar with. He was held to just 191 yards and one touchdown in the first meeting, which netted just 6.8 fantasy points, the worst total of the year for him. In two games against a Cowboys defense that was playing better last year, he completed 54-of-76 passes for 588 yards, five touchdowns, and one interception, and was a top-10 quarterback in both games. Since Week 9, here are the quarterbacks the Cowboys have played along with their finishes: Kirk Cousins (QB9), Jeff Driskel (QB5), Tom Brady (QB17), Josh Allen (QB8), Mitch Trubisky (QB3), and Jared Goff (QB13). They aren’t playing very good football right now and have not generated the pressure they did earlier in the year. They’ve only allowed one quarterback more than two passing touchdowns all year, though it was Mitch Trubisky two weeks ago, who plays in a similar offense to the one Wentz/Pederson run. The injuries to his receivers do limit his upside, but Wentz should be considered a low-end QB1 this week.

Andy Dalton (CIN)
What did we really expect against the Patriots last week? Not only was it a brutal matchup, but he was without two of his top receivers in A.J. Green and Auden Tate. There have been some reports about Green potentially returning this week, though don’t believe it until you see it. The Dolphins have been a matchup to target with streamers, as they’ve now allowed multiple touchdown passes to 12-of-14 quarterbacks. Eli Manning‘s QB23 finish last week was just the third time this year a quarterback has finished outside the top-16 against them, with the first two being Sam Darnold and Brian Hoyer. The only team that’s allowed more fantasy points per pass attempt (removing all rushing production and points) is the Raiders. The Cardinals are third on that list, and they were a team Dalton was able to post 262 yards and two touchdowns against earlier this season. The reason the Dolphins haven’t allowed more fantasy points overall is due to quarterbacks averaging just 32.9 pass attempts against them. Week 15 was the first one Dalton threw fewer than 36 pass attempts, which obviously bodes well in this matchup. The issue is that Dalton hasn’t averaged more than 6.9 yards per attempt in each of his last nine starts, which obviously limits his ceiling. The only way I’d feel comfortable starting Dalton as anything more than a middling QB2 would be is if Green plays.

Week 16 Running Back Rankings

Rank Running Backs Team Opp Best Worst Avg Std Dev Proj. Pts
1 Chris Carson SEA vs. ARI 1 3 1 0 18.7
2 Christian McCaffrey CAR at IND 2 3 2.1 0.3 15.7
3 Ezekiel Elliott DAL at PHI 2 6 3.5 0.5 15.6
4 Saquon Barkley NYG at WAS 3 8 4 0.9 15.4
5 Derrick Henry TEN vs. NO 5 6 5.1 0.3 15.4
6 Joe Mixon CIN at MIA 1 8 5.6 1.7 14.4
7 Leonard Fournette JAC at ATL 5 10 7.5 1.1 13.8
8 Nick Chubb CLE vs. BAL 6 13 9.1 1.8 13.6
9 Mark Ingram BAL at CLE 6 16 9.6 2.2 12.9
10 Alvin Kamara NO at TEN 9 17 10.8 0.4 12.7
11 Marlon Mack IND vs. CAR 7 19 11.6 2.7 12.7
12 Aaron Jones GB at MIN 10 15 12.8 1.3 12.6
13 Melvin Gordon LAC vs. OAK 7 19 13.5 1.9 12.2
14 Miles Sanders PHI vs. DAL 10 18 15 1.9 12.2
15 Austin Ekeler LAC vs. OAK 11 19 15 2.5 12.2
16 Todd Gurley LAR at SF 8 20 15.6 1.6 12.2
17 Devonta Freeman ATL vs. JAC 9 24 16.5 4.6 11.9
18 Phillip Lindsay DEN vs. DET 10 23 17.9 2.4 11.5
19 Mike Boone MIN vs. GB 13 27 18.5 4.1 11.4
20 James Conner PIT at NYJ 14 26 20.3 1.6 11.3
21 Raheem Mostert SF vs. LAR 18 29 21.8 1.7 11.2
22 Kenyan Drake ARI at SEA 19 25 21.8 1.4 11.1
23 Adrian Peterson WAS vs. NYG 18 28 23.8 3.2 11
24 Le’Veon Bell NYJ vs. PIT 21 25 23.9 1.7 10.8
25 Devin Singletary BUF at NE 22 30 24.9 1.4 9.9
26 David Montgomery CHI vs. KC 22 29 25 1.9 9.5
27 DeAndre Washington OAK at LAC 18 52 26.5 8.1 9.2
28 Sony Michel NE vs. BUF 26 31 27.9 1.1 9.1
29 Kareem Hunt CLE vs. BAL 28 29 28.5 0.5 8.9
30 Patrick Laird MIA vs. CIN 29 40 31.5 1.2 8.7
31 Carlos Hyde HOU at TB 27 36 32 1.9 8.7
32 Boston Scott PHI vs. DAL 30 35 32.6 1.7 8.3
33 Ronald Jones II TB vs. HOU 31 37 33.3 1 8.3
34 James White NE vs. BUF 32 34 33.4 0.5 7.2
35 Royce Freeman DEN vs. DET 30 39 36.3 1.2 7.2
36 Tarik Cohen CHI vs. KC 35 37 36.5 0.7 6.7
37 Latavius Murray NO at TEN 31 39 36.8 1.5 6.6
38 Jamaal Williams GB at MIN 32 43 38.8 1.1 6.5
39 Peyton Barber TB vs. HOU 38 46 40.3 1.9 6.4
40 Matt Breida SF vs. LAR 40 46 42.5 1.4 6.3
41 LeSean McCoy KC at CHI 40 50 42.8 2.4 6.2
42 Duke Johnson HOU at TB 38 47 43.1 1.1 6.1
43 Kerryon Johnson DET at DEN 29 55 45 4.4 5.6
44 Gus Edwards BAL at CLE 41 56 45.1 4.1 5.4
45 Myles Gaskin MIA vs. CIN 31 62 47 6.3 5.1
46 David Johnson ARI at SEA 44 53 47.5 2 5
47 Nyheim Hines IND vs. CAR 48 58 49.3 1.3 4.7
48 Tevin Coleman SF vs. LAR 42 58 50.1 4.3 4.7
49 Jalen Richard OAK at LAC 39 58 50.6 3.5 4.7
50 Rex Burkhead NE vs. BUF 47 66 50.9 2.7 4.5

 
Joe Mixon (CIN)
Going back to the start of Week 8, Mixon has accumulated 671 yards on 147 carries (4.6 yards per carry) with three touchdowns, and another 151 yards and one touchdown through the air. That’s a span of seven games where he’s averaged 23.4 touches with 117.4 total yards and 0.57 touchdowns per game. He’s been playing like a man on a mission, as there appears to be multiple highlight reel plays every week. The matchup against the Dolphins is one of the best he could ask for, as they’ve allowed 178.3 total yards per game to running backs this year, including 169 total yards and three touchdowns to the Giants backfield last week. There hasn’t been a game this season where they’ve allowed fewer than 114 total yards to opposing running backs. This bodes well for Mixon, who’s accounted for 83.2 percent of the Bengals running back touches over the last seven games. Saquon Barkley was the ninth running back who’s posted top-12 numbers against them. This is your reminder that they’ve played just 14 games. Mixon should be locked-in as an RB1 this week and considered in cash-game lineups.

Mike Boone (MIN)
If Dalvin Cook and Alexander Mattison are still out, we are talking about 20 touches in a terrific Vikings running game from a ridiculous athlete and against one of the worst run defenses in football. If he is the starter, you can take it to the bank that he’ll be ranked among the top five running backs. I’d much rather use the #1 waiver priority on that kind of week-winning upside than a WR3 like Perriman.

Kenyan Drake (ARI)
It’s safe to say Drake has the workhorse job on lockdown after his four-touchdown outburst in Week 15. He was responsible for 23-of-26 touches available to Cardinals running backs and he didn’t disappoint. Now on to play a Seahawks team that’s allowed a rushing touchdown every 18.8 carries, which ranks as the second-most often in the league behind only the Panthers. Despite seeing the fourth-fewest carries (18.8 per game), they’ve allowed the second-most rushing touchdowns (14). Both of these teams average over 129 total plays per game, which is above the league average, so we should expect a lot of plays, though teams have called a run play on just 36.1 percent of plays against the Seahawks, which ranks as the third-lowest percentage in all of football. This means touches are hard to come by against them, as highlighted by the 24.4 touches per game they’ve faced, which ranks as the seventh-fewest. There have been just nine running backs who’ve totaled at least 15 touches against them. Each of them finished as a top-20 running back, so if you believe Drake hits that mark, he should be played as a mid-tier RB2. But we cannot ignore the risk of him falling below that mark, as he did the prior week against the Steelers, though he got close with 14 total touches. No matter which way you slice it, Drake should be looked at as a low-end RB2 who has upside for more considering how inefficient the Seahawks have been at stopping running backs, as the 0.97 PPR points per opportunity ranks as the third-highest mark in the league.

Raheem Mostert (SF)
Of the 27 opportunities available to the 49ers running backs last week, Mostert tallied 16 of them, giving him the clear-cut lead job while Breida finished with six, and Coleman five. You still need them to rack-up the touches in order for Mostert to be guaranteed 14-plus touches, and that’s a number you really need him to hit this week against the Rams. There hasn’t been a running back who’s finished better than RB40 without seeing at least 14 touches against them. Granted, there have been 17 running backs to hit that mark, but for the 49ers backfield, nothing should be a given. Back in the Week 6 matchup with these two teams, the 49ers running backs racked up 35 carries and six receptions. They weren’t particularly efficient with them (137 total yards, one touchdown), but with that type of volume, you feel pretty comfortable. The Rams opponents have averaged 67.1 plays per game (3rd-highest) which has led to a rock-solid 29.1 touches per game for running backs. They’ve allowed the 10th-fewest points per opportunity, so it’s not like it’s a smash spot that you can’t miss, though the Cowboys stuck it to them last week while racking up over 300 total yards and three touchdowns last week. Prior to that game, the Rams had allowed the fifth-fewest points per opportunity. We have to consider it just a bad showing for them given the much larger sample size of dominating performances they’ve had, and knowing their playoff hopes are on the line, expect them to show up for this game. Mostert should be in lineups as a low-end RB2 this week and is the only 49ers running back who belongs near a fantasy lineup.

Week 16 Wide Receiver Rankings

Rank Wide Receivers Team Opp Best Worst Avg Std Dev Proj. Pts
1 DeAndre Hopkins HOU at TB 1 2 1 0 13.9
2 Michael Thomas NO at TEN 2 4 2.3 0.4 12.8
3 Julio Jones ATL vs. JAC 1 5 3.3 1.1 12.2
4 Tyreek Hill KC at CHI 3 4 3.8 0.4 11.7
5 Davante Adams GB at MIN 3 6 4.9 0.6 10.5
6 D.J. Moore CAR at IND 5 12 8 1.9 10.5
7 Devante Parker MIA vs. CIN 6 24 8.1 1.3 10.3
8 Keenan Allen LAC vs. OAK 6 16 8.5 1.2 10.2
9 Tyler Lockett SEA vs. ARI 6 12 9.3 1.8 10.2
10 Allen Robinson CHI vs. KC 7 14 10.3 2.1 10
11 Courtland Sutton DEN vs. DET 5 14 11.3 1.9 9.9
12 Amari Cooper DAL at PHI 7 15 11.6 2.4 9.8
13 Stefon Diggs MIN vs. GB 6 19 14.1 3.4 9.7
14 A.J. Brown TEN vs. NO 10 27 14.1 1.7 9.7
15 Julian Edelman NE vs. BUF 9 30 15.6 2.7 9.6
16 Terry McLaurin WAS vs. NYG 14 21 16.6 1.7 9.6
17 Robert Woods LAR at SF 9 25 16.9 4.1 9.5
18 Breshad Perriman TB vs. HOU 13 30 18.9 1.5 9.5
19 Cooper Kupp LAR at SF 17 27 20.3 2.4 9.4
20 Tyler Boyd CIN at MIA 14 31 21 5.6 9.4
21 Will Fuller HOU at TB 17 29 21.8 2.8 9.4
22 Kenny Golladay DET at DEN 15 33 22 4.4 9.3
23 Jarvis Landry CLE vs. BAL 10 30 22.3 2.5 9
24 D.K. Metcalf SEA vs. ARI 16 32 22.3 2.5 8.8
25 Mike Williams LAC vs. OAK 20 43 22.8 0.8 8.8
26 Adam Thielen MIN vs. GB 18 31 24.3 3.3 8.7
27 Christian Kirk ARI at SEA 18 32 26.4 2.2 8.7
28 Michael Gallup DAL at PHI 22 36 26.8 2.4 8.6
29 Anthony Miller CHI vs. KC 26 34 29.4 1.8 8.3
30 Odell Beckham Jr. CLE vs. BAL 20 34 29.9 1.4 8.3
31 T.Y. Hilton IND vs. CAR 24 38 30.8 3.6 8.3
32 Darius Slayton NYG at WAS 25 38 33.4 3.8 8.2
33 Emmanuel Sanders SF vs. LAR 29 37 33.6 1.9 8.2
34 Sterling Shepard NYG at WAS 26 39 34.6 3.3 8.2
35 John Brown BUF at NE 32 39 35.1 1.5 8.2
36 Deebo Samuel SF vs. LAR 31 50 36 2.3 8
37 Marquise Brown BAL at CLE 34 46 37.6 4.3 7.4
38 Robby Anderson NYJ vs. PIT 23 44 38.4 3.5 7.3
39 Zach Pascal IND vs. CAR 39 51 42 1 7.3
40 Jamison Crowder NYJ vs. PIT 37 47 42.6 1.9 7.2
41 Chris Conley JAC at ATL 39 50 42.8 2.9 7.2
42 Dede Westbrook JAC at ATL 36 59 43.9 3.6 7.1
43 Curtis Samuel CAR at IND 32 58 44 5.6 6.9
44 James Washington PIT at NYJ 34 61 44.5 4.2 6.9
45 Tyrell Williams OAK at LAC 44 58 46.4 3 6.8
46 Sammy Watkins KC at CHI 43 52 46.5 1.9 6.6
47 Greg Ward PHI vs. DAL 30 58 47.4 7.3 6.5
48 Justin Watson TB vs. HOU 39 65 48.4 6.2 6.5
49 Golden Tate NYG at WAS 38 55 48.8 2 6.5
50 Diontae Johnson PIT at NYJ 38 60 50.6 3.8 6.4
51 Cole Beasley BUF at NE 49 58 51.1 2.1 6.3
52 Danny Amendola DET at DEN 41 60 51.6 3.6 6.3
53 Larry Fitzgerald ARI at SEA 42 62 52 4 6.2
54 Kenny Stills HOU at TB 46 62 52.5 2.1 6
55 Russell Gage ATL vs. JAC 47 63 52.9 1.6 5.9
56 John Ross CIN at MIA 53 69 57.1 3.3 5.7
57 Corey Davis TEN vs. NO 56 63 58.5 1.7 5.7
58 Brandin Cooks LAR at SF 55 65 59.1 1.2 5.6
59 Allen Hurns MIA vs. CIN 54 73 60.8 4.6 5.3
60 Allen Lazard GB at MIN 57 72 62.6 3.6 5.3

 
Devante Parker (MIA)
After getting cleared from his concussion late in the week, many were torn on whether they should play Parker. He didn’t disappoint, totaling four catches for 72 yards and two touchdowns. Since the start of Week 4, Parker has finished as a top-32 receiver in every game he didn’t get concussed in. That’s 10 straight games of a WR3 floor with multiple top-10 games mixed-in. Now on to play the Bengals, who’ve actually allowed the sixth-fewest fantasy points to wide receivers on the year. How is that possible? They’ve faced an average of just 16.4 targets per game, which certainly helps, as that’s the third-lowest mark in the league. The 9.05 yards per target they’ve allowed ranks as the sixth-highest mark in the league, so volume is key here. Parker has totaled at least six targets in each of the last eight non-concussion games, including five games with 10-plus targets. He’ll see a combination of all three Bengals cornerbacks this week, as they don’t do any shadowing and Parker doesn’t line up at one spot more than 40 percent of the time. He should remain in lineups as a stable WR2 in Week 16.

Courtland Sutton (DEN)
It was good to see Sutton finish with 79 yards last week, as the weather conditions weren’t exactly friendly. He’s now tallied at least 72 yards and/or a touchdown in 11-of-14 games despite playing with three different quarterbacks. The 10 targets he saw in Week 15 were a season-high. Crazy, right? Now on to a matchup with the Lions who’ve allowed 14 different wide receivers finish as top-20 options against them, including eight inside the top 10. He’s going to see Darius Slay for much of the game, and though he’s their best cornerback, he hasn’t been untouchable this season. He’s allowed just a 57 percent catch-rate in his coverage, but he’s also allowed 14.4 yards per reception, so receivers are getting over the top on him. Sutton’s 427 yards on targets that travel 20-plus yards in the air rank fifth in the NFL. There’s been just one game this year where the Lions didn’t allow a top-28 wide receiver performance, which is an amazing floor for Sutton. Plug him in as a solid WR2 and expect him to overcome the matchup with Slay.

Terry McLaurin (WAS)
He only saw five targets last week, but that was enough for him to demolish the Eagles secondary, catching every one for 130 yards and a touchdown, highlighted by a 75-yard catch-and-run. He’s now totaled at least 69 yards and/or a touchdown in four of his last five games, so maybe things are coming together for him and Haskins? The lack of targets to go around is worrisome, but McLaurin has earned the right to be trusted. The Giants cut their best cornerback prior to last week’s game, which surely won’t help them slow down receivers. They’ve already allowed more fantasy points per target (2.06) than any other team in the NFL. Yes, that includes the Cardinals and Dolphins. Receivers have been able to snag 66.2 percent of passes that come their way at 14.5 yards a pop, while bringing in a touchdown every 13.5 targets. That’s with Janoris Jenkins on the roster. The duo of DeAndre Baker and Sam Beal have allowed 50-of-86 passing for 807 yards and eight touchdowns in their coverage, good enough for a QB Rating just short of 120. McLaurin should be in lineups as a high-end WR3 with top-10 upside, though we can’t put him there due to his inconsistent quarterback play.

Breshad Perriman (TB)
Although Perriman is nowhere near the football player that Miller is, Perriman happens to be in a passing offense that is quite literally twice as competent. He, of course, won’t score three touchdowns again this week, but he should see 5+ targets for the fourth straight week, which should go a long way versus the Texans’ lackluster secondary. Perriman has the speed to take any play to the house and we know Winston won’t hesitate to target him downfield.

Week 16 Tight End Rankings

Rank Tight Ends Team Opp Best Worst Avg Std Dev Proj. Pts
1 George Kittle SF vs. LAR 1 3 1.1 0.3 9.9
2 Travis Kelce KC at CHI 1 3 2.3 0.4 9.8
3 Zach Ertz PHI vs. DAL 1 3 2.6 0.5 9.3
4 Mark Andrews BAL at CLE 4 10 5.1 1.5 8.8
5 Darren Waller OAK at LAC 5 8 5.6 0.7 7.8
6 Hunter Henry LAC vs. OAK 4 10 6.4 1.7 7.8
7 Austin Hooper ATL vs. JAC 5 8 6.5 0.7 7.5
8 Jared Cook NO at TEN 4 10 8.3 0.8 6.8
9 Tyler Higbee LAR at SF 4 13 8.8 2 6.6
10 Jacob Hollister SEA vs. ARI 6 15 9.8 2.2 6.3
11 O.J. Howard TB vs. HOU 9 12 10.4 1 6.1
12 Dallas Goedert PHI vs. DAL 10 13 11.5 0.7 5.8
13 Jack Doyle IND vs. CAR 11 15 13.9 1.1 5.7
14 Noah Fant DEN vs. DET 12 19 14.1 1.9 5.6
15 Greg Olsen CAR at IND 12 20 16.3 2 5.5
16 Mike Gesicki MIA vs. CIN 15 19 16.9 0.9 5.1
17 Kyle Rudolph MIN vs. GB 14 24 17.1 1.8 4.9
18 Jonnu Smith TEN vs. NO 14 21 17.5 1 4.9
19 Cameron Brate TB vs. HOU 12 23 19.5 2.8 4.8
20 Jason Witten DAL at PHI 19 26 20.6 0.5 4.7

 
Mark Andrew (BAL)
Despite coming into the Jets game with a highly questionable tag, Andrews saw seven targets, turning them into 4/52/1. There could’ve been more if not for a few penalties, but his owners should be happy with the outcome. Knowing he’ll have had 10 days rest; he should be ready to rock against the Browns this week. Andrews doesn’t see elite volume like Kelce, Ertz, or Kittle, but he’s been as efficient as possible while averaging 13.1 yards per catch and a touchdown every 11.1 targets. The Browns are the ideal opponent for someone like him, as they’ve allowed just the 12th-fewest fantasy points to tight ends this year, though it’s only because they’ve faced the sixth-fewest targets. On a per-target basis, they’ve allowed 1.99 PPR points, which ranks as the third-highest mark in the league, behind only the Cardinals and Jaguars. Andrews tallied four catches for 31 yards and a touchdown against them back in Week 4 when he was highly questionable with a different injury that week. Knowing the Browns have allowed three tight ends to total 19-plus PPR points against them, you aren’t even contemplating sitting Andrews, who is a rock-solid TE1.

Hunter Henry (LAC)
After seeing an elite target share in each of his seven games, Henry has fallen by the wayside in the Chargers offense, as he’s seen just nine targets over the last three weeks. He’s caught just two passes in each of those games and hasn’t totaled 40 yards in any of them. Does that automatically mean he’s got no chance of returning to his big role in the offense? No. It just simply means you have to understand the risk associated with him and if you have someone else that’s safer, you may want to go that route. The Raiders are a team he caught four passes for 30 yards and a touchdown against back in Week 10, though that was when he had his larger role in the offense. After being the worst team in the league against tight ends last year, the Raiders are in the bottom-six this year. They’ve allowed nine different tight ends to finish with double-digit PPR points against them, though a lot has relied upon big plays and touchdowns. The 63.0 percent completion-rate they’re allowing to them is actually the best in the league, but the 12.81 yards per reception ranks second-most, while the touchdown they allow every 11.1 targets is the third-most often. Henry should be considered a mid-to-low-end TE1 with his decreased role the last three games, but he should win the tiebreaker if choosing between him and another potential streamer.

Jacob Hollister (SEA)
When in doubt, play the TE against the Cardinals. This narrative has continued to work well this season, with Arizona surrendering nearly 20 fantasy points per game to TEs this year, which is by far the most. While Jacob Hollister has slowed down, he is still one of the top weapons on this offense, especially in the red zone. And now, he has the opportunity to see another target or two per game, with Josh Gordon out indefinitely. While Gordon has not been a great producer, he is a big body and could be used as a red zone threat. With him gone, Hollister is again the no-brainer best red zone receiving weapon in Seattle, who has a great chance to catch a touchdown against the worst defense against TEs this season.

O.J. Howard (TB)
Ever since their bye, Howard has been utilized much more in the passing game. He now has 18 targets in the past three weeks and has nearly twice as many air yards as George Kittle in that time. Howard has another solid matchup this week versus Houston’s lousy secondary, and with Mike Evans still out, it should lead to another solid performance.

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