DraftKings NBA Lineup Advice: Monday (11/25)

At the moment, Monday’s 11-game NBA slate is shaping up like one that calls for a balanced lineup approach. Sure, there are a few high-priced superstars on the slate, but there are a lot of very strong plays in the mid-salary range and not a lot of value to get too excited about at the moment. Of course, that can all change as this is the NBA, so continue to monitor breaking news throughout the day and be ready to pivot accordingly.

Note that some of the stats referenced in this article are my custom defense versus position (DvP) calculations that combines data from the season and last five games along with blending similar positions production allowed together.

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Core Plays

Jonathan Isaac (SF/PF – ORL): $7,900 at DET
The Magic frontcourt is very thin right now with Nikola Vucevic and Aaron Gordon out. The biggest beneficiary has been Jonathan Isaac, who has seen an increase of usage by 7.2% with those two players off the court this season. In the last two games, Isaac is averaging 20.5 points, 11.0 rebounds, 2.5 blocks, and 2.5 steals while putting up 48.75 DraftKings points per game in those outings. His salary is on the rise, but he is still a solid value given his upside.

Andrew Wiggins (SG/SF – MIN): $7,600 at ATL
After missing a week of action due to an illness, Wiggins is still working his way back into the elite form that he was showing prior to missing three games. That said, the minutes and shots are still there for Wiggins — in the last two outings, he has put up 20.5 points per game despite shooting just 42.2 percent from the field and 18.8 percent from beyond the arc. Look for his percentages to trend up in his matchup with the Hawks on Monday, as they have allowed the third-highest field goal percentage and fourth-highest three-point percentage to small forwards this season.

Bam Adebayo (C – MIA): $7,100 vs. CHA
Adebayo’s production can be a little bit inconsistent at times, but he draws a very favorable matchup on Monday at home against the Hornets. The Hornets have allowed increased production across the board to opposing big men, including points (+10.7%), rebounds (+13.6%), assists (+6.5%), and steals (+30.9%). Monday could be another spike game for Adebayo, who has topped 50 DK points in two of his last four games.

Jayson Tatum (SF/PF – BOS): $6,900 vs. SAC
The Celtics will be searching for scoring on Monday with Kemba Walker out, along with Gordon Hayward still on the shelf. Tatum has seen the biggest usage bump with those two players off the court this season with a 7.6% increase. Tatum has exceeded 47 DK points in two of his last three games and faces Kings team that could be tired, as they’re playing in their third road game in the last four games.

Malcolm Brogdon (PG/SG – IND): $6,000 vs. MEM
Brogdon is expected to return to the court on Monday after missing the last few games with a back injury. Apparently, DraftKings forgot about him while he was out as his salary has dipped down to $6,000 after it was up into the $8k range before the injury. I have no hesitation playing Brogdon in his first game back. I expect him to go right back to playing 30 minutes and putting up numbers similar to his season averages of 19.2 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 8.2 assists for 39.8 DK points in a favorable matchup at home against the Grizzlies.

Value Plays

DeAndre Bembry (PG/SG – ATL): $5,300 vs. MIN
Using Bembry depends on Cam Reddish missing another game on Monday when the Timberwolves visit the Hawks. In the last two games with Reddish out, Bembry has averaged 16.5 points, 4.5 rebounds, 5.0 assists, and 3.0 steals per game while playing 32-plus minutes in each outing. The Wolves allow increased production to shooting guards in every category, including points (+14.5%), rebounds (+18.5%), assists (+4.6%), and steals (+10.1%). If Reddish does play, then consider pivoting to him instead of Bembry.

Rajon Rondo (PG – LAL): $5,200 @ SA
Rondo has played at least 24 minutes in three of his last four games for the Lakers. His minutes should be locked into that number if Alex Caruso misses Monday’s matchup in San Antonio. In the three games that Rondo has played 24-plus minutes, he is averaging 12.3 points, 3.0 rebounds, and 6.3 assists per game. The Spurs have been generous to opposing point guards this year, as they’re giving up increased rates in points (+11.3%), rebounds (+2.8%), and assists (+22.9%).

Marquese Chriss (PF/C – GS): $5,000 vs. OKC
Keep an eye on the status of Draymond Green heading into Monday’s game against the Thunder. If Green ($5,600) plays, then he is worth consideration at a value price. If Green sits, then that opens up some more playing time and production for Chriss and Omari Spellman ($4,900). For Chriss, over his last four games, he has put up 12.0 points, 5.5 rebounds, 2.5 assists, and 2.0 blocks per game for 28.0 DK points per night. Meanwhile, Spellman has averaged 25.0 DK points per game over the last two outings with Green out.

Brad Wanamaker (PG/SG – BOS): $4,300 vs. SAC
Wanamaker may be listed last, but he is still the best value play on the board Monday night. With Walker out, Wanamaker should see an increase in his minutes running the point for the Celtics when they face the Kings. Over his last three games (with Walker playing), Wanamaker has averaged 12.7 points, 2.0 rebounds, and 5.0 assists for 25.2 DK points per game. Look for him to exceed that number at home on Monday night.

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Brad Richter is a Featured Writer and Correspondent at FantasyPros and a contributor at DailyOverlay. For more from Brad, you can view his archive or follow him @RotoPilot.