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How many games did Todd Gurley, or any other player, win the average fantasy owner last year? You’re about to find out.
Wins above replacement (WAR) is a sabermetric tool used to evaluate a baseball player’s contribution to team wins by controlling for teammate contributions. WAR has not caught on to real football because it’s practically impossible to untangle a single player’s contribution from the knot of ten others on a given play or game.
But that’s real football. In fantasy football, we don’t have this problem. The tangle of 11 players’ contributions on an actual football team all factor into a single player’s value in fantasy. And with fantasy teams, we can control for the contributions of all other roster spots and figure out how many more wins a fantasy team won on average with a specific player vs. a replacement-level player at that position.
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One metric similar to WAR in the fantasy football community is the Value Based Draft system (VBD) developed by Joe Bryant. Todd Gurley‘s VBD in 2018 was a preposterous 178. This means that he scored 178 more points than the 24th highest scoring (replacement-level) RB, according to Pro Football Reference.
VBD is certainly a meaningful metric, but showing how many more seasonal points one scored than a replacement-level player doesn’t tell us how many more wins this translated to your fantasy team. VBD also doesn’t take player week-to-week consistency into account.
Why does consistency matter? I’ll explain with a wild hypothetical:
Imagine Gurley scored all of his 313 fantasy points of 2018 in Week 1. Before you scoff at how ridiculous that sounds, let me remind you that the Rams played the Raiders that week. Let’s say after Week 1, Gurley goes on to lay goose eggs in every game after. If this were to have happened, his VBD would still be 178.
Forget about how impractical this is and focus on its effect on your fantasy team. You’d win Week 1 easy, but with a goose egg in an RB slot the rest of the year – you’d be lucky to win another game. Congrats on that first overall VBD rating: your fantasy team just finished 1-12.
Player consistency matters in fantasy football and while the above hypothetical is wildly unrealistic, shades of gray exist in the shadows of your fantasy team. This is why boom or bust players that lay 40 one week and go silent the next two are responsible for tanking you in the long run. Yes, I’m looking at you, Amari Cooper. Sure, the average of those three weeks is solid, but your team’s 1-2 record isn’t. This is why we need something more than VBD. We need WAR.
Declaring WAR
First things first, we need to decide on league settings. I used 12-team, standard scoring, four-point passing TD’s with a starting roster of QB, RB, RB, WR, WR, Flex, TE, DST, and K. The estimated average fantasy team’s weekly score under these settings in 2018 turned out to be 108.43 points with a standard deviation of 20.9 points. Put this aside, we’ll come back to it.
Next, we isolate a single player’s contribution. Let’s take 2018 fantasy king Todd Gurley for example. He scored 20.7 points in Week 1. The average RB in a 12-team league scored 13.7 points in 2018, so Gurley gave your team a 7-point boost from an otherwise average team (115.43 vs. 108.43). Assuming your opponent scores the fantasy league average 108.43 points with a standard deviation of 20.9 points, probability theory estimates owners of Gurley had a 63 percent chance of winning their Week 1 match-up.
After repeating this for all 14 weeks Gurley played, we average all of his single week win percentages together: 65.45%. Simply multiplying this by 12 (weeks in a fantasy regular season minus bye) gives you the number of match-ups you expect to win solely due to Gurley: 7.86.
This entire process is repeated for the 24th ranked (replacement-level) RB of 2018: Matt Breida. Gurley’s estimated 7.86 team wins minus Breida’s (5.13) gives Todd Gurley’s 2018 WAR: 2.73 games. This means instead of going 5-8 with a replacement-level RB and an otherwise average team, switching out that replacement-level RB for Gurley would have launched you to the fantasy playoffs with an estimated 8-5 record.
The same process is again repeated for all players in all positions relative to position replacement-level figures. DST and kicker replacement-level was done a little bit differently to account for heavy use of streaming. The average of the top-12 DSTs and kickers for each week was used instead of the entire year average as done with all other positions. This raised the replacement-level figures for both positions, making DST and kicker WAR smaller as a result.
Benefits of WAR
WAR provides a more meaningful and real-world number to cross-position comparison than VBD. It also improves on VBD by controlling for player week-to-week consistency. For example, if the average RB scores 13 points per game, and Gurley scores five more than this (18) in a game, a fantasy team’s win percentage will increase more than if he added five points to a game where he already scored 30.
2018 WAR Takeaways
- Patrick Mahomes killed it. Any analyst would cringe at the thought of a QB taken in the first round, but in 2018, Mahomes would have been worth the fifth overall pick. Here’s a quick breakdown of his fantasy team’s win percentage by week with the horizontal line representing replacement-level:
- Ryan Fitzpatrick was pulled after eight games in real football, but if he kept up at that rate and played the entire season, he would have been worth the eighth pick in round 2.
- Despite the Bears DST being worth the fourth pick of round 2, keep in mind that year-over-year consistency for team defenses is shoddy at best. It will be interesting to see how far they regress by the end of 2019.
- Kickers are chaos. Even though WAR suggests Greg Zuerlein would have been worth a late third round pick had he stayed healthy, year-over-year kicker performance differs drastically – even for top-tier kickers. The top-ten fantasy kickers in the past ten years had a 70 percent chance of scoring anywhere between 93 and 141 fantasy points per season. That’s an insane 47-point gap.
2018 WAR Results
As any good financial adviser will tell you, past performance doesn’t guarantee future outcome. The same goes for WAR. But it does allow a way to compare different positions like never before and properly calibrates boom or bust players.
Below is the top-300 for 2018. Keep this handy in your drafts. If you find yourself deciding on two players at different positions and you have no reason to believe much has changed in their situations from last year, WAR can help you pick the guy that is most likely to win you more games.
Real football might not have the ability to use WAR like fantasy, but both have one thing in common. At the end of the day winning isn’t everything; it’s the only thing.
| 2018 WAR | Round | Pick | Player | Position | 2019 ADP |
| 2.73 | 1 | 1 | Todd Gurley | RB | 11 |
| 1.96 | 1 | 2 | Melvin Gordon | RB | 23 |
| 1.88 | 1 | 3 | Kareem Hunt | RB | 90 |
| 1.87 | 1 | 4 | Saquon Barkley | RB | 1 |
| 1.78 | 1 | 5 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | 16 |
| 1.77 | 1 | 6 | Alvin Kamara | RB | 3 |
| 1.65 | 1 | 7 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | 2 |
| 1.65 | 1 | 8 | James Conner | RB | 9 |
| 1.55 | 1 | 9 | Ezekiel Elliott | RB | 4 |
| 1.39 | 1 | 10 | Travis Kelce | TE | 19 |
| 1.35 | 1 | 11 | Davante Adams | WR | 8 |
| 1.34 | 1 | 12 | Antonio Brown | WR | 22 |
| 1.34 | 2 | 1 | Tyreek Hill | WR | 17 |
| 1.18 | 2 | 2 | DeAndre Hopkins | WR | 5 |
| 1.13 | 2 | 3 | Julio Jones | WR | 12 |
| 1.10 | 2 | 4 | Chicago Bears | DST | 95 |
| 1.09 | 2 | 5 | George Kittle | TE | 32 |
| 1.00 | 2 | 6 | Zach Ertz | TE | 33 |
| 0.99 | 2 | 7 | Joe Mixon | RB | 13 |
| 0.97 | 2 | 8 | Ryan Fitzpatrick | QB | 333 |
| 0.97 | 2 | 9 | Odell Beckham Jr. | WR | 14 |
| 0.93 | 2 | 10 | Eric Ebron | TE | 71 |
| 0.91 | 2 | 11 | Matt Ryan | QB | 72 |
| 0.89 | 2 | 12 | O.J. Howard | TE | 57 |
| 0.88 | 3 | 1 | Ben Roethlisberger | QB | 109 |
| 0.88 | 3 | 2 | Mike Evans | WR | 21 |
| 0.84 | 3 | 3 | Adam Thielen | WR | 26 |
| 0.84 | 3 | 4 | Marlon Mack | RB | 31 |
| 0.79 | 3 | 5 | Michael Thomas | WR | 10 |
| 0.77 | 3 | 6 | Chris Carson | RB | 41 |
| 0.72 | 3 | 7 | Cooper Kupp | WR | 49 |
| 0.70 | 3 | 8 | A.J. Green | WR | 48 |
| 0.70 | 3 | 9 | JuJu Smith-Schuster | WR | 18 |
| 0.68 | 3 | 10 | T.Y. Hilton | WR | 29 |
| 0.66 | 3 | 11 | Andrew Luck | QB | 51 |
| 0.62 | 3 | 12 | Greg Zuerlein | K | 122 |
| 0.60 | 4 | 1 | Deshaun Watson | QB | 47 |
| 0.59 | 4 | 2 | Cam Newton | QB | 93 |
| 0.59 | 4 | 3 | Robert Woods | WR | 40 |
| 0.59 | 4 | 4 | Phillip Lindsay | RB | 42 |
| 0.58 | 4 | 5 | Julian Edelman | WR | 44 |
| 0.58 | 4 | 6 | David Johnson | RB | 6 |
| 0.55 | 4 | 7 | Keenan Allen | WR | 28 |
| 0.55 | 4 | 8 | Leonard Fournette | RB | 24 |
| 0.54 | 4 | 9 | Aaron Jones | RB | 30 |
| 0.53 | 4 | 10 | Brandin Cooks | WR | 39 |
| 0.53 | 4 | 11 | Stefon Diggs | WR | 38 |
| 0.52 | 4 | 12 | Los Angeles Rams | DST | 113 |
| 0.48 | 5 | 1 | Jared Cook | TE | 82 |
| 0.47 | 5 | 2 | Will Fuller | WR | 75 |
| 0.47 | 5 | 3 | Houston Texans | DST | 158 |
| 0.46 | 5 | 4 | Emmanuel Sanders | WR | 112 |
| 0.45 | 5 | 5 | James White | RB | 68 |
| 0.43 | 5 | 6 | Jared Goff | QB | 91 |
| 0.41 | 5 | 7 | Tyler Boyd | WR | 58 |
| 0.41 | 5 | 8 | Tyler Lockett | WR | 54 |
| 0.41 | 5 | 9 | New England Patriots | DST | 176 |
| 0.39 | 5 | 10 | Evan Engram | TE | 64 |
| 0.35 | 5 | 11 | Drew Brees | QB | 83 |
| 0.34 | 5 | 12 | Rob Gronkowski | TE | NA |
| 0.33 | 6 | 1 | Jameis Winston | QB | 107 |
| 0.32 | 6 | 2 | Albert Wilson | WR | 226 |
| 0.31 | 6 | 3 | Garrett Celek | TE | NA |
| 0.30 | 6 | 4 | Ka’imi Fairbairn | K | 179 |
| 0.29 | 6 | 5 | Derrick Henry | RB | 36 |
| 0.29 | 6 | 6 | Will Dissly | TE | 367 |
| 0.29 | 6 | 7 | Kansas City Chiefs | DST | 206 |
| 0.28 | 6 | 8 | Mitchell Trubisky | QB | 150 |
| 0.28 | 6 | 9 | Amari Cooper | WR | 34 |
| 0.25 | 6 | 10 | Kerryon Johnson | RB | 27 |
| 0.24 | 6 | 11 | Nick Chubb | RB | 15 |
| 0.24 | 6 | 12 | Baltimore Ravens | DST | 131 |
| 0.22 | 7 | 1 | Dante Pettis | WR | 78 |
| 0.22 | 7 | 2 | Adrian Peterson | RB | 142 |
| 0.21 | 7 | 3 | Calvin Ridley | WR | 55 |
| 0.21 | 7 | 4 | Justin Tucker | K | 138 |
| 0.19 | 7 | 5 | Lamar Miller | RB | 61 |
| 0.19 | 7 | 6 | Marshawn Lynch | RB | NA |
| 0.17 | 7 | 7 | Tarik Cohen | RB | 63 |
| 0.17 | 7 | 8 | New Orleans Saints | DST | 186 |
| 0.16 | 7 | 9 | Alshon Jeffery | WR | 69 |
| 0.16 | 7 | 10 | Denver Broncos | DST | 185 |
| 0.15 | 7 | 11 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | 52 |
| 0.15 | 7 | 12 | Dalvin Cook | RB | 20 |
| 0.15 | 8 | 1 | Trey Burton | TE | 148 |
| 0.14 | 8 | 2 | Kenny Golladay | WR | 43 |
| 0.13 | 8 | 3 | DeSean Jackson | WR | 132 |
| 0.13 | 8 | 4 | Miami Dolphins | DST | 356 |
| 0.12 | 8 | 5 | Sony Michel | RB | 53 |
| 0.12 | 8 | 6 | Washington Redskins | DST | 301 |
| 0.11 | 8 | 7 | Carson Wentz | QB | 84 |
| 0.11 | 8 | 8 | Robert Foster | WR | 207 |
| 0.11 | 8 | 9 | Mark Ingram | RB | 46 |
| 0.11 | 8 | 10 | Austin Hooper | TE | 126 |
| 0.11 | 8 | 11 | Aldrick Rosas | K | 354 |
| 0.10 | 8 | 12 | Jack Doyle | TE | 236 |
| 0.10 | 9 | 1 | Ryan Hewitt | TE | NA |
| 0.10 | 9 | 2 | Tennessee Titans | DST | 232 |
| 0.10 | 9 | 3 | Giorgio Tavecchio | K | 228 |
| 0.09 | 9 | 4 | Mason Crosby | K | 222 |
| 0.08 | 9 | 5 | Russell Wilson | QB | 87 |
| 0.08 | 9 | 6 | Marvin Jones | WR | 88 |
| 0.08 | 9 | 7 | Seattle Seahawks | DST | 245 |
| 0.07 | 9 | 8 | Jordan Howard | RB | 81 |
| 0.07 | 9 | 9 | Tyler Eifert | TE | 281 |
| 0.06 | 9 | 10 | Kirk Cousins | QB | 141 |
| 0.06 | 9 | 11 | Jay Ajayi | RB | 282 |
| 0.06 | 9 | 12 | Greg Olsen | TE | 165 |
| 0.06 | 10 | 1 | Indianapolis Colts | DST | 280 |
| 0.06 | 10 | 2 | Jacksonville Jaguars | DST | 135 |
| 0.06 | 10 | 3 | Harrison Butker | K | 154 |
| 0.05 | 10 | 4 | Josh Allen | QB | 162 |
| 0.05 | 10 | 5 | Tevin Coleman | RB | 59 |
| 0.05 | 10 | 6 | David Njoku | TE | 94 |
| 0.05 | 10 | 7 | Los Angeles Chargers | DST | 149 |
| 0.05 | 10 | 8 | Jason Myers | K | 243 |
| 0.05 | 10 | 9 | Wil Lutz | K | 169 |
| 0.04 | 10 | 10 | Dak Prescott | QB | 140 |
| 0.03 | 10 | 11 | Baker Mayfield | QB | 62 |
| 0.03 | 10 | 12 | Minnesota Vikings | DST | 125 |
| 0.02 | 11 | 1 | Jarvis Landry | WR | 67 |
| 0.02 | 11 | 2 | Alex Collins | RB | NA |
| 0.02 | 11 | 3 | Pittsburgh Steelers | DST | 199 |
| 0.00 | 11 | 4 | Philip Rivers | QB | 119 |
| 0.00 | 11 | 5 | Chris Godwin | WR | 50 |
| 0.00 | 11 | 6 | Matt Breida | RB | 123 |
| 0.00 | 11 | 7 | Chris Manhertz | TE | NA |
| 0.00 | 11 | 8 | Jordan Reed | TE | 159 |
| 0.00 | 11 | 9 | Vance McDonald | TE | 96 |
| -0.01 | 11 | 10 | Geronimo Allison | WR | 111 |
| -0.01 | 11 | 11 | Mike Williams | WR | 60 |
| -0.01 | 11 | 12 | Michael Roberts | TE | NA |
| -0.02 | 12 | 1 | Leonte Carroo | WR | NA |
| -0.02 | 12 | 2 | Kenyan Drake | RB | 56 |
| -0.04 | 12 | 3 | Sammy Watkins | WR | 85 |
| -0.04 | 12 | 4 | Stephen Gostkowski | K | 166 |
| -0.05 | 12 | 5 | Curtis Samuel | WR | 105 |
| -0.06 | 12 | 6 | Tom Brady | QB | 116 |
| -0.06 | 12 | 7 | Kyle Rudolph | TE | 157 |
| -0.08 | 12 | 8 | Chris Herndon IV | TE | 201 |
| -0.08 | 12 | 9 | Cleveland Browns | DST | 187 |
| -0.08 | 12 | 10 | Brett Maher | K | 229 |
| -0.09 | 12 | 11 | Josh Gordon | WR | 174 |
| -0.09 | 12 | 12 | Austin Ekeler | RB | 79 |
| -0.09 | 13 | 1 | Robbie Gould | K | 194 |
| -0.10 | 13 | 2 | Tre’Quan Smith | WR | 175 |
| -0.10 | 13 | 3 | New York Jets | DST | 327 |
| -0.10 | 13 | 4 | Adam Vinatieri | K | 216 |
| -0.11 | 13 | 5 | Delanie Walker | TE | 139 |
| -0.12 | 13 | 6 | Buffalo Bills | DST | 167 |
| -0.12 | 13 | 7 | Mike Nugent | K | NA |
| -0.13 | 13 | 8 | Blake Jarwin | TE | NA |
| -0.13 | 13 | 9 | Dustin Hopkins | K | NA |
| -0.14 | 13 | 10 | Isaiah Crowell | RB | NA |
| -0.14 | 13 | 11 | Jeremy Sprinkle | TE | NA |
| -0.15 | 13 | 12 | Robby Anderson | WR | 74 |
| -0.15 | 14 | 1 | Dallas Cowboys | DST | 192 |
| -0.15 | 14 | 2 | Matt Prater | K | 219 |
| -0.16 | 14 | 3 | Demetrius Harris | TE | NA |
| -0.17 | 14 | 4 | Jonnu Smith | TE | NA |
| -0.17 | 14 | 5 | Matt Bryant | K | NA |
| -0.18 | 14 | 6 | Mark Andrews | TE | 152 |
| -0.19 | 14 | 7 | Doug Baldwin | WR | NA |
| -0.19 | 14 | 8 | Dallas Goedert | TE | 202 |
| -0.20 | 14 | 9 | Allen Robinson | WR | 77 |
| -0.20 | 14 | 10 | Elijah McGuire | RB | 249 |
| -0.21 | 14 | 11 | Jimmy Graham | TE | 156 |
| -0.22 | 14 | 12 | Ted Ginn Jr. | WR | NA |
| -0.23 | 15 | 1 | Cameron Brate | TE | 240 |
| -0.23 | 15 | 2 | Vernon Davis | TE | NA |
| -0.23 | 15 | 3 | Arizona Cardinals | DST | 274 |
| -0.23 | 15 | 4 | Sebastian Janikowski | K | NA |
| -0.24 | 15 | 5 | Ryan Succop | K | NA |
| -0.25 | 15 | 6 | Corey Davis | WR | 92 |
| -0.25 | 15 | 7 | Mohamed Sanu | WR | 188 |
| -0.25 | 15 | 8 | Ian Thomas | TE | 266 |
| -0.26 | 15 | 9 | Michael Badgley | K | 214 |
| -0.27 | 15 | 10 | Zay Jones | WR | 196 |
| -0.27 | 15 | 11 | D’Onta Foreman | RB | 155 |
| -0.27 | 15 | 12 | T.J. Yeldon | RB | 210 |
| -0.27 | 16 | 1 | Erik Swoope | TE | NA |
| -0.27 | 16 | 2 | Dan Bailey | K | NA |
| -0.28 | 16 | 3 | Larry Fitzgerald | WR | 101 |
| -0.28 | 16 | 4 | Sterling Shepard | WR | 98 |
| -0.29 | 16 | 5 | Golden Tate | WR | 128 |
| -0.30 | 16 | 6 | Philadelphia Eagles | DST | 198 |
| -0.30 | 16 | 7 | Jake Elliott | K | 223 |
| -0.31 | 16 | 8 | Josh Reynolds | WR | NA |
| -0.31 | 16 | 9 | Detroit Lions | DST | 337 |
| -0.32 | 16 | 10 | Kenneth Dixon | RB | NA |
| -0.32 | 16 | 11 | Mo Alie-Cox | TE | NA |
| -0.32 | 16 | 12 | Cairo Santos | K | NA |
| -0.33 | 17 | 1 | Nick Mullens | QB | NA |
| -0.33 | 17 | 2 | Adam Humphries | WR | 212 |
| -0.33 | 17 | 3 | Ed Dickson | TE | NA |
| -0.33 | 17 | 4 | Lee Smith | TE | NA |
| -0.33 | 17 | 5 | Cody Parkey | K | NA |
| -0.34 | 17 | 6 | Andy Dalton | QB | NA |
| -0.34 | 17 | 7 | Dede Westbrook | WR | 102 |
| -0.34 | 17 | 8 | Demaryius Thomas | WR | 261 |
| -0.34 | 17 | 9 | Peyton Barber | RB | 108 |
| -0.34 | 17 | 10 | C.J. Uzomah | TE | NA |
| -0.34 | 17 | 11 | Jesse James | TE | NA |
| -0.34 | 17 | 12 | Jordan Thomas | TE | NA |
| -0.34 | 18 | 1 | Carolina Panthers | DST | NA |
| -0.36 | 18 | 2 | David Moore | WR | NA |
| -0.36 | 18 | 3 | Dontrelle Inman | WR | NA |
| -0.36 | 18 | 4 | Cincinnati Bengals | DST | NA |
| -0.37 | 18 | 5 | Benjamin Watson | TE | 361 |
| -0.37 | 18 | 6 | Jeff Heuerman | TE | NA |
| -0.38 | 18 | 7 | John Brown | WR | 164 |
| -0.39 | 18 | 8 | Nelson Agholor | WR | 233 |
| -0.39 | 18 | 9 | Gus Edwards | RB | 217 |
| -0.40 | 18 | 10 | Christian Kirk | WR | 80 |
| -0.40 | 18 | 11 | D.J. Moore | WR | 66 |
| -0.40 | 18 | 12 | Damien Williams | RB | 25 |
| -0.40 | 19 | 1 | Green Bay Packers | DST | 221 |
| -0.40 | 19 | 2 | Daniel Carlson | K | NA |
| -0.41 | 19 | 3 | Anthony Miller | WR | 134 |
| -0.41 | 19 | 4 | Jordy Nelson | WR | NA |
| -0.41 | 19 | 5 | Trey Quinn | WR | NA |
| -0.41 | 19 | 6 | Gerald Everett | TE | NA |
| -0.42 | 19 | 7 | Antonio Gates | TE | NA |
| -0.42 | 19 | 8 | Geoff Swaim | TE | NA |
| -0.43 | 19 | 9 | Austin Seferian-Jenkins | TE | NA |
| -0.43 | 19 | 10 | Darren Fells | TE | NA |
| -0.43 | 19 | 11 | Atlanta Falcons | DST | 332 |
| -0.43 | 19 | 12 | New York Giants | DST | NA |
| -0.43 | 20 | 1 | Matthew McCrane | K | NA |
| -0.44 | 20 | 2 | Antonio Callaway | WR | 208 |
| -0.44 | 20 | 3 | Devin Funchess | WR | 146 |
| -0.44 | 20 | 4 | Nick O’Leary | TE | NA |
| -0.44 | 20 | 5 | Stephen Hauschka | K | NA |
| -0.45 | 20 | 6 | Kenny Stills | WR | 180 |
| -0.46 | 20 | 7 | A.J. Derby | TE | NA |
| -0.46 | 20 | 8 | Graham Gano | K | NA |
| -0.46 | 20 | 9 | Josh Lambo | K | NA |
| -0.46 | 20 | 10 | Sam Ficken | K | NA |
| -0.47 | 20 | 11 | Marquise Goodwin | WR | 193 |
| -0.47 | 20 | 12 | Tyrell Williams | WR | 127 |
| -0.47 | 21 | 1 | Darren Sproles | RB | NA |
| -0.47 | 21 | 2 | Anthony Firkser | TE | NA |
| -0.47 | 21 | 3 | Chandler Catanzaro | K | 234 |
| -0.48 | 21 | 4 | Brandon LaFell | WR | NA |
| -0.49 | 21 | 5 | Robert Tonyan | TE | NA |
| -0.50 | 21 | 6 | Tyler Higbee | TE | NA |
| -0.51 | 21 | 7 | Rashard Higgins | WR | NA |
| -0.51 | 21 | 8 | Randy Bullock | K | NA |
| -0.52 | 21 | 9 | Terrelle Pryor | WR | NA |
| -0.52 | 21 | 10 | Joshua Perkins | TE | NA |
| -0.53 | 21 | 11 | Brandon McManus | K | NA |
| -0.54 | 21 | 12 | Levine Toilolo | TE | NA |
| -0.55 | 22 | 1 | Donte Moncrief | WR | 153 |
| -0.55 | 22 | 2 | Isaiah McKenzie | WR | NA |
| -0.55 | 22 | 3 | Adam Shaheen | TE | NA |
| -0.55 | 22 | 4 | Nick Vannett | TE | NA |
| -0.55 | 22 | 5 | Rhett Ellison | TE | NA |
| -0.56 | 22 | 6 | Derrick Willies | WR | NA |
| -0.56 | 22 | 7 | Bilal Powell | RB | NA |
| -0.56 | 22 | 8 | Zach Zenner | RB | NA |
| -0.57 | 22 | 9 | Eli Manning | QB | NA |
| -0.57 | 22 | 10 | Jamison Crowder | WR | 197 |
| -0.57 | 22 | 11 | Caleb Sturgis | K | NA |
| -0.57 | 22 | 12 | Chris Boswell | K | NA |
| -0.58 | 23 | 1 | Joe Flacco | QB | NA |
| -0.58 | 23 | 2 | Aldrick Robinson | WR | NA |
| -0.58 | 23 | 3 | Chris Hogan | WR | NA |
| -0.59 | 23 | 4 | Courtland Sutton | WR | 99 |
| -0.59 | 23 | 5 | C.J. Anderson | RB | 178 |
| -0.59 | 23 | 6 | Jaylen Samuels | RB | 143 |
| -0.59 | 23 | 7 | Wendell Smallwood | RB | NA |
| -0.60 | 23 | 8 | Keke Coutee | WR | 124 |
| -0.61 | 23 | 9 | Scott Simonson | TE | NA |
| -0.62 | 23 | 10 | Cameron Meredith | WR | NA |
| -0.62 | 23 | 11 | Taylor Gabriel | WR | NA |
| -0.62 | 23 | 12 | Latavius Murray | RB | 89 |
| -0.62 | 24 | 1 | Ricky Seals-Jones | TE | NA |
| -0.63 | 24 | 2 | Mike Davis | RB | NA |
| -0.63 | 24 | 3 | Luke Stocker | TE | NA |
| -0.63 | 24 | 4 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | DST | NA |
| -0.64 | 24 | 5 | Hayden Hurst | TE | NA |
| -0.64 | 24 | 6 | Jake Butt | TE | NA |
| -0.64 | 24 | 7 | Matt LaCosse | TE | NA |
| -0.64 | 24 | 8 | Jason Sanders | K | NA |
| -0.65 | 24 | 9 | Randall Cobb | WR | 204 |
| -0.65 | 24 | 10 | Ryan Griffin | TE | NA |
| -0.66 | 24 | 11 | Paul Richardson | WR | 273 |
| -0.66 | 24 | 12 | Doug Martin | RB | NA |
| -0.66 | 25 | 1 | Josh Hill | TE | NA |
| -0.66 | 25 | 2 | Virgil Green | TE | NA |
| -0.67 | 25 | 3 | Torrey Smith | WR | NA |
| -0.67 | 25 | 4 | Greg Joseph | K | NA |
| -0.67 | 25 | 5 | Zane Gonzalez | K | NA |
| -0.68 | 25 | 6 | LeSean McCoy | RB | 103 |
| -0.69 | 25 | 7 | Jacob Hollister | TE | NA |
| -0.69 | 25 | 8 | Matt Lengel | TE | NA |
| -0.71 | 25 | 9 | Cole Beasley | WR | NA |
| -0.71 | 25 | 10 | John Ross | WR | 271 |
| -0.72 | 25 | 11 | Carlos Hyde | RB | 117 |
| -0.72 | 25 | 12 | Jason Croom | TE | NA |
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Jeff Henderson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Jeff, follow him @statholesports.