DraftKings MLB Lineup Advice: Friday (7/26)

Tonight’s lineup advice for DraftKings features a pitcher who could be perhaps one of the chalkiest on a slate of this size all season. He’s joined by a pair of right-handed hurlers in favorable matchups with high ceilings. The hitters include a future Hall of Famer whose power has been down, but his work against lefties has been vintage. He’s an extremely cheap option who, paired with the chalk pitcher I alluded to, will free up gobs of salary to be spent on the many studs included below. This mystery bargain batter is joined by a slugging sophomore as another one-off suggestion. The hitters are rounded out by a pair of teammate pairings, coincidentally, opposing one another in a homer-friendly venue.

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Pitchers

Zack Greinke (ARI): $10,500 at Marlins
For full disclosure, Greinke’s actually my least favorite — cost considered — option of the three pitchers highlighted. Having said that, he’s still a strong play and likely to end up on approximately 40% of my GPP rosters tonight. The veteran righty was annihilated in his first start of the year, but the Dodgers have done that to many a pitcher this season. If you toss that start out and look at qualified pitchers since April 1, Greinke ranks fifth in ERA (2.54), 17th in SIERA (3.77), and second in WHIP (0.91), according to FanGraphs. His 24.1% K% during that time frame is more good than great, but his matchup is nothing short of drool-inducing. The Marlins rank 29th in wRC+ (75) against righties this season and tied for 27th in wRC+ (81) at home this year. Speaking of the location for tonight’s game, Marlins Park has the lowest park factor for runs at 0.826. Greinke and the Diamondbacks are -176 favorites, per Pinnacle, and the Marlins have a team over/under total of only 3.5 runs that’s tied with a handful of others for the lowest on the slate.

 

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