We have a generous 12-game MLB slate on Monday night. The pricing structure on the pitching side is fairly flat with the highest salary coming in at $10,500 and numerous strong options in the $8-9k range. This sets up nicely to plug in two reasonably priced pitchers in this range and still have plenty of salary left over to roster a high-priced stud hitter or two to attack favorable matchups.
As always, be sure to pay close attention to the lineups when they are released and monitor the weather leading up to game time. For reference throughout the season, be sure to bookmark our overview of MLB Park Factors and how to Use Weather to Your Advantage in MLB DFS.
Create Optimal DraftKings lineups using our DFS Lineup Optimizer tool
Pitchers
Kenta Maeda (LAD): $9,000 vs. SF
Maeda is pitching at home against the Giants as huge Vegas favorite. He has been sensational at home this season with a 1.69 ERA while allowing just a .214 wOBA with a 29.7% strikeout rate in five starts. The Giants have struggled to hit right-handed pitching all season including the last 30 days where they have posted a .287 wOBA (29th) and a 77 wRC+ (28th). Maeda tossed five shutout innings in a previous start against the Giants earlier this season in San Francisco.
We have a generous 12-game MLB slate on Monday night. The pricing structure on the pitching side is fairly flat with the highest salary coming in at $10,500 and numerous strong options in the $8-9k range. This sets up nicely to plug in two reasonably priced pitchers in this range and still have plenty of salary left over to roster a high-priced stud hitter or two to attack favorable matchups.
As always, be sure to pay close attention to the lineups when they are released and monitor the weather leading up to game time. For reference throughout the season, be sure to bookmark our overview of MLB Park Factors and how to Use Weather to Your Advantage in MLB DFS.
Create Optimal DraftKings lineups using our DFS Lineup Optimizer tool
Pitchers
Kenta Maeda (LAD): $9,000 vs. SF
Maeda is pitching at home against the Giants as huge Vegas favorite. He has been sensational at home this season with a 1.69 ERA while allowing just a .214 wOBA with a 29.7% strikeout rate in five starts. The Giants have struggled to hit right-handed pitching all season including the last 30 days where they have posted a .287 wOBA (29th) and a 77 wRC+ (28th). Maeda tossed five shutout innings in a previous start against the Giants earlier this season in San Francisco.
Patrick Corbin (WAS): $8,200 vs. PHI
Another pitcher that has thrown very well at home this season is Corbin for the Nationals. In his first year pitching in the nation’s capital, Corbin has posted a 2.32 ERA while allowing a mere .225 wOBA with a 28.1% strikeout rate in six home starts. He has been roughed up a little bit in his last three outings, but all of those games have been on the road. He will look to get back on track with some home-cookin’ on Monday night when he faces the Phillies. Corbin carries a little bit of risk but also has the biggest upside of the pitchers in his price range.
Other Notables
Hitters
Mike Trout (OF – LAA): $5,600 @ TOR
Trout seems like a guy you will want to spend up to get on Monday in a very favorable matchup against righty Edwin Jackson in Toronto. Jackson has surrendered a massive .564 wOBA to righties this season with a 5.84 HR/9 rate. Trout has posted a .446 wOBA and .349 ISO against righties this year and has smacked a pair of long balls off Jackson in just six career at-bats. Bombs away!
Juan Soto (OF – WAS): $4,500 vs. PHI
Soto is another guy who has dominated his counterpart during his career despite limited at-bats. Soto is 3-for-6 with a double and two homers off righty Jake Arrieta in his career. However, that is not the only thing Soto has going for him on Monday night. He has a .348 average with a homer over his last six games and has posted a .391 wOBA and .217 ISO at home against righties this season. Meanwhile, Arrieta has allowed a .438 wOBA and 3.79 HR/9 to lefties on the road this year.
Josh Donaldson (3B – ATL): $4,100 vs. NYM
Donaldson has found his groove at the plate over the last three games with a homer in each outing while knocking out a total of seven hits. Donaldson has mashed righties at home this season with a .450 wOBA and .337 ISO and is 4-for-7 with a double off righty Zach Wheeler in his career. Wheeler has served up a pair of homers in each of his last three starts and has allowed 1.88 HR/9 to righties on the road this year.
Khris Davis (OF – OAK): $4,000 vs. BAL
Davis is still underpriced for a hitter with his power and upside in a good matchup at home against righty Andrew Cashner. Cashner has allowed a .374 wOBA and 2.45 HR/9 to right-handed hitters this season. Davis homered in his last game and has socked three long balls over his last seven games. Davis is batting .300 with a homer off Cashner in 20 career at-bats.
Jonathan Villar (2B/SS – BAL): $3,800 @ OAK
There is a nice group of three or four value options to mix and match in the middle infield slots on Monday night. Villar is one of those options for the Orioles against Mike Fiers and the A’s. Villar has a .357 wOBA on the road against righties this season and has taken Fiers deep in his three career at-bats. Also, give consideration to guys like Cavan Biggio, Didi Gregorius, and even Jason Kipnis if you want to go really cheap.
Other Notables
- Freddie Freeman (1B – ATL): $5,200 vs. NYM
- Matt Olson (1B – OAK): $4,800 vs. BAL
- Joc Pederson (OF – LAD): $ 4,600 vs. SF
- Didi Gregorius (SS – NYY): $4,100 vs. TB
- Eugenio Suarez (3B – CIN): $4,100 vs. HOU
- Adam Eaton (OF – WAS): $4,100 vs. PHI
- Cavan Biggio (2B/OF – TOR): $3,800 vs. LAA
- Rowdy Tellez (1B – TOR): $3,400 vs. LAA
- Jonathan Lucroy (C – LAA): $3,200 @ TOR
- Jason Kipnis (2B – CLE): $2,700 @ TEX
- Martin Maldonado (C – KC): $2,100 @ SEA
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Brad Richter is a featured writer and correspondent at FantasyPros and a contributor at DailyOverlay. For more from Brad, you can view his archive or follow him @RotoPilot.