With both the public and the industry still trying to properly evaluate where everyone should go after the NFL Draft and free agency, now is the best time to find huge steals in startup dynasty drafts. Industry pundits across the board undervalued Marlon Mack as the RB32 in dynasty formats heading into the 2018 season. His inconsistency as a rookie in 2017 along with a hamstring injury that forced him to miss four of the first five games last year were big knocks against him. Regardless, many still failed to realize the impact Andrew Luck’s return from injury would have on that offense, on top of the fact that he’d be the likely starter with no other potential three-down backs on the roster. Savvy and patient fantasy owners took advantage of this and rode him to an RB21 finish. He’s now sitting pretty as the unquestioned top dog in a high-scoring offense behind arguably the NFL’s best offensive line…and he’s just 23 years old.
It pays to scour through the rankings and identify those young players with the potential to produce a solid return on investment if one or two things break right for them, especially in dynasty leagues. It’s not easy to do, though, since there are so many different factors fantasy owners need to look out for. To help, we’ve brought in a slew of featured experts who are happy to highlight their top undervalued dynasty options.
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Q1. Which quarterback is currently the most undervalued in our latest dynasty rankings?
Kyler Murray (ARI)
Expert Consensus Rank: QB13
“The last five quarterbacks that Kliff Kingsbury has chosen and groomed were: Case Keenum (NCAA all-time leading passer, solid NFL career), Johnny Manziel (Heisman Trophy winner, flamed out for off the field reasons), Baker Mayfield (Heisman Trophy winner, currently second in these rankings), Patrick Mahomes (NFL MVP and currently first in these rankings) and Alan Bowman (leading the country in passing until an injury in his true freshman season). Now, he gets Murray, the player he wanted more than any of these others coming out of high school. This is a match made in heaven with a ceiling even higher than Mahomes going forward.”
– Michael Tomlin (SoCalledFanEx)
“The easy answer here is Kyler Murray. He’s just 21 years old, and though his sample size is small, he has shown the capability to make all the necessary throws. Even if he struggles, his running ability alone will present fantasy owners with a solid floor on a weekly basis. It also doesn’t hurt that the Arizona Cardinals have surrounded him with young, talented wide receivers to grow and develop chemistry with for the long haul.”
– Rich Piazza (Fantasy Shed)
Ben Roethlisberger (PIT)
Expert Consensus Rank: QB22
“I certainly understand the urge to invest in young players in dynasty leagues, but Big Ben is simply too low at QB22. He was the third-most valuable QB just last season and has finished among the top-10 QBs in fantasy points per game every year since 2014. Yes, he’ll miss Antonio Brown, but Roethlisberger should still have plenty to work with in the passing game between JuJu Smith-Schuster, James Connor, James Washington, Donte Moncrief, Diontae Johnson, and Vance McDonald. At 37 years old, Roethlisberger is signed for three more years in Pittsburgh, and it wouldn’t be shocking if he was a top-10 fantasy QB for all three of them. If you’re in win-now mode in a superflex league, he’s the ideal second QB. If you’re in a single-QB format, he’s a great starter to have while you groom his eventual successor.”
– Andrew Seifter (FantasyPros)
Aaron Rodgers (GB)
Expert Consensus Rank: QB5
“I had to do a double-take when I saw him sixth among quarterbacks, as it makes zero sense. He threw just 25 touchdowns in 2018 and still finished as the No. 6 quarterback. Let me emphasize that it was a down year for Rodgers. In the eight other seasons, he’s played at least 10 games, Rodgers has never finished worse than the No. 2 quarterback. He just turned 35, and if you look around, quarterbacks are playing into their 40s. Stop trying to predict the future and take the guy who’s essentially a lock to finish top-two at his position.”
– Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros)
Josh Allen (BUF)
Expert Consensus Rank: QB21
“QB21 seems too low for him in dynasty. No matter how many QBs you are required to start, he makes either a great high-upside QB to stash on your bench or use as your QB2. Allen was the QB1 in all of fantasy over the final six weeks last year. Granted it was mostly due to his insane rushing stats, which are surely going to come back down to Earth. Either way, he did showcase his ability to effectively pull the ball down and run if needed. What he loses in rushing stats going forward he’s likely to gain through the air as the Bills brought in John Brown and Cole Beasley to help give him some more WRs to throw to. 2018 will probably be the worst supporting cast he will have had to play with.”
– Sean Koerner (The Action Network)
Q2. Which running back is currently the most undervalued in our latest dynasty rankings?
Chris Carson (SEA)
Expert Consensus Rank: RB32
“Look, I’m all for heavily factoring in draft capital when evaluating rookies in dynasty leagues, but it’s a different story altogether when we have a full season’s worth of usage to go by. The Seahawks may have spent a first-round pick on Rashaad Penny, but Carson was clearly the RB they trusted to handle the bulk of the carries last season and he didn’t disappoint. Carson would have run away with this job in 2017 if he hadn’t broken his leg, but it just ended up happening one year later — and there’s no reason to expect him to suddenly lose the lead role in 2019 or beyond. At just 24 years old and coming off a season where he was the 15th-most valuable RB in half-PPR leagues, Carson is criminally undervalued at RB32.”
– Andrew Seifter (FantasyPros)
Elijah McGuire (NYJ)
Expert Consensus Rank: RB58
“He’s currently the RB58 despite backing up Le’Veon Bell, who has missed 35% of available games in his six-year career due to injuries, suspension, and a holdout. We also now have new HC Adam Gase complaining about the huge contract ex-GM Mike Maccagnan gave Bell. In the event Bell ever misses time or somehow gets traded, I think McGuire would become a potential RB2. He started the final four games last season and was the RB10 during that stretch. There’s too much hidden value being drafted here with limited upside RBs like Peyton Barber, Giovani Bernard, Jalen Richard types in that range.”
– Sean Koerner (The Action Network)
Devin Singletary (BUF)
Expert Consensus Rank: RB51
“The Bills’ rookie is currently ranked behind his Buffalo backfield counterpart LeSean McCoy — the same LeSean McCoy who will be 31 by training camp with nearly 3,000 career touches and has not averaged more than four yards per carry in three years. The Buffalo running back will be fantasy relevant, and with the age beside him (I’m not worried about T.J. Yeldon), it will be Singletary’s job sooner than later.”
– Michael Tomlin (SoCalledFanEx)
Miles Sanders (PHI)
Expert Consensus Rank: RB26
“It is currently a crowded backfield in Philadelphia, but Sanders has the skillset to be a three-down back, and it shouldn’t be too long before he’s used that way. Doug Pederson hasn’t employed a “featured back” backfield during his tenure in Philly, but that could have more to do with not having the right personnel to do so. The Eagles used a second-round pick on Sanders (53rd overall), which is the earliest they have drafted a running back since LeSean McCoy. Ironically, that was also with the 53rd overall selection. It may not happen in year one, but Sanders could be the new “McCoy” in Philadelphia.”
– Rich Piazza (Fantasy Shed)
Ronald Jones (TB)
Expert Consensus Rank: RB38
“Why are we willing to say that someone like David Johnson will bounce back after a disastrous 2018 season? Because we’ve seen it before, right? While we haven’t seen it with Jones on the NFL level, he played in an offense that every running back who’s played in has struggled. Even going back to Devonta Freeman in his rookie year with Dirk Koetter, he struggled and was considered one of the least efficient running backs in football. Then Koetter left and Freeman was the fantasy MVP the following season. It’s possible that Jones posts top-15 numbers under Bruce Arians, though his current ADP doesn’t suggest that.”
– Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros)
Q3. Which wide receiver is currently the most undervalued in our latest dynasty rankings?
Mecole Hardman (KC)
Expert Consensus Rank: WR57
“While fellow rookie wideouts N’Keal Harry, A.J. Brown, D.K. Metcalf, Parris Campbell, Marquise Brown, and Deebo Samuel all find themselves ranked among the top-50 dynasty WRs, Hardman is way down at number 56, which is tough to understand considering the golden opportunity in front of him with Tyreek Hill uncertain to ever play another snap in Kansas City. The Chiefs are arguably the single-most potent offense in the NFL, with a young QB in Patrick Mahomes who should deliver huge fantasy stats for years to come. Sammy Watkins can never stay healthy for long and, outside of tight end Travis Kelce, there is little other serious competition for Hardman among the Chiefs’ pass-catching corps. Hardman is a bit raw, but the fact the Chiefs traded up in the draft for him is a promising sign that they have big plans for the rookie from Georgia.”
– Andrew Seifter (FantasyPros)
Josh Reynolds (LAR)
Expert Consensus Rank: WR78
“He’s currently WR78 and is another player we are getting dirt cheap despite having massive built-in upside we can get even if their on-field play is exactly what most expect. I have him stashed in a deeper league to have in the event either Brandin Cooks, Robert Woods, or Cooper Kupp ever miss time. He was the WR32 in the final six games last year, filling in for the injured Cooper Kupp. Having a WR to stash who will be playing 90% of the snaps in one of the league’s top passing offenses in games he’s starting, along with the fact that you know to keep on the bench in all other games, is quite valuable in itself.”
– Sean Koerner (The Action Network)
Mike Williams (LAC)
Expert Consensus Rank: WR27
“This could’ve gone to fellow Chargers wide receiver Travis Benjamin, who is undervalued at WR109, but I’m going with the receiver who presents top-10 upside at his position. Even with seeing just 66 targets in 2018, Williams finished as the No. 20 receiver, yet he’s being drafted after that despite Tyrell Williams leaving via free agency? His touchdown rate of one every 6.6 targets won’t keep up, but it won’t have to considering his influx in targets. It’s rare to find a receiver with his upside this cheap (currently the WR27 in price).”
– Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros)
Keke Coutee (HOU)
Expert Consensus Rank: WR45
“I think this is just another mispriced pair of teammates with Coutee and Will Fuller. In the three games that Coutee and Fuller played together, Coutee had 20 receptions on 27 targets for 193 yards, while Fuller had eight catches on 11 targets for just 97 yards. Deshaun Watson seems to love Coutee as his secondary option and he ended the season magnificently with an 11-catch, 110-yard playoff outing including a score. Fuller ended the year with a torn ACL.”
– Michael Tomlin (SoCalledFanEx)
Tyler Lockett (SEA)
Expert Consensus Rank: WR33
“Currently having a back-end WR3 ranking is a long ways away from his WR1 finish in standard leagues just a year ago. Sure, it is expected that we can see a decline in the touchdown department, but his overall fantasy production should level off somewhere in the middle. With Doug Baldwin and his 15% target share no longer there, Lockett is going to be Russell Wilson’s most trusted receiver, and he’s still just 26 years old.”
– Rich Piazza (Fantasy Shed)
Thank you to the experts for giving us their thoughts on their favorite undervalued dynasty players. Be sure to give them a follow on Twitter and subscribe to our podcast below for advice all year round.
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