Trading in Week 11 is an entirely different animal than trading during almost any other time in the season. Your trading partners are limited because a third of your league is nearly or totally out of playoff contention. Bye weeks are almost done. What you’re thinking about in a trade now is likely entirely different than what you wanted just a few weeks ago.
As you’ll see, there are fewer position players (mostly wide receivers and running backs) on the trade value chart than in past weeks. At this stage, depth is much less important than it has been in the past. If a player is on this chart, then he’s got at least some shot of providing value to a championship-caliber team if circumstances break a certain way. In addition, the value of non-must-start players is simply less than in the past. At this point, it’s all about getting you to, and succeeding in, the playoffs.
Man, if you guys don’t know the deal by now, I don’t know what to tell you. But, just in case you’re checking this out for the first time, these values are based on 12-team, 0.5 PPR leagues. Any difference in league size or format requires an adjustment.
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Quarterback
Player | Current Value | Previous Value | +/- |
Patrick Mahomes | 24 | 24 | – |
Cam Newton | 21 | 21 | – |
Drew Brees | 21 | 21 | – |
Aaron Rodgers | 20 | 20 | – |
Matt Ryan | 15 | 15 | – |
Andrew Luck | 15 | 15 | – |
Ben Roethlisberger | 15 | 11 | +4 |
Jared Goff | 15 | 15 | – |
Russell Wilson | 12 | 11 | +1 |
Carson Wentz | 11 | 12 | -1 |
Mitch Trubisky | 11 | 9 | +2 |
Deshaun Watson | 11 | 11 | – |
Philip Rivers | 11 | 11 | – |
Tom Brady | 9 | 13 | -4 |
Kirk Cousins | 9 | 9 | – |
To be clear, there are quarterbacks not on this list who could help you win a championship, of course. You can stream your way there, as I’ve said often, meaning unless you’re in a league where most backup quarterbacks are owned, don’t bother trading for one. But, to the extent you do, I’d value accordingly.
One note: On Sunday night’s FantasyPros Football Podcast, Mike Tagliere and I discussed Tom Brady’s sinking ranking going forward, and he said he’d likely rank him 14th for the rest of the season. I momentarily balked, but said I couldn’t really see a problem with it. And, after updating my rankings, Tags, as usual, had it right — Brady has the 14th-highest value for a quarterback on the trade chart.
Running Backs
There are a few big-time risers on the trade chart among the top-tier running backs. I’ve been banging the drum for most of the season that I was not overly concerned about the impact of Le’Veon Bell’s impending return on James Conner’s value. But now that Bell is officially out of the way, Conner vaults up the chart into elite RB status.
Christian McCaffrey has received fewer than 15 carries in four of his last five games. He also has zero single-digit fantasy scores in 0.5 PPR formats this year. As we’ve seen recently, not only does he have an excellent floor, but he also has a tremendous ceiling. To the extent you were shying away even the slightest bit, Thursday’s effort should allay any fears.
David Johnson still isn’t quite back to peak David Johnson-fantasy level, but he’s not too far off. Since Byron Leftwich took over as the offensive coordinator, he’s gone back to being the focal point of the offense, with 48 touches, including 11 receptions, in two games. With more routes run and an effort by the coaching staff to get him into open space rather than plowing him between the tackles, Johnson should continue to have success for the rest of the season.
Aaron Jones is officially unleashed. Finally, Mike McCarthy learned what every decent fantasy player has known forever — Jones is the best running back in Green Bay. Jones played on 42 snaps on Sunday compared to Jamaal Williams’s 14 and turned them into 172 yards and a score. Williams is probably still a better pass-blocker and so he may eat into Jones’s work a bit whenever the Packers face a severe negative game-script, but that shouldn’t happen often, if ever, with Aaron Rodgers at the helm. Buy with confidence.
As for Leonard Fournette, although he didn’t run particularly well on Sunday, it’s clear that the Jaguars’ plan is to ride him as hard and as far as they can in an effort to control the ball. Carlos Hyde is just a handcuff — it’s Fournette’s job and 25 touches should be the norm. At the same time, however, with center Brandon Linder missing the rest of the season with a knee injury, Fournette will still require touchdowns most weeks to be an excellent fantasy option. In other words, he gains plenty of value after showing that he is healthy, but does not quite return to pre-season status.
Fallers include James White (with Sony Michel back and a schedule that suggests that the Patriots won’t have many negative game-scripts, his outlook is a little less certain than before), Marlon Mack (rough schedule still to come), and Adrian Peterson (do you want to play offensive line for the Redskins? They have some openings).
Wide Receivers
There’s much less change in the wide receiver department. Both Rams receivers take minor jumps with the likely increase in targets with Cooper Kupp done for the year. Kenny Golladay is an absolute terror, and with Marvin Jones battling a knee injury, both receivers move accordingly. Allen Robinson looked healthy and fantastic, Corey Davis finally delivered, and Golden Tate barely played despite having two weeks for the Eagles staff to plan to get him involved. That’s about it.
Tight Ends
Player | Current Value | Previous Value | +/- |
Zach Ertz | 35 | 31 | +4 |
Travis Kelce | 35 | 35 | – |
George Kittle | 15 | 15 | – |
O.J. Howard | 8 | 8 | – |
Greg Olsen | 8 | 8 | – |
Trey Burton | 7 | 7 | – |
Rob Gronkowski | 7 | 7 | – |
Jack Doyle | 7 | 7 | – |
Eric Ebron | 5 | 3 | +2 |
Jimmy Graham | 3 | 5 | -2 |
Evan Engram | 3 | 3 | – |
Austin Hooper | 3 | 4 | -1 |
Nearly every fantasy analyst has addressed the issue, so let’s just deal with it head on — I’m sure you’re annoyed that you dropped/benched Eric Ebron before his preposterous game on Sunday. Yes, I, like most analysts, preferred and still prefer Jack Doyle going forward. I would rather rely on the tight end who played 48 of the 55 snaps for the Colts on Sunday than the one who played 21 of the 55 snaps for the Colts. If you want to trade for Ebron, you certainly can, and I hope it works out for you. I’d still prefer to trade for Doyle (or, better yet, don’t trade for a tight end other than Zach Ertz, Travis Kelce, or George Kittle).
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Dan Harris is a featured writer for FantasyPros. For more from Dan, check out his archive or follow him on Twitter @danharris80.