It doesn’t feel good to be right for the wrong reasons.
In last week’s column, I identified Eric Ebron as a tight end I ranked a few spots higher than the ECR. Despite the limited snap counts and targets, I saw enough red-zone potential to consider a fringe starter. I did not, however, foresee three touchdowns on four touches. And I certainly did not anticipate one of those stemming from the second rushing score of his career.
Technically, I was correct to rank him higher than everyone else. Yet I also placed the TE2 too low by 11 spots. After all, it would have been insane to envision a week-winning performance from someone granted three targets in 21 snaps. Don’t get fooled by the flashy outing. He’s still the same low-end starter who will eventually betray ecstatic investors with a painful dud or three.
At the opposite end of the spectrum, I can live with a sensible process not yielding the desired outcomes. My overvalued tight end, Austin Hooper, finished third behind Ebron and Zach Ertz behind an unexpected volume uptick. The regression gods gave Tyler Lockett another pass, and Matt Breida looked perfectly healthy while decimating the Giants on Monday night. One can only hope for the rationale producing anticipated results in Week 11.