We only have four games to work with this week, but it feels like seven or eight games because of the level of talent on these offenses. We’ve got a handful of stellar running back choices to work with and the ownership projections reflect that with five players at 25% owned. The other positions are more straightforward this week with some more clear-cut top plays.

Get our complete projected ownership report here

Quarterback

Highest Projected Player

• Tom Brady (NE): $29.9%

The price points appear to be spot on as ownership is expected to be spread out primarily across five players who should see 9% or higher ownership. brady leads the way with a dirt cheap Matt Ryan right behind him.

Running Back

Highest Projected Players

• Le’Veon Bell (PIT): 66.3%
• Alvin Kamara (NO): 40.3%

Bell will be the heavy chalk as he is a virtual lock for 25 to 35 carries. While it is against a stellar defense, their weak spot is at defending pass-catching backs. Behind him, DFS lineups will have plenty of exposure to both Saints running backs while Leonard Fournette is expected to join them with a tad over a 25% ownership rate.

Wide Receiver

Highest Projected Players

• Michael Thomas (NO): 49.3%
• Julio Jones (ATL): 40.2%
• Stefon Diggs (MIN): 36.5%

Although Xavier Rhodes will be shadowing Thomas, his price is so low that many will use him regardless. We expect lineups to be all over the place at the position with another seven wideouts at over 20% ownership and five more at 9% or higher.

Tight End

Highest Projected Players

• Rob Gronkowski (NE): 37.6%

Gronk is the clear-cut top play of the week, but because Delanie Walker is a full $2,100 cheaper, he should see over 30% ownership as well. Behind him, only Zach Ertz, Kyle Rudolph and Austin Hooper should be in even 1% of lineups as the position is quite thin this weekend.

Defense

Highest Projected Team

• Patriots Defense (NE): 33.2%

While Jacksonville cleaned up against Big Ben earlier this season, it is the Patriots who are heavy favorites and draw a turnover-prone quarterback so we anticipate them being in about one in every three lineups. Lineups will have plenty of exposure to the Jags as well with the Vikings behind them as the only other unit expected to be above 10% owned.

Create Optimal Draft Kings lineups using our DFS Lineup Optimizer tool

Thanks for reading. If you haven’t already, please check out the FantasyPros Football Podcast (below) that I co-host with Mike Tagliere. Good luck this season.

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