Another mini three-game slate of NBA action on Tuesday night forces me to take more of a GPP mentality to lineup construction which actually has me looking to fade Russell Westbrook. Bear with me here, there are a lot of good PG options to pivot to on the slate, and Westbrook has yet to even record a double-double, let alone a triple-double, against the Blazers in three meeting this season. Fading Westbrook carries some risk, of course, but it could be the right way to go in large GPPs.
You will notice that I reference some of my own custom stats in my NBA DFS articles that I use to help determine my favorite plays. I don’t use the common Defense versus Position (DvP) numbers that most use. Instead, I calculate blended percentages for each stat category (points, rebounds, assists, steals and blocks) that take into account team stats for the season and last five games, as well as a weighted average between similar positions. For example, my shooting guard DvP numbers are a blended between point guard (10%), shooting guard (70%) and small forward (20%) stats for each category.
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Point Guard
John Wall (WAS): $10,200 @ PHO
If we are going to fade Westbrook then there must be good options to pivot too and we have them on Tuesday night’s slate. First, we have Wall who has recorded double-doubles in 14 of his last 15 games and gets a very favorable matchup against the Suns who have been torched by opposing PG, allowing more points (+18.3%), rebounds (+6.7%) and steals (13.7%).
Damian Lillard (POR): $9,600 @ OKC
Lillard has been extremely consistent recently scoring at least 40 FanDuel points in each of his last five games. He has also been slightly more productive on the road this season, averaging 41 FanDuel points per game on the road, and will be involved in a close high-scoring game with the Thunder.
Others Options
- Russell Westbrook (OKC): $13,100 vs POR
- Yogi Ferrell (DAL): $5,100 vs LAL
Shooting Guard
Seth Curry (DAL): $6,200 vs LAL
Curry has exceeded 5x his current salary in five of his last six games. The key for Curry to smash his value hinges on his ability to provide peripheral stats such as steals which he should be able to exploit against the Lakers who have allowed an additional 14.8% steals per to opposing SG.
Devin Booker (PHO): $6,000 vs WAS
Booker’s fantasy production has been down recently mostly due to a decrease in shot attempts as he has only had 10 to 13 shots in each of his last five games. If the shot attempts rise so will his fantasy production. He could see more opportunities against the Wizards who have allowed a slight increase in points to opposing SG this season. If Victor Oladipo is active, he may be a good low-owned pivot at the same price.
Other Options
- Bradley Beal (WAS): $8,000 @ PHO
- Victor Oladipo (OKC): $6,000 vs POR
Small Forward
Harrison Barnes (DAL): $6,100 vs LAL
Barnes has been a steady producer for the Mavericks all season. He consistently scores at least 25 FanDuel points as he has done in each of his last six games. He has an opportunity to have a bigger fantasy day on Tuesday in a plus matchup against the Lakers who have given up increased production in every category to opposing SF this season.
Bojan Bogdanovic (WAS): $4,000 @ PHO
Bogdanovic has scored at least 19 FanDuel points in four of his last five games, including two games scoring over 27 FanDuel points. He should get free for plenty of open three-pointers against the Suns who have allowed the highest three-point percentage in the league this season. Bogdanovic provides nice salary relief for a player with a solid floor and some upside.
Other Options
- Otto Porter (WAS): $6,100 @ PHO
- Brandon Ingram (LAL): $3,700 @ DAL
Power Forward
Markieff Morris (WAS): $6,600 @ PHO
My recommendation of Morris takes a walk down Narrative Street as he faces his former team in Phoenix. The last time he faced the Suns in Phoenix last season he put up 21 points and nine rebounds on his way to 43.3 FanDuel points. Look for Morris to rise to the occasion again on Tuesday with another strong performance against his former team.
Enes Kanter (OKC): $5,800 vs POR
Kanter has begun to reassert his high fantasy production per minute for the Thunder since returning from injury. In his last game, while playing just 19 minutes, he was able to post a double-double on his way to 30 FanDuel points against the Mavericks. Now in a much easier matchup against the Blazers, Kanter should flourish with increased minutes in a close, high-scoring contest with the Blazers.
Other Options
- Al-Farouq Aminu (POR): $5,400 @OKC
- Marquess Chriss (PHO): $4,500 vs WAS
Center
Alan Williams (PHO): $5,500 vs WAS
Williams has become the chalk play at center over the last few games posting at least 33 FanDuel points in four of his last five games. While his salary has begun to rise, it is still not high enough for his current level of production, making him an excellent value play again on Tuesday. Williams will surely be highly-owne. If you are looking to be contrarian at the position then look to pivot to Nerlens Noel who has an excellent matchup against the Lakers.
Other Options
- Jusuf Nurkic (POR): $6,700 @ OKC
- Nerlens Noel (DAL): $6,100 vs LAL
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Brad Richter is a correspondent at FantasyPros and a contributor at DailyOverlay and GoingFor2. For more from Brad, you can view his archive or follow him @RotoPilot.
