Geoff Lambert discusses Saturday night’s NBA lineup advice on FanDuel.
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Point Guard
Damian Lillard (POR): $9,600 vs MIN
On a four-game slate like tonight, I try to get as many studs as I can, which means I will have to find some great value to get those studs in. Lillard is one of the studs I want on my roster tonight. He has five straight games with 40 or more FanDuel points, including two over 50, and has scored 30 or more NBA points in six of his last eight.
John Wall (WAS): $9,500 @ CLE
Wall had 39 FanDuel points in only 24 minutes against the Nets last night, and by playing only 24 minutes, he should be well rested for a huge game against the East-leading Cavs. The Cavs give up over 43 FanDuel points to opposing point guards, and with this game having huge playoff implications, Wall may play close to 40 minutes tonight.
Shooting Guard
Wesley Matthews (DAL): $4,500 vs TOR
Here is my first value risk of the night. I have good news and bad news for Matthews. The good news is he is averaging 30-plus minutes a game over his last three. The bad news is he is barely averaging over 20 FanDuel points in those minutes. I’m banking on those minutes actually accounting for some volume scoring tonight.
J.R. Smith (CLE): $3,600 vs WAS
Smith put in 31 minutes last night, so it doesn’t look like they are limiting him in any way. It remains to be seen if they will decide to rest him on a back to back or not, but assuming he plays, his upside at $3,600 is huge. Bradley Beal of the Wizards is an “okay” defender, but if Smith can find his shot from three, Beal won’t be able to contain him.
Small Forward
LeBron James (CLE): $10,900 vs WAS
James seems to like playing against the Wizards, as he averages 52.2 FanDuel points against them over the last two years, including a 67.9 explosion in early February of this year. Assuming the Cavs don’t rest James on the second night of a back to back, he should have his way with the Wizards…again.
Bojan Bogdanovic (WAS): $3,800 @ CLE
These are the type of games the Wizards had in mind when they traded for Bogdanovic. They need to be able to keep Bradley Beal and Otto Porter fresh in meaningful games like this, and Bogdanovic will be a valuable asset to do just that. He can play both positions in relief and his three-point range will open up the court for Wall to drive and kick. As long as his shot is falling, Bogdanovic should hit his value.
Power Forward
LaMarcus Aldridge (SA): $7,300 vs NY
Aldridge may no longer be a true stud after taking a lesser role with the Spurs, but he has put up stud-like numbers over his last two games. A matchup with the New York Knicks, a team giving up 44.82 FanDuel points per game on the year to PF, should allow Aldridge to put up good numbers again tonight.
Noah Vonleh (POR): $3,800 vs MIN
At $3,800, Vonleh only needs to hit 19 points to return five times value, and he has done just that, scoring 19 or more in five straight games. He has seen his minutes creep up to the 28-plus range over those five games as well, and if he hits that mark again should have no trouble getting over 19 tonight.
Center
Jusuf Nurkic (POR): $6,700 vs MIN
Nurkic has been everything the Blazers hoped he would be and more when they traded for him at the deadline this year. He can score, rebound, and is a good passer for a big man, as long as he can stay out of foul trouble while guarding Karl-Anthony Towns, Nurkic is easily the best value on the slate and is a borderline stud.
