Coby Fleener could regress back to where he has been all season
Geoff Lambert discusses players fade on DraftKings for Week 7 contests.
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I caught a lot of flack for my “Fade Ben Roethlisberger and Antonio Brown” mantra for Week 6 — can I say, “I told you so” now?
Truth be told, I didn’t expect him to be that bad! I know he got injured in the game, but he wasn’t playing that well even before the injury. Let’s hope my fades are as good this week as they were last week…
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Quarterback
Drew Brees @ KC $7,400
I documented last week how bad Ben Roethlisberger was on the road, well, Brees is nearly as bad. Over the last two years Brees has averaged 30 DrafKings points at home but only 16.5 on the road. Arrowhead stadium is a difficult place to play for anyone, but for an offense that relies heavily on the passing game, with a QB that struggles on the road — I want no part of the Saints offense this week.
Andrew Luck @ TEN $7,000
A lot of people see the Titans on the schedule and immediately assume they have a bad defense, but that is just not the case this year. They are allowing a mere 14.09 DraftKings points to opposing quarterbacks so far this year, and Luck has averaged 12 DraftKing points fewer on the road this year than at home. This “appealing” matchup just isn’t that appealing.
Running Back
Melvin Gordon @ ATL $6,400
If one was to look up the DvP (defense vs position) for the Atlanta Falcons against running backs, you would see they give up 26 DraftKings points per game this year — good for bottom six in this metric. However, if you were to break it down a little further, you would see they are actually pretty good against the run allowing only 74 yards per game — sixth best in the league so far. Where they struggle with running backs is in the passing game. They are allowing the most yards (70.5) and second-most receptions (8.67) to opposing running backs this year. The Chargers have passing-down back Dexter McCluster that gets more targets in the passing game than does Gordon, which limits Gordon’s value and why I’m fading him this week.
Wide Receiver
Brandin Cooks @ KC $7,500
As Brees goes, so goes Cooks. I already pointed out Brees isn’t very good on the road — Cooks is even worse. Cooks over the last two seasons has averaged 20.6 DraftKings points at home but only 13.2 on the road. I’m expecting the entire Saints offense to struggle, and they will probably be highly owned due to last week’s performance.
Tight End
Coby Fleener @ KC $3,800
Sticking with the “Fade the Saints” theme, Fleener will be another guy that will have decent ownership because of his fairly cheap price tag and for how good he was last week , but he needs Brees to be great for him to have fantasy relevance. Brees won’t be great. He won’t even be good. Fleener will not find his way into any of my lineups.
Defense
Eagles vs MIN $3,100
The Eagles defense has been exposed somewhat over the last two weeks. They were able to salvage their fantasy day in Week 6 against the Redskins because of both an interception and kickoff return for a touchdown. You can’t expect that every week, especially against a Vikings team that has only one turnover all season, including zero interceptions from Sam Bradford.
Other Options
Quarterback
Matt Ryan vs SD $7,200
Running Backs
Devonta Freeman vs SD $5,900
Carlos Hyde vs TB $5,600
Wide Receivers
Mike Evans @ SF $7,800
Amari Cooper @ JAC $7,900
Tight End
Hunter Henry @ ATL $3,600
Defense
Bills @ MIA $3,400
Patriots @ PIT $2,900
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